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29D - Climaxes

Raw transcript and slide notes for 29D - Climaxes.

Overview

  • Slides: 15
  • Transcript segments: 538
  • Status: 自动按 slide 时间线归档;核心概念和长期笔记可以在每个 slide 的 Study Notes 下继续整理。

Source Media

Transcript 001

Time: 00:02

Bilingual Transcript

00:02 - 00:03

EN: This is Al Brooks.

ZH: 你好,我是阿尔·布鲁克斯

00:03 - 00:05

EN: Thank you for watching the Brooks Trading Course.

ZH: 欢迎观看布鲁克斯交易课程

00:05 - 00:09

EN: This is the fourth of five videos on climaxes.

ZH: 这是高潮的第4节课

Slide 001

Time: 00:11

Slide 001

Bilingual Transcript

00:12 - 00:15

EN: I’m going to begin by talking about consecutive climaxes,

ZH: 首先我会讲什么是连续的高潮——

00:15 - 00:20

EN: where you have one climax and then you have another climax

ZH: 在反转之前,出现一个又一个的高潮

00:18 - 00:20

EN: before you have a reversal.

ZH: 在反转之前,出现一个又一个的高潮

Slide 002

Time: 00:21

Slide 002

Bilingual Transcript

00:27 - 00:32

EN: It’s important to remember that every trend bar is a breakout and a climax.

ZH: 重点是要知道,每根趋势K线都是突破和高潮

00:32 - 00:35

EN: A climax does not necessarily mean a reversal.

ZH: 但高潮并不一定意味着反转

00:35 - 00:38

EN: A big bull trend bar, a Buy Climax.

ZH: 一根大阳线,是抢购高潮

00:38 - 00:39

EN: Another Buy Climax.

ZH: 又一个抢购高潮

00:39 - 00:40

EN: Another Buy Climax.

ZH: 又一个抢购高潮

00:40 - 00:43

EN: Here, it’s consecutive bull trend bars.

ZH: 连续的阳线

00:43 - 00:45

EN: And then finally, another climax at the top.

ZH: 这是最后一个抢购高潮

00:45 - 00:49

EN: Ultimately, the market pulled back and went sideways for a long,

ZH: 最终,市场开始回调,并且震荡了很久很久

00:49 - 00:52

EN: long time, and then there was a little bit of a reversal.

ZH: 然后反转下跌了一些

00:53 - 00:59

EN: This is a series of Buy Climaxes, and when they occur with very little pullback

ZH: 这是一系列的抢购高潮, 如果每次高潮之后几乎没有什么回调,

00:59 - 01:04

EN: after each climax, the market often forms a Wedge or a Parabolic Wedge.

ZH: 那么市场通常在形成抛物线楔形

01:05 - 01:09

EN: Also, it often moves for a Measured Move.

ZH: 而且,市场通常会到达某个MM目标位

01:11 - 01:14

EN: I have a top here and a pullback, and then I have another climax

ZH: 上涨,回调,然后又一个抢购高潮,

01:14 - 01:18

EN: and a small reversal down, and then another reversal down.

ZH: 然后小幅回调,这里也是小回调

01:18 - 01:20

EN: This is a Parabolic Wedge at this point.

ZH: 此时这是一个抛物线楔形

01:20 - 01:23

EN: Sometimes you get a fourth push, which you have here.

ZH: 有时会有第4推,比如像这里

01:23 - 01:27

EN: Other computers will say, well, this is such a strong breakout,

ZH: 一些电脑程序会这样设置,这个突破非常强势,

01:27 - 01:29

EN: the market is starting the count over again.

ZH: 所以需要重新开始计数

01:29 - 01:32

EN: So this is the first push, not this.

ZH: 所以这是新的第1推,而不是它

01:32 - 01:35

EN: You have a first push, a second push, and a third push.

ZH: 第1推,第2推,第3推

01:35 - 01:41

EN: In any case, whenever you see a series of three

ZH: 总之,每当你在窄通道中看到3个或以上的高潮

01:38 - 01:41

EN: or more climaxes in a very Tight Channel

ZH: 总之,每当你在窄通道中看到3个或以上的高潮

01:41 - 01:45

EN: and then you get a reversal attempt, it is a Parabolic Wedge.

ZH: 然后有尝试反转的行为,那就是抛物线楔形

01:50 - 01:57

EN: A Buy Climax ends when the next bar is either a bear bar,

ZH: 如果出现这样的阴线,或者这样的小K线, 那么一次高潮就结束了

01:55 - 01:57

EN: as it is here, or a small bar here.

ZH: 如果出现这样的阴线,或者这样的小K线, 那么一次高潮就结束了

01:57 - 02:00

EN: Here we have a bigger bull bar compared to this,

ZH: 这里阳线的体积开始变大,

02:00 - 02:02

EN: and then another bigger bull bar.

ZH: 尤其是这根阳线,非常大

02:02 - 02:05

EN: I view these 2 bars as a breakout and therefore a climax.

ZH: 这两根阳线是突破,所以也是抢购高潮

02:05 - 02:11

EN: This bar has a big tail on top, so I think of it as not part of the climax.

ZH: 这根K线顶部的上影线很长,所以不属于高潮的一部分

02:11 - 02:14

EN: This is the Buy Climax, and that’s the bar that ended the climax.

ZH: 这是抢购高潮,而那根K线结束了高潮

02:14 - 02:17

EN: A big bull trend bar here, relatively big,

ZH: 这里有一根大阳线,相对较大

02:17 - 02:20

EN: and then you have a bull trend bar here.

ZH: 这根阳线有上影线

02:20 - 02:24

EN: I would say this is the climax, and that bar means

ZH: 所以这根阳线是抢购高潮

02:24 - 02:26

EN: that the climax ended with this bar.

ZH: 这根阳线是高潮的结束

02:31 - 02:35

EN: Whenever the market’s in a channel, even a very Tight Channel,

ZH: 每当市场处于通道,即使是非常窄的通道,

02:35 - 02:39

EN: there’s a 75% chance that a bull breakout above a bull channel

ZH: 75%的概率,加速突破上涨通道会失败,

02:39 - 02:43

EN: will lead to a reversal and a test of the bottom of the channel.

ZH: 然后会跌回来,测试通道的下沿

02:43 - 02:47

EN: If I were to draw the bottom of the channel, it would be very tight.

ZH: 当然,如果在这里画出通道的下沿,是非常窄的

02:47 - 02:53

EN: It’s not much of an accomplishment for the market to go

ZH: 所以就算跌到通道下沿,也没多少距离

02:51 - 02:53

EN: from the top of the channel to the bottom of the channel.

ZH: 所以就算跌到通道下沿,也没多少距离

02:55 - 03:02

EN: Whenever I see a bull channel, I’m assuming 75% chance the market

ZH: 每当看到上涨通道,我就假设有75%的概率, 通道的下沿会被跌破

03:00 - 03:02

EN: will break below the bottom of the channel.

ZH: 每当看到上涨通道,我就假设有75%的概率, 通道的下沿会被跌破

03:02 - 03:08

EN: So any bull channel, even a very strong one like this

ZH: 所以,任何上涨通道,其实是这么强势的窄通道, 也可以看作是“熊旗”

03:05 - 03:08

EN: and a very Tight Channel, is a bear flag.

ZH: 所以,任何上涨通道,其实是这么强势的窄通道, 也可以看作是“熊旗”

03:08 - 03:13

EN: I say that because I expect a bear breakout 75% of the time.

ZH: 这么说的原因是,75%的时候去实现会被跌破

03:13 - 03:17

EN: Only 25% of the time will the market break strongly above the top of the channel

ZH: 只有25%的概率,市场会加速突破通道上沿

03:17 - 03:21

EN: and then enter another breakout phase – for example, like this.

ZH: 然后进入新的突破阶段——比如类似这样

03:21 - 03:24

EN: Another breakout and then another channel.

ZH: 突破,进入新的通道

03:24 - 03:28

EN: If you have a bull channel, you’re probably going to get a bear breakout

ZH: 大部分上涨通道,大概率会出现空头突破 (注:横向,或向下突破上涨趋势线)

03:28 - 03:31

EN: and not a new breakout and then another bull channel.

ZH: 而不是加速突破,进入新的上涨通道

03:32 - 03:34

EN: The opposite is true for a bear channel.

ZH: 下降通道中也是一样

03:34 - 03:37

EN: Every bear channel – for example, here’s a bear channel

ZH: 每个下降通道——比如,这个下降通道

03:37 - 03:39

EN: - every bear channel is a bull flag.

ZH: ——每个下降通道都可以看作是牛旗

03:39 - 03:43

EN: 75% chance it’ll break above the top of the bear channel.

ZH: 75%的概率会向上突破下降通道

Slide 003

Time: 03:45

Slide 003

Bilingual Transcript

03:49 - 03:52

EN: There are always bears selling at the prior high.

ZH: 总是有空头会在前期的高点挂单做空

03:53 - 03:59

EN: Bears are scaling in to shorts, so they’ll sell

ZH: 空头会分批加仓,所以他们会在这个高点及上方, 挂限价卖单做空

03:56 - 03:59

EN: with a limit order at this high or above the high.

ZH: 空头会分批加仓,所以他们会在这个高点及上方, 挂限价卖单做空

03:59 - 04:00

EN: And the same with here as well.

ZH: 这里也是一样

04:05 - 04:09

EN: These are, for the most part, weak bears trying to pick a top.

ZH: 这些是尝试“摸顶”的空头 (注:摸顶,和抄底相对应,尝试卖在最高点)

04:09 - 04:11

EN: They’re afraid of losing too much money,

ZH: 他们害怕亏钱(所以逢高卖出,押注这是顶部)

04:11 - 04:14

EN: and they believe that if they sell at the high,

ZH: 他们希望自己正好卖在顶部,

04:14 - 04:17

EN: maybe the market will reverse immediately and they’ll have very little risk.

ZH: 也许市场会立刻反转下跌,所以风险很小

04:18 - 04:22

EN: Whenever a trader takes a trade that has very little risk,

ZH: 每当交易者做一笔风险很小的交易时,

04:22 - 04:25

EN: he’s going to lose money the majority of the time.

ZH: 他大多数时间都会亏钱

04:25 - 04:29

EN: Any time you’re trying to create a trade with a very low risk,

ZH: 如果一笔交易的风险非常小,

04:30 - 04:34

EN: you’re trying to create a trade with a very good risk/reward ratio

ZH: 具有非常好的盈亏比,

04:34 - 04:37

EN: that always has to have a low probability.

ZH: 那么代价就是胜率低

04:38 - 04:41

EN: If you take a low risk trade, you’re probably going to lose.

ZH: 所以低风险交易大多数时间会亏损

04:41 - 04:46

EN: And if the risk is too small, the probability of winning is so small,

ZH: 如果风险太小,那么盈利的概率也会非常低,

04:46 - 04:48

EN: it’s not a profitable strategy.

ZH: 这就不是一个盈利的策略

04:49 - 04:53

EN: You have bears selling here, weak bears, and they’re forced to buy.

ZH: 有弱空头在这里卖出,他们被迫买入止损

04:53 - 04:56

EN: They sell above this bar, above that bar,

ZH: 他们在这根K线上方卖出,在那根K线上方卖出

04:56 - 04:58

EN: and they’re forced to buy back their shorts.

ZH: 终于无法继续承受,被迫止损离场

05:01 - 05:06

EN: Strong bears, on the other hand, might be selling this high as well

ZH: 然而,强空头,也许会在这个高点挂单做空,

05:06 - 05:08

EN: or that high as well – probably not this high,

ZH: 可能会在这个高点挂单做空——但这里不会

05:08 - 05:11

EN: but maybe this high when the bars are getting smaller

ZH: 但是这个高点可以,因为K线已经变小

05:11 - 05:16

EN: and we’ve already had two or three Buy Climaxes – one, two, three.

ZH: 而且已经有了3次抢购高潮——1,2,3

05:16 - 05:20

EN: Strong bears will start selling prior highs and they’ll scale in,

ZH: 强空头会开始在前期高点挂单做空,并且打算逢高加仓

05:20 - 05:23

EN: but they’re never going to buy back their shorts.

ZH: 不会轻易回补他们的空头仓位

05:24 - 05:26

EN: They can keep scaling in indefinitely,

ZH: 他们会不断加仓卖出更多 (注:因为有信心这样的上涨无法持续)

05:26 - 05:32

EN: and therefore because they’re never going to be forced

ZH: 所以他们不会被迫回补空头仓位 也不会在轧空行情中被“轧走”

05:29 - 05:32

EN: into buying back their shorts, they’re never going to get squeezed out

ZH: 所以他们不会被迫回补空头仓位 也不会在轧空行情中被“轧走”

05:32 - 05:36

EN: and you’re not going to get a Buy Climax due to strong bears buying.

ZH: 所以抢购高潮不是由于强空头造成的

05:36 - 05:41

EN: When you get a Buy Climax like this, it’s in part due to weak bears buying

ZH: 这样的抢购高潮,其中一个形成原因是弱空头在买入

05:41 - 05:45

EN: - bears selling this high hoping for a top with very little risk,

ZH: ——弱空头在这个高点挂单做空,期望这是顶部,风险很小

05:45 - 05:48

EN: and they have to cover as the market races up.

ZH: 于是他们被迫在市场上涨时买入止损

05:48 - 05:49

EN: And the same here.

ZH: 这里也是一样

05:49 - 05:52

EN: Strong bears are not going to buy back their shorts.

ZH: 而强空头不会买回他们的空头头寸

05:56 - 06:01

EN: Eventually what happens is there are no more bears willing

ZH: 最终,没有空头买入回补了 (注:弱空头已经全部离场,而强空头不会买入)

05:59 - 06:01

EN: to buy back their shorts.

ZH: 最终,没有空头买入回补了 (注:弱空头已经全部离场,而强空头不会买入)

06:01 - 06:03

EN: All you’re left with are the strong bears.

ZH: 剩下的是强空头

06:04 - 06:07

EN: And the strong bulls, they bought down here.

ZH: 还有强多头,他们之前在低位已经买入

06:07 - 06:08

EN: They’re not buying up here.

ZH: 他们不会在这里追涨

06:08 - 06:10

EN: They look at this as a gift.

ZH: 他们把它看作是市场的赠礼

06:10 - 06:14

EN: The market rallied very quickly, very far above their entry price

ZH: 市场非常迅速地上涨,远远超过了他们的入场价格

06:14 - 06:18

EN: - anywhere down in here – and they’re going to start taking profits.

ZH: ——在这里的任何地方——他们会开始止盈

06:18 - 06:20

EN: So the strong bulls are selling.

ZH: 所以强多头在卖出

06:20 - 06:22

EN: The only buyers left are the weak bulls,

ZH: 剩下的唯一买家是弱多头

06:22 - 06:25

EN: the bulls who did not buy this because the stop was too far.

ZH: 弱多头没有在这里买入,因为他们觉得止损太远了

06:25 - 06:29

EN: And then they finally bought here because the stop is closer,

ZH: 他们最终在这里买入,因为有比较近的止损选择

06:29 - 06:33

EN: and there are not enough weak bulls left to lift the market up.

ZH: 但是弱多头没有足够的资金来推动价格上涨

06:33 - 06:36

EN: The strong bulls are selling; the market goes down.

ZH: 而强多头在卖出止盈,所以市场下跌

06:36 - 06:39

EN: The strong bears are selling; the market goes down.

ZH: 强空头在卖出做空,所以市场下跌

06:39 - 06:43

EN: And that’s what happens when you get a series of climaxes.

ZH: 这就是一系列高潮之后所发生的事情

06:43 - 06:47

EN: One, two, three, four consecutive Buy Climaxes.

ZH: 连续1,2,3,4个抢购高潮

06:47 - 06:50

EN: You have to assume the market will soon start to pull back.

ZH: 你必须假设市场很快就会开始回调

06:50 - 06:55

EN: And the strong bulls who sold here are not looking to buy back on the next bar.

ZH: 在这里卖出的强多头不会在下1根K线就立刻再次买入

06:55 - 06:59

EN: They’re concerned that it’s so climactic that it might be a reversal.

ZH: 他们知道这是抢购高潮,可能会有反转

06:59 - 07:03

EN: They’ll wait at least 5 or 10 bars

ZH: 在重新买入之前,他们至少会等待5~10根K线,

07:01 - 07:08

EN: before looking to buy again, and if they’re not convinced

ZH: 在重新买入之前,他们至少会等待5~10根K线, 如果他们担心回调还没有结束,就不会买入

07:05 - 07:08

EN: that the swing down has ended, they’re not going to buy.

ZH: 如果他们担心回调还没有结束,就不会买入

07:08 - 07:10

EN: And that’s what took place here.

ZH: 这就是这里所发生的情况

07:10 - 07:13

EN: 7 or 8 bear bars, the bulls did not buy.

ZH: 7或8根阴线,多头没有买入

07:13 - 07:14

EN: They expect a second leg down.

ZH: 他们预期会有第2段下跌

07:14 - 07:18

EN: Second leg down, but a bear breakout – they expect more down again,

ZH: 第2段下跌,大阴线跌破,所以预期可能还会继续下跌

07:18 - 07:21

EN: so not much buying by the strong bulls either.

ZH: 所以强多头仍然不会买入

Slide 004

Time: 07:25

Slide 004

Bilingual Transcript

07:28 - 07:33

EN: Once you run out of trapped bears and the strong bulls stop buying,

ZH: 一旦被套的弱空头全部离场, 而且强多头停止买入,

07:34 - 07:37

EN: the market has to go lower to find traders willing to buy.

ZH: 市场就必须下跌,才能找到更多愿意买入的人

07:38 - 07:45

EN: Those strong bulls are only going to buy after they see evidence

ZH: 只有看到强空头止盈的证据之后,强多头才会愿意再次买入

07:42 - 07:45

EN: that the strong bears are taking profits.

ZH: 只有看到强空头止盈的证据之后,强多头才会愿意再次买入

07:45 - 07:52

EN: When you get 7 bars down like this, do you think the bears

ZH: 当你看到这样连续7根K线下跌的时候, 你认为空头会买入止盈吗?不会,他们预期会有第2段下跌

07:49 - 07:52

EN: are buying back their shorts? No, they’re expecting a second leg down,

ZH: 你认为空头会买入止盈吗?不会,他们预期会有第2段下跌

07:52 - 07:54

EN: so they’re looking for a rally to sell.

ZH: 所以他们会在反弹时继续卖出做空

07:54 - 07:57

EN: The bulls know that, so the bulls are not eager to buy.

ZH: 多头知道这一点,所以多头不急于买入

07:57 - 07:59

EN: The result is very weak buying.

ZH: 结果就是买盘很弱

07:59 - 08:02

EN: Very small bars, Tight Trading Range.

ZH: 阳线体积很小,窄震荡区间

08:06 - 08:11

EN: Weak bulls are always buying, hoping that they’re buying with very little risk,

ZH: 弱多头总是在买入,因为他们希望自己的风险很小

08:11 - 08:16

EN: but they do not have enough money to create a significant move.

ZH: 但他们没有足够的钱来制造大的波段

08:16 - 08:19

EN: They will not overwhelm the strong bears.

ZH: 他们无法战胜强空头

08:24 - 08:28

EN: In general, whenever you have any significant reversal

ZH: 通常来说,每当出现显著的反转——

Slide 005

Time: 08:25

Slide 005

Bilingual Transcript

08:28 - 08:32

EN: - here we’re talking about consecutive Buy Climaxes and a Parabolic Wedge,

ZH: 这里谈论的是连续的抢购高潮和抛物线楔形,

08:32 - 08:35

EN: and we’re starting to reverse down

ZH: 然后开始反转下跌——

08:35 - 08:39

EN: - the general rule is wait 10 bars and two legs.

ZH: 通用的法则是等待两段10 K

08:39 - 08:43

EN: TBTL, 10 bars and two legs, before looking to buy again

ZH: TBTL,至少10根K线,两段回调,然后再考虑买入

08:43 - 08:47

EN: - because that’s pretty much what the strong bulls will do as well.

ZH: 因为这就是强多头会做的事情

08:48 - 08:51

EN: When the first leg down is reasonably strong like this,

ZH: 当第1段下跌这么强势的时候

08:51 - 08:55

EN: an 8 bar bear Micro Channel, the strong bulls are not going to buy.

ZH: 连续8根阴线的下降微通道,强多头不会买入

08:55 - 09:01

EN: You get some weak bulls buying, you have some strong bears

ZH: 有一些弱多头买入, 有一些强空头部分止盈,所以会有一些反弹

08:59 - 09:01

EN: taking partial profits, and you get a bounce.

ZH: 有一些弱多头买入, 有一些强空头部分止盈,所以会有一些反弹

09:01 - 09:06

EN: But the bulls who did not exit during this selloff will exit on the bounce,

ZH: 之前没有及时离场的多头,会在反弹时离场,

09:06 - 09:12

EN: a 50% pullback, and the bears who did not sell will sell on the bounce as well.

ZH: 这是50%反弹; 而那些还没有入场的空头也会在反弹时开仓做空

09:12 - 09:15

EN: And the result is you get at least one more leg down.

ZH: 这就造成了第2段下跌

09:17 - 09:20

EN: The strong bulls want to wait at least 10 bars and two legs

ZH: 强多头希望至少等待10K、两段

09:20 - 09:24

EN: because that’s typically what follows a series of Buy Climaxes,

ZH: 因为那就是一系列抢购高潮之后最常见的情况

09:25 - 09:28

EN: and if they see 10 bars – at this point they have 10 bars,

ZH: 如果他们看到10根K线——此时已经回调了10根K线

09:28 - 09:31

EN: but they only have one leg, so they’re not going to buy.

ZH: 但只有一段下跌(而且很强),那么他们就不会买入

09:31 - 09:37

EN: At this point they have two legs down

ZH: 这里已经有了两段下跌——1,反弹,2; 而且远远超过了10根K线

09:33 - 09:37

EN: - one, pullback, two – and far more than 10 bars.

ZH: 这里已经有了两段下跌——1,反弹,2; 而且远远超过了10根K线

09:37 - 09:38

EN: They probably have 50 bars.

ZH: 可能有50根K线

09:38 - 09:40

EN: But they have a strong bear breakout.

ZH: 但大阴线强势跌破

09:40 - 09:43

EN: They’re also not going to buy here either.

ZH: 他们也不会在这里买入

09:44 - 09:47

EN: At a minimum, they’re going to wait 10 bars and two legs

ZH: 所以通常情况下,他们至少会等待两段10K (注:着重标记“至少”两个字)

09:47 - 09:50

EN: in general before they’ll think about buying again.

ZH: 然后再考虑是否再次买入

09:53 - 10:02

EN: After 8 bars down like this, the strong bulls believe

ZH: 像这样连续下跌8根K线之后, 强多头知道,若果有任何反弹,空头会卖出更多, 押注第2段下跌

09:56 - 10:02

EN: that the bears will sell more on any bounce, expecting another leg down.

ZH: 强多头知道,若果有任何反弹,空头会卖出更多, 押注第2段下跌

10:05 - 10:09

EN: On the other hand, if the strong bulls think that the selloff is not very good

ZH: 相反,如果强多头认为这次抛售并不强势

10:09 - 10:12

EN: and that there’s not enough selling by the strong bears

ZH: 没有足够多的强空头在卖出

10:12 - 10:16

EN: and the market has had a couple legs down – that’s not the case here

ZH: 而且市场已经有了几段回调——这个案例不是这种情况——

10:16 - 10:20

EN: - the bulls will buy, expecting another leg up.

ZH: 那么多头就会买入,预期上涨趋势恢复

10:24 - 10:28

EN: We have a bull trend bar, and therefore a Buy Climax.

ZH: 上涨趋势K线(阳线),它是抢购高潮

Slide 006

Time: 10:25

Slide 006

Bilingual Transcript

10:32 - 10:37

EN: Here we have a bull trend and we have a bull trend bar, so that’s a Buy Climax.

ZH: 上涨趋势,这根阳线是抢购高潮

10:37 - 10:40

EN: We have a series of bull trend bars here, another Buy Climax.

ZH: 这一系列阳线也是抢购高潮

10:40 - 10:43

EN: 2 big bull trend bars, another bull trend bar.

ZH: 两根大阳线,又一根大阳线

10:43 - 10:47

EN: We have a series of Buy Climaxes, and they are in a channel.

ZH: 这是一系列的抢购高潮,而且它们处在通道中

10:47 - 10:50

EN: I can draw a line above, I can draw a line below.

ZH: 我可以在上方和下方各画一条线

10:50 - 10:53

EN: A bull channel is a bear flag.

ZH: 上涨通道是熊旗

11:00 - 11:04

EN: 25% chance the bulls will get a breakout above the channel

ZH: 25%的概率多头可以加速突破通道

11:04 - 11:07

EN: and then start another market cycle.

ZH: 然后开启新的市场周期

11:07 - 11:09

EN: Bull breakout and then channel up.

ZH: 多头突破,然后在通道中上涨

11:09 - 11:14

EN: 75% chance a bull breakout attempt will fail and the market will break

ZH: 75%的概率多头的突破尝试会失败,

11:14 - 11:17

EN: below the bottom of the channel at least a little bit.

ZH: 然后市场至少会略微跌破通道的下沿

11:17 - 11:24

EN: 75% chance the market will break below the channel

ZH: 75%的概率市场会以横盘或下跌的方式跌破通道

11:20 - 11:24

EN: either by going down or by simply going sideways.

ZH: 75%的概率市场会以横盘或下跌的方式跌破通道

11:28 - 11:33

EN: 25% chance you’ll get a bull breakout and another leg up.

ZH: 25%的概率会加速向上突破,形成新的上涨波段

11:33 - 11:38

EN: If you do get the bull breakout, you have to be thinking

ZH: 如果真的加速向上突破了, 那就必须要考虑MM目标位

11:36 - 11:38

EN: about a possible Measured Move.

ZH: 如果真的加速向上突破了, 那就必须要考虑MM目标位

11:38 - 11:40

EN: A bull channel is a bear flag.

ZH: 上涨通道是熊旗

11:40 - 11:43

EN: If you get a bull breakout above the bear flag,

ZH: 如果熊旗被向上突破,

11:43 - 11:46

EN: you’ll probably rally for a Measured Move up.

ZH: 那就很可能涨到MM目标位

11:48 - 11:49

EN: And that’s what we have.

ZH: 就像这里发生的情况

11:49 - 11:50

EN: We have a bull channel.

ZH: 上涨通道

Slide 007

Time: 11:50

Slide 007

Bilingual Transcript

11:50 - 11:59

EN: The market tried to go sideways or down to break

ZH: 市场尝试以横盘或下跌的方式跌破通道下沿, 然而却加速暴涨,大阳线突破,后续还有跟随

11:54 - 11:59

EN: below the bottom of the channel, and instead we got this:

ZH: 市场尝试以横盘或下跌的方式跌破通道下沿, 然而却加速暴涨,大阳线突破,后续还有跟随

11:57 - 11:59

EN: a big bull breakout and follow-through.

ZH: 市场尝试以横盘或下跌的方式跌破通道下沿, 然而却加速暴涨,大阳线突破,后续还有跟随

11:59 - 12:02

EN: Probably a Measuring Gap – this low and that high.

ZH: 大概率是测量型缺口——这个低点和那个高点之间的缺口

12:02 - 12:05

EN: Traders will look for a Measured Move up,

ZH: 交易者预期时常会涨到MM目标位

12:05 - 12:12

EN: from here or here to here, up to this channel area.

ZH: 从这个,或这个低点,到通道的最高点, 往上翻一倍,在这个区域附近

12:16 - 12:26

EN: Whenever you have a strong breakout – it doesn’t matter,

ZH: 每当出现强势的突破,不论是突破震荡区间还是上涨通道, 市场周期都会重新开始——

12:19 - 12:26

EN: a strong breakout of a Trading Range or a strong breakout

ZH: 每当出现强势的突破,不论是突破震荡区间还是上涨通道, 市场周期都会重新开始——

12:22 - 12:26

EN: above a bull channel – the market cycle begins over again.

ZH: 每当出现强势的突破,不论是突破震荡区间还是上涨通道, 市场周期都会重新开始——

12:26 - 12:30

EN: A breakout and then a channel and then a Trading Range again.

ZH: 突破,然后进入通道,最后变成震荡区间

12:33 - 12:39

EN: We have a breakout and then a small bar, and then another breakout

ZH: 突破,小十字星;再次突破,又是一根小K线; 然后继续突破

12:37 - 12:39

EN: and then a small bar, and then another breakout.

ZH: 突破,小十字星;再次突破,又是一根小K线; 然后继续突破

12:39 - 12:40

EN: This is a Parabolic Wedge Top.

ZH: 这是抛物线楔形顶

12:40 - 12:42

EN: The market tried to reverse down.

ZH: 市场尝试反转下跌 (注:回调测试最近一次抢购高潮的起涨点)

12:42 - 12:47

EN: We broke out again and we went sideways.

ZH: 再次上涨之后,进入震荡区间

12:47 - 12:51

EN: We tried to resume up again, and it’s within a Trading Range.

ZH: 多头尝试继续上涨,但是市场处于震荡区间内

12:51 - 12:52

EN: This is consecutive tops.

ZH: 这是连续的筑顶尝试

12:52 - 12:58

EN: We have a top attempt here and we have another breakout, another top attempt,

ZH: 之前在这里尝试筑顶,但是被再次突破; 这里尝试筑顶,

12:58 - 13:02

EN: and now we have another top attempt, and the result was a Trading Range.

ZH: 现在再次尝试筑顶,变成了震荡区间

13:06 - 13:09

EN: A breakout like this is a low probability event.

ZH: 像这样的突破是低概率事件

13:10 - 13:14

EN: Whenever something is unlikely to happen but does happen,

ZH: 每当某件事情不太可能发生,但是真的发生了,

13:14 - 13:17

EN: both the bulls and the bears are trapped.

ZH: 此时多头和空头都被困住了

13:17 - 13:21

EN: Both thought the market would go sideways to down; instead it went up.

ZH: 双方都认为市场会横盘或下跌;然而,它上涨了

13:21 - 13:26

EN: The bears who were selling prior highs now find themselves in a losing position,

ZH: 那些在前期高点挂单做空的空头,现在处于亏损状态

13:26 - 13:30

EN: and when they see a pair of consecutive bull trend bars like this,

ZH: 当他们看到这样两根连续的大阳线时

13:30 - 13:34

EN: they know we’re probably rallying for a Measured Move up.

ZH: 他们知道大概率会继续上涨到MM目标位

13:34 - 13:37

EN: They’re hoping for any pullback, like this or like this,

ZH: 他们希望有一些回调,比如这样或这样,

13:37 - 13:40

EN: to buy back their shorts, to reduce their loss.

ZH: 让他们能够少亏一些离场

13:42 - 13:46

EN: And because the bears are buying, any small pullback will lead to a rally.

ZH: 因为空头在买入,所以略微回调一点之后就继续上涨

13:46 - 13:48

EN: A pullback leads to a rally.

ZH: 回调之后,继续上涨

13:48 - 13:52

EN: You’ll have bulls who thought this was going to top out,

ZH: 一些多头认为这里可能是顶部

13:52 - 13:55

EN: but then they see this and they say, oh, we’re going higher.

ZH: 但当他们看到这两根大阳线时,他们知道还会继续上涨

13:55 - 13:58

EN: They’re going to look at any pullback as an opportunity

ZH: 所以他们会把回调看作是买入的机会

13:58 - 14:00

EN: to buy for at least a small second leg up.

ZH: 预期至少会有小的第2段上涨

14:00 - 14:04

EN: They’ll buy below this bar, they’ll buy above that bar, second leg up.

ZH: 他们会在这根K线下方买入, 他们会在那根K线上方买入,押注第2段上涨

14:04 - 14:09

EN: Here we now have a Double Bottom bull flag, and they’ll buy above this bar

ZH: 现在这是双底牛旗,他们会在这根K线上方买入

14:09 - 14:14

EN: or they’ll simply buy at that low, looking for at least another leg up.

ZH: 或者他们会直接在那个低点挂单买入, 押注至少还有一段上涨

14:15 - 14:17

EN: Bulls and bears are both buying.

ZH: 多头和空头都在买入

14:17 - 14:22

EN: The probability is after you have a strong breakout like this,

ZH: 所以在这么强势的突破之后,大概率会有第2段上涨

14:20 - 14:22

EN: you’re going to get a second leg up.

ZH: 所以在这么强势的突破之后,大概率会有第2段上涨

14:22 - 14:28

EN: This might be a small second leg – pullback, second leg or pullback, second leg.

ZH: 这可能就是小的第2段上涨——回调,第2段; 或者回调,第2段

14:35 - 14:36

EN: Consecutive Buy Climaxes.

ZH: 连续的抢购高潮

14:36 - 14:40

EN: Here we have four of them – one, two, three, four.

ZH: 这里有4个(抢购高潮)——1,2,3,4

14:40 - 14:45

EN: It’s a type of a Wedge Top, and now we’re getting

ZH: 这是楔形顶,现在楔形顶被向上突破

14:42 - 14:45

EN: a bull breakout above a Wedge Top.

ZH: 这是楔形顶,现在楔形顶被向上突破

14:46 - 14:54

EN: Usually if you get a strong bull breakout above a Wedge Top or above any kind

ZH: 通常,如果楔形顶,或者任何形式的熊旗, 被向上加速突破,市场通常会涨到某个MM目标位

14:50 - 14:54

EN: of a bear flag, the market will rally for some kind of a Measured Move up.

ZH: 通常,如果楔形顶,或者任何形式的熊旗, 被向上加速突破,市场通常会涨到某个MM目标位

14:56 - 14:59

EN: Here’s the top of the bear flag, the top of the Wedge,

ZH: 这里是熊旗的顶部,楔形的顶部

14:59 - 15:01

EN: and this is a Measured Move.

ZH: MM目标位在这里

15:01 - 15:03

EN: And you can see what happened when the market got there.

ZH: 可以看到当市场到达那里时发生了什么

15:03 - 15:07

EN: It pulled back, in part because bulls were taking profits,

ZH: 回调了,其中一个原因是多头卖出止盈

15:07 - 15:11

EN: in part because the bears expected bulls to take profits

ZH: 另一边,空头知道很多多头会在这里止盈

15:11 - 15:14

EN: and the bears started selling as well for a scalp down.

ZH: 所以他们开始做空,至少做一笔剥头皮交易

Slide 008

Time: 15:17

Slide 008

Bilingual Transcript

15:21 - 15:25

EN: 4 bull trend bars, a little climax, a little climax here.

ZH: 4根阳线,小的抢购高潮,这也是一个小高潮

15:25 - 15:27

EN: You can call all of this a Buy Climax.

ZH: 你可以把所有这些都看作是抢购高潮

15:27 - 15:28

EN: A small climax here.

ZH: 这是一个小高潮

15:28 - 15:30

EN: Every trend bar is a climax.

ZH: 每根趋势K线都是一个高潮

15:30 - 15:36

EN: A big bull trend bar, a climax, a trend bar, a climax, a trend bar, a climax.

ZH: 大阳线,高潮;阳线,高潮;阳线,高潮

15:36 - 15:41

EN: At some point there’s no one left to buy at this price at this time,

ZH: 一直涨到某个时刻,没有人愿意在这么高的位置买入了

15:41 - 15:44

EN: and the strong bulls will take profits, the strong bears begin to short.

ZH: 强多头开始卖出止盈,强空头开始卖出做空

15:45 - 15:48

EN: Usually after you get a series of consecutive Buy Climaxes,

ZH: 通常,在你一系列连续的抢购高潮之后

15:48 - 15:55

EN: the market goes sideways, and then it decides

ZH: 市场会横盘震荡一段时间, 然后再决定是继续上涨还是反转下跌

15:51 - 15:55

EN: whether it will resume up or reverse down.

ZH: 市场会横盘震荡一段时间, 然后再决定是继续上涨还是反转下跌

15:59 - 16:01

EN: Consecutive Buy Climaxes.

ZH: 连续的抢购高潮

16:02 - 16:07

EN: You have to assume at some point you’ll get 10 bars, two legs sideways to down.

ZH: 必须假设即将会横盘或下跌至少两段、10根K线

16:07 - 16:09

EN: That’s the minimum objective.

ZH: 这是最低目标

16:09 - 16:10

EN: Here’s one leg.

ZH: 第1段,

16:10 - 16:12

EN: The bull trend resumed.

ZH: 继续上涨

16:12 - 16:13

EN: Second leg.

ZH: 第2段

16:13 - 16:15

EN: So we have two legs sideways here.

ZH: 所以这里有两段横盘

16:15 - 16:19

EN: You could say the Buy Climax ended here and this is one leg down.

ZH: 你也可以说抢购高潮在这里结束, 这是第1段下跌

16:19 - 16:21

EN: You don’t always get a second leg down; maybe we will.

ZH: 然后可能会有第2段下跌

16:26 - 16:29

EN: 20 bar Trading Range after consecutive Buy Climaxes.

ZH: 连续抢购高潮之后,震荡区间持续了20根K线

16:29 - 16:33

EN: This is a Buy Climax as well, and this is a small Buy Climax.

ZH: 这也是一个抢购高潮,这是一个小的抢购高潮

16:34 - 16:37

EN: But we started to go sideways here – small bars,

ZH: 但是横盘从这里就开始了——K线体积变小

16:37 - 16:40

EN: doji bars, prominent tails, small bodies.

ZH: 很多十字星,影线,实体部分很小

16:40 - 16:43

EN: After the market goes sideways for 20 or more bars

ZH: 在市场横盘20根或更多K线之后

16:43 - 16:48

EN: - this is probably 30 bars – the market’s in BreakOut Mode.

ZH: ——这里可能已经有30根K线了—— 市场就进入了突破模式

16:48 - 16:52

EN: There’s about a 50/50 chance that you’ll get a reversal down

ZH: 50%的概率会反转下跌

16:52 - 16:55

EN: and a 50/50 chance you’llget trend resumption up.

ZH: 50%的概率会延续上涨趋势

16:55 - 16:59

EN: For the bulls, they see a Double Bottom bull flag, and for the bears,

ZH: 在多头看来,这是一个双底牛旗;

16:59 - 17:02

EN: they see a Lower High Major Trend Reversal

ZH: 而在空头看来,这是高点降低的大反转机会

17:02 - 17:06

EN: or a Head and Shoulders Top – left shoulder, head, right shoulder.

ZH: 或者是头肩顶——左肩,头,右肩

17:11 - 17:16

EN: The bears do not have consecutive big bear trend bars here or here.

ZH: 空头在这里或这里没有连续的大阴线

17:16 - 17:20

EN: They’re concerned that they are not able to reverse the market.

ZH: 他们担心自己无法让市场反转

17:20 - 17:26

EN: If enough bears believe that they are unable

ZH: 如果有足够的空头认为他们无法制造反转, 空头就会开始买入回补自己的空头仓位

17:23 - 17:26

EN: to turn the market down, they’ll start buying back their shorts.

ZH: 空头就会开始买入回补自己的空头仓位

17:26 - 17:28

EN: At this point it’s still neutral.

ZH: 此时市场仍然是中性的

17:28 - 17:31

EN: We still don’t know if the bears will give up

ZH: 仍然不知道空头是否会放弃,

17:31 - 17:33

EN: and the bulls will buy and we’ll get trend resumption up.

ZH: 多头是否会买入,趋势是否会继续

17:34 - 17:38

EN: Every Trading Range has both a buy signal and a sell signal.

ZH: 每个震荡区间都有做多信号和做空信号

17:39 - 17:40

EN: They’re both equally good.

ZH: 都有足够好的理由

17:40 - 17:46

EN: In general, there’s always a slightly higher probability

ZH: 通常来说,趋势恢复的概率总是略高一些,

17:44 - 17:49

EN: that the trend will resume, but after you get to 20 or 30 bars,

ZH: 通常来说,趋势恢复的概率总是略高一些, 然而在震荡了20~30根K线之后,

17:49 - 17:54

EN: the probability is almost 50/50 for trend resumption up and trend reversal down.

ZH: 趋势恢复上涨,和趋势反转下跌的概率,几乎是50对50

18:00 - 18:03

EN: After a lot of bars, the bulls start getting confident again,

ZH: 在很多K线之后,多头开始再次变得自信,

18:03 - 18:07

EN: and they try hard to get their trend resumption up.

ZH: 他们努力争取让趋势恢复上涨

18:07 - 18:12

EN: At this point it’s still neutral, but you get a bull bar here

ZH: 此时市场仍然是中性的,但是出现了这根阳线,

Slide 009

Time: 18:10

Slide 009

Bilingual Transcript

18:12 - 18:14

EN: and a second bull bar here.

ZH: 第2根阳线

18:14 - 18:16

EN: Traders believe that we’re going up.

ZH: 交易者相信时常会上涨

18:16 - 18:18

EN: We’re going to get trend resumption up.

ZH: 上涨趋势会恢复

18:18 - 18:23

EN: The bears are giving up on these bars,

ZH: 空头在这两根K线放弃、离场, 而多头在积极地买入

18:20 - 18:23

EN: these 2 bars here, and bulls are buying aggressively.

ZH: 空头在这两根K线放弃、离场, 而多头在积极地买入

18:23 - 18:28

EN: You can see the open of this bar is at or above the close of this bar.

ZH: 可以看到这根K线的开盘价略高于前1根K线的收盘价 (注:跳空高开,说明买盘很积极)

18:28 - 18:32

EN: The low of this bar barely dipped below the high of this bar.

ZH: 而且这根K线几乎没什么下影线

18:32 - 18:34

EN: That means bulls are buying aggressively.

ZH: 说明多头正在激进地买入

18:34 - 18:36

EN: The same here and the same here.

ZH: 这里和这里也是一样

18:36 - 18:40

EN: The bears are giving up – these 2 bars signify the bears giving up

ZH: 空头在放弃——这两根K线表示空头在放弃

18:40 - 18:43

EN: - and the bulls are buying aggressively for at least a Measured Move up

ZH: 而多头在积极地买入,目标至少是涨到MM目标位

18:43 - 18:45

EN: based upon the height of the Trading Range.

ZH: 把震荡区间的高度往上翻一倍

18:51 - 18:54

EN: Now we have an even bigger Buy Climax.

ZH: 现在有一个更大的抢购高潮

18:54 - 18:58

EN: Here we have a 4 bull bar Buy Climax.

ZH: 这里有连续4根阳线的抢购高潮

18:58 - 19:02

EN: It’s bigger than this Buy Climax or any of these prior Buy Climaxes.

ZH: 它比这个抢购高潮,比前期所有的这些抢购高潮体积更大

19:03 - 19:10

EN: Whenever you have the biggest Buy Climax occurring 20 or more bars

ZH: 当上涨趋势后期——这里已经持续了100多根K线—— 出现了最大的抢购高潮

19:07 - 19:10

EN: into a trend – here, it’s 100 bars into the trend

ZH: 当上涨趋势后期——这里已经持续了100多根K线—— 出现了最大的抢购高潮

19:10 - 19:13

EN: - chances are it’s going to be an exhaustive end of the trend

ZH: 大概率趋势即将衰竭、结束,

19:13 - 19:18

EN: and not the start of a new, even stronger trend.

ZH: 而不是形成新的、更强的上涨趋势

19:18 - 19:20

EN: This is probably going to be an Exhaustion Gap.

ZH: 它很大的概率是竭尽型缺口

19:20 - 19:22

EN: We have a pullback here, we’re going sideways.

ZH: 回调,略微横盘

19:22 - 19:26

EN: The gap right now is this low and that high.

ZH: 现在缺口是这个这个低点和那个高点(之间的空隙)

19:26 - 19:29

EN: Probably the gap will close, which it did over here.

ZH: 缺口大概率会被填补,就在这里

19:29 - 19:33

EN: Usually the market comes all the way down to the bottom of the Buy Climax.

ZH: 通常市场会一路下跌到抢购高潮的起涨点

19:33 - 19:36

EN: In this particular case, it simply went sideways.

ZH: 在这个案例中,市场只是横盘震荡

19:39 - 19:40

EN: You can draw a channel.

ZH: 你可以画一个通道

19:40 - 19:43

EN: We have a reversal down, a reversal down.

ZH: 下跌,下跌

19:43 - 19:45

EN: That allows us to draw a channel.

ZH: 可以连接它们画通道

19:45 - 19:47

EN: And part of the reason why this went up so quickly

ZH: 市场迅速上涨到这里的一个原因,

19:47 - 19:51

EN: is everyone knew it would get to the top of the channel

ZH: 就是所有人都知道会涨到通道的上沿,

19:51 - 19:53

EN: and everyone knew it would reach a Measured Move

ZH: 每个人都知道它会涨到MM目标位——

19:53 - 19:55

EN: based upon the height of the Trading Range.

ZH: 把震荡区间的高度往上翻一倍

19:55 - 19:57

EN: So we had two magnets here.

ZH: 所以这里有两个磁铁(磁铁就是目标位的意思)

19:57 - 20:01

EN: The bears bought back their shorts early on, all the way up for that matter,

ZH: 空头很快就止损离场了,这也助推了市场上涨

20:01 - 20:05

EN: and they did not want to sell again until the market got to resistance,

ZH: 而且空头在价格达到阻力位之前,不会再次做空

20:05 - 20:07

EN: the top of the channel and the Measured Move target.

ZH: 通道上沿和MM目标位,就是阻力位

20:07 - 20:11

EN: And the bulls were buying aggressively, knowing that bears would not sell.

ZH: 所以多头更加激进地买入,知道空头暂时不会卖出

20:11 - 20:14

EN: But once it got to the target, the bulls stopped buying.

ZH: 然而,一旦到达了目标位,多头就不再买入

20:14 - 20:21

EN: Strong enough breakout, chances are there’ll be

ZH: 足够强势的突破,大概率会有小的第2段上涨, 可能也就是这样了

20:17 - 20:21

EN: at least a small second leg up, but not necessarily more than that.

ZH: 足够强势的突破,大概率会有小的第2段上涨, 可能也就是这样了

20:21 - 20:24

EN: And you can see what happened when the market had that second leg up.

ZH: 可以看到第2段上涨之后发生了什么

20:24 - 20:28

EN: The bears sold aggressively above the channel

ZH: 空头在通道上方和MM目标位上方大量地卖出做空

20:27 - 20:28

EN: and above the Measured Move target,

ZH: 空头在通道上方和MM目标位上方大量地卖出做空

20:28 - 20:32

EN: and the bulls saw this as a great opportunity to take profits.

ZH: 而多头把这看作是一个很好的止盈机会

20:32 - 20:36

EN: Bears and bulls sold, and we went sideways to down.

ZH: 空头和多头都在卖出,所以横盘、下跌

20:41 - 20:43

EN: Strong rally.

ZH: 强势的上涨

20:43 - 20:44

EN: Probably a second leg up.

ZH: 大概率有第2段

20:44 - 20:46

EN: Then we got a second reversal down.

ZH: 然后第2次尝试反转下跌

20:46 - 20:48

EN: First reversal here, this tail,

ZH: 第1次是在这里,它的上影线

20:48 - 20:51

EN: and the second reversal a big tail and a bear body.

ZH: 然后第2次反转,这个上影线,最后收盘是阴线

20:51 - 20:52

EN: A Micro Double Top.

ZH: 这是一个小双顶

20:53 - 20:56

EN: Two attempts to break above resistance, both failed.

ZH: 两次尝试突破阻力,都失败了

20:56 - 20:59

EN: Probably we’ll get at least 10 bars, two legs sideways to down.

ZH: 很大的概率,至少会有10根K线,两段的横盘或下跌

21:03 - 21:05

EN: Bulls exhausted.

ZH: 多头累了

21:05 - 21:11

EN: They want to wait at least 10 bars and two legs

ZH: 再次买入之前, 他们会等待至少两段10K——1,反弹,2

21:07 - 21:11

EN: - one leg, pullback, two legs – before they buy again.

ZH: 再次买入之前, 他们会等待至少两段10K——1,反弹,2

21:11 - 21:14

EN: Just like here, they were exhausted and they waited.

ZH: 就像这里一样,他们已经精疲力尽,所以休息、等待

21:17 - 21:22

EN: Three reversals down, here or here and then here and here.

ZH: 3次反转下跌——这里,这里和这里

21:22 - 21:23

EN: It’s a triangle.

ZH: 这是一个三角形

21:23 - 21:24

EN: BreakOut Mode.

ZH: 突破模式

21:24 - 21:27

EN: And the bulls got a breakout, but look at this breakout.

ZH: 然后向上突破,但是仔细看这个突破

21:27 - 21:31

EN: Does it look like this? No, it’s small bars, doji bars.

ZH: 看起来像它吗?不。 小K线,十字星

21:31 - 21:36

EN: This probably is a bull leg in what will end up in a Trading Range.

ZH: 这个上涨波段大概率会变成震荡区间

21:36 - 21:40

EN: So this probably eventually will trade back down here without going much higher.

ZH: 所以最终涨不了多远,就会再次跌回到这里

Slide 010

Time: 21:45

Slide 010

Bilingual Transcript

21:47 - 21:50

EN: Strongest bull breakout 20 or more bars into a bull trend

ZH: 上涨趋势后期最大的抢购高潮

21:50 - 21:53

EN: - probably an Exhaustion Gap.

ZH: 大概率是竭尽型缺口

21:53 - 21:56

EN: This is about 100 bars into a bull trend.

ZH: 这里已经上涨了100多根K线了

21:56 - 21:59

EN: We have consecutive Buy Climaxes all the way up.

ZH: 而且上涨途中有连续的抢购高潮

21:59 - 22:04

EN: We also have a Wedge Top, three pushes up, a bull breakout above a bull channel.

ZH: 这里也有一个楔形顶,3次向上推动, 然后尝试加速向上突破通道

22:04 - 22:07

EN: Twice trying to break out, both times reversing down.

ZH: 两次尝试突破,但是两次都跌回来了

22:07 - 22:09

EN: This is probably an Exhaustion Gap.

ZH: 这大概率是竭尽型缺口

22:09 - 22:12

EN: The gap initially is this close and that high,

ZH: 缺口一开始是它的收盘到那个高点之间,

22:12 - 22:16

EN: and then this close, and then this close and that high.

ZH: 然后扩大,它的收盘,它的收盘,到那个高点

22:16 - 22:17

EN: Then we get a pullback here.

ZH: 开始回调

22:17 - 22:21

EN: The gap now is this low or that low and this high,

ZH: 缺口缩小,这个低点,这个低点,到那个高点

22:21 - 22:25

EN: and eventually the market fell below the breakout point and the gap closed.

ZH: 最终回调到了突破点的下方——缺口被补掉

22:25 - 22:30

EN: That means this rally became an Exhaustion Gap rather than a Measuring Gap.

ZH: 所以这段上涨变成了竭尽型缺口,而不是测量型缺口

22:36 - 22:38

EN: You had bears selling above bars.

ZH: 有空头在K线上方挂单做空

22:38 - 22:40

EN: They sold above here, they made money.

ZH: 之前在这里上方卖出,赚到钱了

22:40 - 22:43

EN: They sold above here and they panicked.

ZH: 继续在前期高点挂卖单,但是感觉到不妙

22:43 - 22:46

EN: They realized that they were selling into a strong breakout.

ZH: 他们意识到自己在强势突破中做空了

22:46 - 22:49

EN: The weak bears bought back their shorts.

ZH: 弱空头在最高点买入、止损

22:49 - 22:52

EN: You had weak bulls who had been waiting, waiting, waiting for confidence

ZH: 而一些弱多头一直在等待,等待趋势变强的证据,

22:52 - 22:57

EN: that the market was going higher, and they finally buy.

ZH: 现在看起来将要大涨,所以他们最终买入, 结果买在最高点

22:55 - 22:57

EN: They buy at the top.

ZH: 现在看起来将要大涨,所以他们最终买入, 结果买在最高点

22:58 - 23:02

EN: When the weak bears are all gone and they’ve all bought back their shorts

ZH: 弱空头都已经回补了,全都离场了

23:02 - 23:07

EN: and the weak bulls are finally buying near the top, there’s no one left to buy.

ZH: 而弱多头买在高位之后,没有人再愿意买入了

23:07 - 23:15

EN: The strong bulls bought down here, and the strong bears will look

ZH: 强多头之前就买入了,现在卖出止盈; 而强空头看到这是连续的抢购高潮

23:12 - 23:15

EN: at this and say, ah, this is consecutive Buy Climaxes.

ZH: 而强空头看到这是连续的抢购高潮

23:15 - 23:17

EN: We’re at the top of a channel.

ZH: 现在涨到了通道的上沿

23:17 - 23:18

EN: We’re at a Measured Move.

ZH: 而且到了MM目标位

23:18 - 23:22

EN: What a great opportunity to sell, at least for a scalp.

ZH: 这是很好的做空机会,至少可以做一笔剥头皮交易

23:22 - 23:25

EN: The strong bulls are selling to take profits.

ZH: 强多头卖出止盈

23:25 - 23:27

EN: The strong bears are selling for a scalp.

ZH: 强空头卖出做空,做剥头皮交易

23:27 - 23:29

EN: There are no more weak bears left to buy.

ZH: 弱多头不会再买入了

23:29 - 23:32

EN: They’ve already been stopped out as the market rallied.

ZH: 因为他们已经在上涨过程中被迫止损离场

23:32 - 23:36

EN: And the weak bulls, there are not enough of them to make the market go higher.

ZH: 而弱多头买入的资金,不足以推动市场继续上涨

23:41 - 23:43

EN: Bulls see this as a gift.

ZH: 多头把这看作是市场的馈赠

23:43 - 23:46

EN: Strong breakout, they expect at least a little bit more up,

ZH: 强势突破,他们预期至少还会再上涨一些

23:47 - 23:51

EN: but they also see the location.

ZH: 但他们也知道市场所出的位置—— 通道上沿,MM目标位

23:49 - 23:51

EN: Top of a channel, Measured Move.

ZH: 但他们也知道市场所出的位置—— 通道上沿,MM目标位

23:51 - 23:54

EN: As the market’s going up, they sell.

ZH: 随着市场上涨,他们卖出止盈

23:54 - 23:57

EN: The strong bulls sell above this high.

ZH: 而强空头在这个高点上方卖出做空

23:57 - 24:02

EN: The weak bulls are buying above this high, and the strong bears are selling

ZH: 弱多头在这个高点上方买入, 但强空头(和强多头)却在这个高点上方卖出

24:01 - 24:05

EN: above that high as well, and the result was a big reversal bar.

ZH: 弱多头在这个高点上方买入, 但强空头(和强多头)却在这个高点上方卖出 所以造成了这根大的反转阴线

24:05 - 24:10

EN: And it led to 10 bars down and 20 to 30 bars sideways.

ZH: 造成了接下来20~30根K线的下跌、横盘

24:15 - 24:18

EN: Again, the strong bears see the same thing as the bulls,

ZH: 再讲一遍,强空头和强多头看到的价格行为是一样的

24:18 - 24:23

EN: and they see this resistance as a great opportunity to sell,

ZH: 他们都看到了这两个阻力,都知道这是很好的卖出机会

24:23 - 24:26

EN: at least for a scalp, maybe for a swing.

ZH: 至少有剥头皮的机会,甚至可能是波段下跌

24:27 - 24:30

EN: They know this is more likely an exhaustive end of a trend

ZH: 他们知道趋势更有可能衰竭、结束

24:30 - 24:35

EN: instead of a breakout and an acceleration into an even stronger trend.

ZH: 而不是突破成功,变成更强的上涨趋势

Slide 011

Time: 24:38

Slide 011

Bilingual Transcript

24:41 - 24:45

EN: Every trend bar, every series of trend bars, is a breakout and a climax.

ZH: 每根趋势K线,每一系列的趋势K线, 都是突破和高潮

24:45 - 24:48

EN: We have 2 bear bars closing on their lows, good size.

ZH: 两根阴线收在最低,体积足够大

24:48 - 24:49

EN: Sell Climax.

ZH: 抛售高潮

24:49 - 24:51

EN: Small Sell Climax here.

ZH: 小的抛售高潮

24:51 - 24:55

EN: Sell Climax here, little bit here, here, here.

ZH: 这里也是抛售高潮,这也有一些,还有这里、这里

24:55 - 24:59

EN: We have a series of Sell Climaxes without much pullback.

ZH: 一系列的抛售高潮,几乎没有什么反弹

24:59 - 25:02

EN: Usually you run out of traders willing to sell.

ZH: 通常情况下,愿意卖出的交易者会越来越少

25:03 - 25:05

EN: The weak bulls keep buying.

ZH: 弱多头不断地买入

25:05 - 25:09

EN: Buying, buying, buying, and they’re giving up.

ZH: 买,买,买,然后不断止损、止损、止损, 最终他们不敢再买入了(或止损在最低点)

25:07 - 25:09

EN: Giving up, giving up, and at some point they stop buying.

ZH: 买,买,买,然后不断止损、止损、止损, 最终他们不敢再买入了(或止损在最低点)

25:10 - 25:16

EN: And the weak bears, they see the breakout and they say

ZH: 而弱空头认为这个大阴线是很好的做空机会, 于是做空在最低点

25:13 - 25:16

EN: “now’s the time to sell!” and they keep selling at the lows.

ZH: 而弱空头认为这个大阴线是很好的做空机会, 于是做空在最低点

25:17 - 25:20

EN: They are not enough to keep the trend going down.

ZH: 他们(弱多头和弱空头卖出的资金) 不足以让趋势继续下跌

25:21 - 25:24

EN: The strong bulls see the consecutive Sell Climaxes

ZH: 强多头看到了连续的抛售高潮

25:24 - 25:31

EN: and they know the odds are the market will soon go up

ZH: 他们知道市场很快就会反弹, 或者至少震荡两段10K

25:27 - 25:31

EN: or sideways for 10 bars and two legs at a minimum.

ZH: 他们知道市场很快就会反弹, 或者至少震荡两段10K

25:31 - 25:33

EN: And the strong bears, they sold up here.

ZH: 而强空头,他们在高位就做空了

25:34 - 25:37

EN: At some point they start taking profits at prior lows,

ZH: 然后开始在前期的低点止盈

25:37 - 25:40

EN: and you can see we have a breakout below this low,

ZH: 可以看到,跌破这个低点之后,

25:40 - 25:42

EN: but it pulled back above the low.

ZH: 又涨回来了 (注:主要是空头止盈引起的反弹)

25:42 - 25:46

EN: We have a breakout below this low and it pulled back above that breakout point.

ZH: 跌破了这个低点,然后又反弹回来

25:46 - 25:48

EN: The strong bears are starting to take profits.

ZH: 强空头开始止盈

25:48 - 25:52

EN: They know that when you have a series of consecutive Sell Climaxes,

ZH: 他们知道,在一系列连续的抛售高潮之后

25:52 - 25:55

EN: the market’s probably going to go up for at least 10 bars and two legs,

ZH: 市场很可能会上涨至少两段、10K

25:55 - 25:58

EN: and they buy back their shorts, looking to sell higher.

ZH: 所以他们回补、止盈,然后等待在更高价格做空的机会

25:58 - 26:02

EN: If the reversal up is strong enough, they’ll keep waiting to sell again.

ZH: 如果反转上涨足够强势,他们就会继续等待

26:03 - 26:05

EN: And the strong bulls, they’re never going to give up.

ZH: 而强多头永远不会放弃

26:05 - 26:07

EN: They’re buying these lows.

ZH: 他们在这些低点挂单买入

26:07 - 26:09

EN: Every new low, they’re buying more and more and more,

ZH: 他们在每个新低加仓买入更多

26:09 - 26:13

EN: confident that after a series of consecutive Sell Climaxes,

ZH: 因为他们很自信,知道在一系列连续的抛售高潮之后

26:13 - 26:16

EN: we’re going to enter a Trading Range or get a reversal.

ZH: 市场会进入震荡区间,或者反转上涨

26:20 - 26:24

EN: A climax ends when there is some kind of a pause bar.

ZH: 当出现某种暂停K线时,高潮结束

26:24 - 26:26

EN: Here, a doji bar.

ZH: 这里,十字星

26:26 - 26:27

EN: Doji bar.

ZH: 十字星

26:27 - 26:30

EN: Here, a bull bar, a bull bar, a bull bar.

ZH: 这里,阳线,阳线,阳线

26:30 - 26:35

EN: This is the climax, and this bar means that the climax has ended with this bar.

ZH: 这是一个抛售高潮,而它意味着高潮已经在这根K线结束

26:40 - 26:41

EN: Bear channel.

ZH: 下降通道

26:41 - 26:45

EN: I don’t have a channel drawn in there, but a bear channel is a bull flag.

ZH: 我没有把通道线画出来,但要知道下降通道是牛旗

26:45 - 26:50

EN: 25% chance you’ll get a new breakout and then a new market cycle down,

ZH: 25%的概率会加速向下跌破,然后开启新的市场周期——

26:50 - 26:52

EN: a breakout and then another channel down.

ZH: 空头突破,然后进入新的下降通道

26:52 - 26:57

EN: 75% chance you’re going to break above the top of the bear channel.

ZH: 75%的概率通道会被向上突破

26:57 - 26:59

EN: A bear channel is a bull flag.

ZH: 下降通道是牛旗

27:03 - 27:07

EN: A series of Sell Climaxes often ends with some kind of a Wedge

ZH: 一系列的抛售高潮通常以某种楔形结束

27:07 - 27:12

EN: - three pushes down, one, two, three – sometimes a Parabolic Wedge,

ZH: 3次向下的推动——1,2,3—— 有时候是抛物线楔形

27:12 - 27:15

EN: and usually around a Measured Move.

ZH: 通常在某个MM目标位附近停滞 (注:下降趋势在某个支撑停止,MM是其中一种支撑)

27:15 - 27:16

EN: Look to the left.

ZH: 看左边

27:16 - 27:18

EN: Are there any gaps? We have a breakout here.

ZH: 是否有缺口?这里空头突破

27:18 - 27:21

EN: These pullbacks did not go above that breakout point.

ZH: 反弹没有超过那个突破点

27:21 - 27:23

EN: This bar might be a Measuring Gap.

ZH: 所以它可能是测量型缺口

27:26 - 27:28

EN: Maybe from the start of this bear leg,

ZH: 可能从这个下跌波段的起点,

27:28 - 27:30

EN: possibly from the start of the bear trend.

ZH: 甚至从整个下降趋势的起点(往下翻一倍)

27:30 - 27:34

EN: But in any case, this bear leg, it led to a Measured Move down.

ZH: 总之,突破之后跌到了某个MM目标位

27:35 - 27:38

EN: If it fell below that, then I would look at a Measured Move

ZH: 如果继续下俺爹,那么我会测量新的MM目标位——

27:38 - 27:41

EN: based upon the top of the bear trend to this gap.

ZH: 从整个下降趋势的起跌点,到缺口(往下翻一倍)

27:44 - 27:45

EN: Measuring Gap.

ZH: 测量型缺口

27:46 - 27:48

EN: Three pushes down, one, two, three.

ZH: 3次向下推动——1,2,3

27:48 - 27:49

EN: Very big breakout bar.

ZH: 非常大的大阴线

27:50 - 27:53

EN: We tried to bottom here and we got a very big breakout,

ZH: 尝试在这里筑底(3推),但是被大阴线跌破

27:53 - 27:57

EN: possibly three pushes down – one, two, three

ZH: 3次向下的推动——1,2,3

27:57 - 28:00

EN: - to a Wedge Bottom and a Measured Move.

ZH: 在MM目标位附近形成了楔形底

Slide 012

Time: 28:05

Slide 012

Bilingual Transcript

28:08 - 28:13

EN: If the strong bears believe that bulls will only buy lower,

ZH: 如果强空头认为多头暂时不会买入, 就会继续不断地卖出

28:12 - 28:13

EN: the bears will keep selling.

ZH: 如果强空头认为多头暂时不会买入, 就会继续不断地卖出

28:13 - 28:15

EN: They expect another leg down.

ZH: 预期还会有一段下跌

28:15 - 28:19

EN: But they also know eventually the strong bulls will buy,

ZH: 但他们知道,最终强多头会开始买入

28:19 - 28:21

EN: and they’ll keep buying and never stop buying.

ZH: 而且强多头会不断买入,永不放弃

28:25 - 28:28

EN: The weak bulls keep buying and giving up.

ZH: 弱多头一直买入,但是很快就放弃了

28:28 - 28:31

EN: They buy, they give up, they buy, and they give up,

ZH: 买入,止损;买入,止损;

28:31 - 28:34

EN: and they are helping drive the market down.

ZH: 他们的止损卖出,是市场快速下跌的原因之一

28:34 - 28:39

EN: Eventually there will not be enough bulls selling to drive the market down.

ZH: 最终,弱多头止损的卖盘不足以维持下降趋势

28:39 - 28:41

EN: There will not be enough weak bears left selling,

ZH: 而且弱空头做空的资金也不够大

28:41 - 28:45

EN: and the strong bears will stop selling, and they’re only willing to sell higher,

ZH: 同时强空头不再卖出,他们止盈之后, 只愿意等待逢高卖出的机会

28:46 - 28:50

EN: and the strong bulls will take over the market, and that’s what took place here.

ZH: 于是强多头会接管市场,这就是这里所发生的情况

29:00 - 29:02

EN: You can call this a Lower Low Major Trend Reversal.

ZH: 你可以把它看作低点降低的大反转

Slide 013

Time: 29:00

Slide 013

Bilingual Transcript

29:02 - 29:07

EN: We have a bear trend, a weak bull breakout, and a Lower Low.

ZH: 下降趋势,较弱的多头突破,然后低点降低

29:07 - 29:08

EN: It’s a second entry buy.

ZH: 这是第2做多入场点

29:08 - 29:11

EN: First entry did not go very far, and now we have

ZH: 第1入场点没有涨太多

29:11 - 29:13

EN: a second bull bar closing on its high.

ZH: 现在出现了第2根收在最高的阳线

29:13 - 29:20

EN: This is a reasonable buy for the bulls hoping for

ZH: 这是合理的买点,多头预期至少会测试这个高点, 甚至会有几段上涨

29:17 - 29:20

EN: at least a test of this high, maybe a couple legs up.

ZH: 这是合理的买点,多头预期至少会测试这个高点, 甚至会有几段上涨

29:21 - 29:22

EN: You can also call it a Wedge Bottom.

ZH: 也可以把它看作楔形底

29:22 - 29:26

EN: We have a breakout, pullback, second push, pullback, third push.

ZH: 突破,反弹;第2推下跌,反弹;第3推

29:26 - 29:28

EN: It’s a reasonable buy.

ZH: 这是合理的买点

29:33 - 29:40

EN: At this point we have 5 consecutive bull bars, and at this point we have

ZH: 此时已经有连续5根阳线, 到了这里,我看看,连续7根K线上涨,没有阴线

29:38 - 29:40

EN: - what is that, 7 bars without a bear bar?

ZH: 到了这里,我看看,连续7根K线上涨,没有阴线

29:40 - 29:43

EN: Chances are we’re going at least a little bit higher.

ZH: 所以大概率至少还会再上涨一些

29:44 - 29:49

EN: If the bulls think the bears are weak, they’ll keep holding onto their longs.

ZH: 如果多头认为空头很弱,他们就会继续持有

29:49 - 29:53

EN: Once you get 3 or 4 bear bars, especially after a Wedge Bottom

ZH: 出现了连续很多根阳线 尤其是在楔形底和第2做多入场点之后,

29:52 - 29:57

EN: and a second entry buy, the market’s probably transitioning

ZH: 出现了连续很多根阳线 尤其是在楔形底和第2做多入场点之后, 很大的概率,市场至少正在转变为震荡区间

29:55 - 29:57

EN: at least into a Trading Range.

ZH: 很大的概率,市场至少正在转变为震荡区间

29:57 - 30:02

EN: The bulls think the market’s going to go higher

ZH: 在连续3~4根阳线之后,多头认为市场会继续上涨

30:00 - 30:02

EN: after 3 or 4 consecutive bull bars.

ZH: 在连续3~4根阳线之后,多头认为市场会继续上涨

30:02 - 30:04

EN: They’re going to start buying below bars.

ZH: 他们会开始在K线的下方逢低买入 (注:押注空头突破失败)

30:04 - 30:08

EN: They’ll buy below this bar – what is that, a 10 bar bull Micro Channel?

ZH: 他们会在这根K线以下买入, 因为左边是连续10根K线的上涨微通道

30:08 - 30:11

EN: - betting that they’ll get at least a small second leg up.

ZH: 多头押注至少会有小的第2段上涨

30:11 - 30:14

EN: And at this point, the bulls are wondering

ZH: 到了这里,多头开始考虑

30:14 - 30:17

EN: if this is a reasonable Higher Low Major Trend Reversal.

ZH: 这是否是一个合理的低点抬高的大反转机会

30:17 - 30:21

EN: They’ll buy above this bar or above this bar or that bar,

ZH: 他们会在这根K线,或这根K线,或那根K线的上方买入

30:21 - 30:23

EN: betting on a second leg up.

ZH: 押注会有第2段上涨

30:23 - 30:25

EN: Leg 1, pullback, Leg 2.

ZH: 第1段,回调,第2段

30:31 - 30:33

EN: We have 10 bars up without a pullback.

ZH: 连续上涨10根K线没有回调

30:33 - 30:37

EN: That means the bears are not interested in selling at this price.

ZH: 这意味着没有人愿意在这样的低价卖出

30:37 - 30:41

EN: The market has to go higher before it’ll find sellers.

ZH: 市场必须上涨才能找到更多卖家

30:42 - 30:46

EN: At some point the bulls will decide it’s high enough and they’ll take profits,

ZH: 涨到某个时刻,多头会认为已经足够高了,他们会止盈

30:46 - 30:50

EN: and the bears will think that the price is a good value to sell.

ZH: 而空头会认为这个价格是一个很好的做空机会

30:50 - 30:53

EN: But that did not happen on this chart.

ZH: 但这在这张K线图上没有发生(那样的情况)

30:57 - 31:02

EN: At a minimum, after any kind of major reversal or a series of Sell Climaxes,

ZH: 在一系列抛售高潮之后,或者在任何大反转结构之后,

31:02 - 31:06

EN: the market has to go 10 bars, two legs sideways to up

ZH: 最低的目标是横盘或上涨两段10K

31:06 - 31:10

EN: before the bulls will stop buying and before the bears will think about selling.

ZH: 然后多头会考虑止盈,空头考虑再次做空

31:10 - 31:12

EN: It sometimes can go much further.

ZH: 有时候会涨很远(大反转)

31:12 - 31:16

EN: This is about 40 bars up, and we still do not have much selling.

ZH: 这里已经上涨了40根K线,但仍然没有太多卖盘

31:19 - 31:22

EN: The bears usually wait at least 10 bars and two legs before they sell,

ZH: 再次入场做空之前,空头通常会等待至少两段10K

31:22 - 31:26

EN: and if they see the rally being reasonably strong,

ZH: 如果他们发现多头足够强势,

31:26 - 31:27

EN: they’re still not going to sell.

ZH: 那空头就不会做空

31:27 - 31:30

EN: They’ll assume that the market has to go higher.

ZH: 他们知道市场还会继续上涨

Slide 014

Time: 31:35

Slide 014

Bilingual Transcript

31:38 - 31:41

EN: As the market’s going up, 3, 4, 5 consecutive bull bars,

ZH: 在上涨的时候,连续3、4、5根阳线

31:41 - 31:45

EN: traders conclude there’s no one left to sell at this price,

ZH: 交易者知道没有人愿意在这么低的价格迈出了

31:45 - 31:47

EN: and it has to go higher to find sellers.

ZH: 市场必须上涨才能找到更多卖家

31:47 - 31:50

EN: Will there be sellers here? Very Tight Bull Channel.

ZH: 这里会有人愿意卖出吗?很窄的上涨通道

31:50 - 31:54

EN: Probably traders will buy the first reversal back down,

ZH: 大概率多头会在第1次回调的时候买入

31:54 - 31:55

EN: and we’ll probably get a second leg up.

ZH: 然后会有第2段上涨

31:59 - 32:05

EN: There are always bulls buying at prior lows, looking for at least a scalp.

ZH: 总是有多头在前期的低点挂单买入, 希望至少能做一笔剥头皮交易

32:08 - 32:12

EN: A lot of these traders are weak bulls trying to buy and risk very little,

ZH: 这样做的很多都是弱多头,只愿意冒很小的风险

32:12 - 32:15

EN: and eventually they give up and they stop buying.

ZH: 最终放弃,不敢再继续买入

32:16 - 32:18

EN: They buy here and they see the market going down.

ZH: 他们在这里买入,然后看到市场下跌

32:18 - 32:20

EN: They panic and they sell.

ZH: 他们感到恐慌,于是卖出止损

32:20 - 32:23

EN: They buy at this low, and they see it going down more,

ZH: 他们在这个低点挂单买入,然后看到市场继续下跌

32:23 - 32:25

EN: they panic, and they sell.

ZH: 感到恐慌,卖出止损

32:25 - 32:27

EN: There are no more weak bulls left.

ZH: 弱多头都已经离场了

32:27 - 32:28

EN: They stopped buying.

ZH: 他们不再买入

32:28 - 32:31

EN: Eventually what you’re left with are strong bulls.

ZH: 最终,剩下的都是强多头

32:31 - 32:37

EN: Some of them are buying here, and they’re buying more aggressively

ZH: 其中有些人在这里买入之后, 在这些K线下方加仓买入更多,因为有足够的信心

32:35 - 32:37

EN: and more confidently below these bars,

ZH: 其中有些人在这里买入之后, 在这些K线下方加仓买入更多,因为有足够的信心

32:37 - 32:40

EN: and they’re never going to sell out of their longs.

ZH: 而且他们不打算卖出手中的仓位

32:40 - 32:43

EN: They’re confident that the market will eventually reverse

ZH: 他们确信市场最终会反转(至少进入震荡区间)

32:43 - 32:45

EN: and they’ll make a profit.

ZH: 然后他们就可以赚钱、止盈

32:54 - 32:56

EN: I talked about consecutive climaxes.

ZH: 这节课我主要讲了连续的高潮

Slide 015

Time: 32:55

Slide 015

Bilingual Transcript

32:56 - 32:59

EN: Every trend bar is a breakout and a climax.

ZH: 每根趋势K线都是突破和高潮

32:59 - 33:02

EN: If you get a series of them, the market usually gets exhausted

ZH: 在一系列高潮之后,市场通常会疲惫,

33:02 - 33:05

EN: and has to go sideways and often reverses.

ZH: 所以必须横盘整理,甚至反转

33:08 - 33:09

EN: I’m Al Brooks.

ZH: 我是阿尔·布鲁克斯

33:09 - 33:11

EN: Thank you for watching the Brooks Trading Course.

ZH: 感谢观看布鲁克斯交易课程

33:11 - 33:15

EN: This is the fourth of five videos on climaxes.

ZH: 高潮的第4节课,就先讲到这里