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32C - Orders

Raw transcript and slide notes for 32C - Orders.

Overview

  • Slides: 14
  • Transcript segments: 478
  • Status: 自动按 slide 时间线归档;核心概念和长期笔记可以在每个 slide 的 Study Notes 下继续整理。

Source Media

Transcript 001

Time: 00:02

Bilingual Transcript

00:02 - 00:03

EN: This is Al Brooks.

ZH: 你好,我是阿尔·布鲁克斯

00:03 - 00:05

EN: Thank you for watching the Brooks Trading Course.

ZH: 欢迎观看布鲁克斯交易课程

00:05 - 00:09

EN: This is the third of three videos on orders.

ZH: 这是订单的第3节课,也是最后1节课

Slide 001

Time: 00:11

Slide 001

Bilingual Transcript

00:14 - 00:21

EN: When you’re deciding what to do with your orders,

ZH: 在做交易的时候,用什么订单,订单挂在哪里, 这些都取决于市场目前的价格行为

00:16 - 00:21

EN: the price action should determine what order you should place

ZH: 在做交易的时候,用什么订单,订单挂在哪里, 这些都取决于市场目前的价格行为

00:19 - 00:21

EN: and where you should place it.

ZH: 在做交易的时候,用什么订单,订单挂在哪里, 这些都取决于市场目前的价格行为

00:22 - 00:28

EN: I want to talk a little bit about limit orders,

ZH: 我也会讲到限价单在顺势和逆势交易中的不同用法

00:24 - 00:28

EN: trading with the trend, and trading against the trend.

ZH: 我也会讲到限价单在顺势和逆势交易中的不同用法

00:29 - 00:35

EN: Also, traders can sometimes enter earlier

ZH: 此外,交易者有时可以在较小的时间周期上提前入场, 这样做可以减小风险

00:32 - 00:35

EN: on a smaller timeframe chart, reducing their risk.

ZH: 此外,交易者有时可以在较小的时间周期上提前入场, 这样做可以减小风险

Slide 002

Time: 00:37

Slide 002

Bilingual Transcript

00:46 - 00:50

EN: When the market has big swings, consecutive trend bars,

ZH: 如果有大的波段,连续的趋势K线,

00:51 - 00:55

EN: not much in terms of tails, not much in terms of reversals,

ZH: 几乎没有影线,几乎没有反转,

00:55 - 00:59

EN: traders can enter with stops or limit orders.

ZH: 交易者可以用突破单或限价单入场

01:02 - 01:03

EN: Strong bear trend.

ZH: 强下降趋势

01:03 - 01:05

EN: You can enter with stops below bars.

ZH: 你可以在K线下方挂突破卖单

01:05 - 01:07

EN: You can sell at the market.

ZH: 你可以市价卖出

01:07 - 01:10

EN: You can sell with limit orders above bars, betting reversals will fail.

ZH: 你可以在K线上方挂限价卖单,押注反弹失败

01:12 - 01:13

EN: Strong bull trend.

ZH: 强上涨趋势

01:13 - 01:17

EN: You can buy with stops above bars – you can buy with stops above bars here.

ZH: 你可以在K线上方挂突破买单—— 你可以在这里用突破单买入

01:17 - 01:21

EN: You can buy with limit orders below bars, betting that reversals will fail.

ZH: 你可以在K线下方挂限价买单,押注反转会失败

01:23 - 01:27

EN: However, when there are lots of reversals every few bars

ZH: 然而,如果你发现每隔几根K线就反转——

01:27 - 01:35

EN: - the market goes the opposite way, every bull bar followed by

ZH: 市场来回反转,每根阳线后面没有好的跟随, 阴线后面也没有好的跟随

01:31 - 01:35

EN: a bad follow-through bar, a series of bear bars with bad follow-through,

ZH: 市场来回反转,每根阳线后面没有好的跟随, 阴线后面也没有好的跟随

01:35 - 01:39

EN: and the market is mostly horizontal and many bars have prominent tails

ZH: 市场主要是在横盘震荡,很多K线都有明显的上下影线

01:39 - 01:42

EN: - you can see almost all bars have fairly prominent tails

ZH: ——可以看到几乎所有的K线都有相当明显的影线

01:42 - 01:45

EN: - this is a bad environment for stop entries.

ZH: 这样的行情就不适合用突破单入场

01:45 - 01:49

EN: Most traders should not trade when the market is starting to look like this.

ZH: 大多数交易者不应该在这种行情中交易

01:51 - 01:54

EN: However, experienced traders will enter with limit orders,

ZH: 然而,有经验的交易者会用限价单入场

01:54 - 01:59

EN: selling above bars, buying below bars, and scaling in lower and scalping.

ZH: 在K线上方做空,在K线下方做多, 并且加仓,做剥头皮交易

02:00 - 02:03

EN: This is a bad environment for stop orders.

ZH: 这种行情不适合用突破单入场

02:03 - 02:06

EN: A stop order is a bet that a trend will continue.

ZH: 突破单是押注趋势会继续

02:06 - 02:10

EN: When the market looks like this, stop orders are going to lose money

ZH: 如果遇到这种行情,突破单就会亏钱

02:10 - 02:12

EN: because the trends keep reversing.

ZH: 因为趋势在不断地反转

02:12 - 02:16

EN: It’s more of a limit order market, betting that breakouts will fail.

ZH: 这更像是一个限价单市场,押注突破会失败

02:16 - 02:18

EN: Selling above bars, betting on a reversal down.

ZH: 在K线上方卖出做空,押注会反转下跌

02:18 - 02:20

EN: Buying below bars, betting on a reversal up.

ZH: 在K线下方买入,押注会反转上涨

02:24 - 02:27

EN: When the market is very tight and arranged like this,

ZH: 如果市场是这样窄幅震荡,

02:27 - 02:29

EN: most traders should not trade.

ZH: 大多数交易者就不应该交易

02:29 - 02:30

EN: They should simply wait.

ZH: 而是应该耐心等待

02:30 - 02:34

EN: Experienced traders will trade with limit orders, and they’ll scalp.

ZH: 有经验的交易者会用限价单做剥头皮交易

Slide 003

Time: 02:38

Slide 003

Bilingual Transcript

02:42 - 02:49

EN: Sometimes when you look at a chart, you’re not sure if it is early

ZH: 如果你在看盘,无法确定现在是震荡区间的早期, 还是弱趋势

02:45 - 02:49

EN: in a Trading Range or if it’s in a weak trend.

ZH: 如果你在看盘,无法确定现在是震荡区间的早期, 还是弱趋势

02:49 - 02:52

EN: When you’re in doubt about what to do, you have three choices.

ZH: 当你不确定应该怎么做的时候,有3种选择

02:52 - 02:56

EN: One is you can wait for a second or third signal with a good signal bar.

ZH: 第一:你可以等待第2甚至第3信号,等一个好的信号K

02:56 - 02:59

EN: Another is you can wait for a strong breakout.

ZH: 第二:你可以等待强势的突破

02:59 - 03:02

EN: Then you have high probability, but your stop is further away.

ZH: 这样胜率就会更高,但止损也会更远

03:02 - 03:05

EN: And third, you can simply wait for a clear signal.

ZH: 第三:等待明确的信号

03:08 - 03:11

EN: For example, do you buy here, betting on a Double Bottom?

ZH: 比如说,是否要在这里买入,押注双底反转?

03:11 - 03:15

EN: Do you buy here, a second entry buy? This is an example of a second entry buy.

ZH: 还是在这个第2做多信号入场? 这是一个第2做多入场点的例子

03:15 - 03:19

EN: 3 bear bars, a bear trend, low probability buy.

ZH: 连续3根阴线,下降趋势,这是低胜率的买点

03:19 - 03:23

EN: But now we have a second reversal, a second attempted bottom.

ZH: 但是现在是第2次反转、第2次筑底的尝试

03:23 - 03:26

EN: You can call it a Final Flag reversal, a Lower Low.

ZH: 你可以说它是末端旗形反转,低点降低的反转

03:26 - 03:29

EN: We have lots of doji bars, bars with prominent tails,

ZH: 有很多十字星,K线都有明显的影线

03:29 - 03:32

EN: and the market’s going sideways – it’s probably an early Trading Range.

ZH: 市场在横盘——这很可能是震荡区间的早期

03:32 - 03:35

EN: Here, you’re buying a second entry at the bottom of the range.

ZH: 所以这里是区间底部的第2做多入场点

03:35 - 03:38

EN: This is a higher probability buy.

ZH: 这里做多的胜率更高

03:41 - 03:42

EN: Tight Trading Range.

ZH: 窄震荡区间

03:42 - 03:47

EN: If you’re looking to sell, here’s a first entry short.

ZH: 如果你想做空,这根阴线的最低点被跌破, 所以这里是第1做空入场点

03:45 - 03:47

EN: The market fell below this bear bar right here.

ZH: 如果你想做空,这根阴线的最低点被跌破, 所以这里是第1做空入场点

03:48 - 03:51

EN: It fell below this bear bar here, so that’s a second entry,

ZH: 这根阴线的低点被跌破,是第2入场点

03:51 - 03:53

EN: and here’s a third attempt.

ZH: 这里是第3次尝试下跌

03:53 - 03:56

EN: Whenever you have three reversals in a horizontal Trading Range

ZH: 只要在一个横向的震荡区间内看到3次反转,

03:56 - 04:03

EN: - you can call it a Triangle if you want; you can also call it

ZH: 你就可以把它看作三角形; 你也可以说它是第3做空入场点,成功率会更高

03:59 - 04:03

EN: a third entry short – the third entry has a higher probability of success.

ZH: 你就可以把它看作三角形; 你也可以说它是第3做空入场点,成功率会更高

04:05 - 04:07

EN: We’re getting a breakout.

ZH: 再次向上突破

04:07 - 04:10

EN: The first reversal down when this bar fell below that bar,

ZH: 跌破这根K线是第1次反转下跌,

04:10 - 04:15

EN: not a high probability short because we have 5 consecutive bull bars.

ZH: 这里做空的胜率不高,因为左边是连续5根阳线

04:15 - 04:17

EN: We have a lot of Trading Range price action here.

ZH: 这里有很多震荡区间的价格行为

04:17 - 04:20

EN: Most breakouts above Trading Ranges fail.

ZH: 震荡区间中大部分突破的尝试会失败

04:20 - 04:23

EN: It’s higher probability to take a second entry short.

ZH: 第2做空入场点的胜率会更高

04:23 - 04:26

EN: The first entry was this bar falling below that bar.

ZH: 第1入场点是它的低点下方

04:26 - 04:29

EN: Traders would then place a stop order to go short below this bar,

ZH: 然后空头会在这根K线的下方挂突破卖单

04:29 - 04:31

EN: which would be a second entry short.

ZH: 它变成了第2做空入场点(注:在挂单的时候, 并不知道它的低点是否会被跌破,所以是等待触发)

04:36 - 04:38

EN: The market’s in a fairly Tight Bear Channel.

ZH: 然后市场进入了一个很窄的下降通道

04:38 - 04:41

EN: Traders will sell below pullback bars.

ZH: 交易者会在反弹K线的下方做空

04:41 - 04:45

EN: For example, we have a pause bar here, an attempt to reverse.

ZH: 例如,这里有一个暂停K线,尝试向上反转

04:45 - 04:47

EN: This is a strong enough breakout.

ZH: 这是一个足够强的突破

04:47 - 04:49

EN: We’ll probably get at least a little bit more down.

ZH: 大概率至少还会再下跌一些

04:49 - 04:52

EN: Traders would therefore try to sell below the low of this bar.

ZH: 因此,空头会在这根K线的低点下方做空

04:52 - 04:54

EN: These 2 bars have the same low.

ZH: 这两根K线的低点相同

04:54 - 05:02

EN: The trader would get filled on this bar, betting that there would be

ZH: 空头的突破卖单会在这根K线上成交, 他们押注下降趋势恢复,会有足够大的跌幅让他们盈利

04:57 - 05:02

EN: at least enough trend resumption down for a profitable trade.

ZH: 他们押注下降趋势恢复,会有足够大的跌幅让他们盈利

05:03 - 05:10

EN: Even though after the breakout there’s a bull bar,

ZH: 大阴线跌破之后的跟随是阳线,并不好; 但后面又是一根阴线

05:06 - 05:10

EN: bad follow-through, the bar afterwards had a bear bar.

ZH: 大阴线跌破之后的跟随是阳线,并不好; 但后面又是一根阴线

05:10 - 05:15

EN: Sometimes the follow-through occurs on the second bar,

ZH: 有时跟随会出现在突破后的第2根K线上

05:13 - 05:15

EN: not the bar after the bear trend bar.

ZH: 有时跟随会出现在突破后的第2根K线上

05:15 - 05:17

EN: When a channel is tight like this,

ZH: 如果是这么窄的下降通道

05:17 - 05:20

EN: the odds of a reversal up going very far are small.

ZH: 大幅反弹的概率很小

05:20 - 05:26

EN: Most likely any reversal up is going to be a bear flag,

ZH: 任何向上的反转尝试,大概率都会变成熊旗, 或者变成震荡区间

05:24 - 05:26

EN: or possibly a bull leg in what would become a Trading Range.

ZH: 任何向上的反转尝试,大概率都会变成熊旗, 或者变成震荡区间

05:27 - 05:31

EN: If we went up 5 or 10 bars, we probably would come back down and test this area.

ZH: 比如,即使上涨了5~10根K线, 最终也会再次下跌,重新测试这个区域

05:32 - 05:35

EN: So a trader selling here could sell more on a rally,

ZH: 因此,在这里卖出的空头会在反弹时加仓卖出更多

05:35 - 05:38

EN: expecting the market to come back down here.

ZH: 他们预期市场会跌回到这里

05:39 - 05:43

EN: A Tight Bear Channel is unlikely to become a bull trend.

ZH: 窄下降通道不太可能(直接)成为上涨趋势

05:43 - 05:46

EN: The best the bulls usually can get is only a Trading Range.

ZH: 通常多头能得到的最好结果也就是一个震荡区间

05:46 - 05:48

EN: If you sell here, you can sell more higher.

ZH: 如果你在这里卖出,你可以逢高卖出更多

05:48 - 05:51

EN: Trading Range.

ZH: 震荡区间,所以预期会跌回来

05:49 - 05:51

EN: You expect it to come back down.

ZH: 震荡区间,所以预期会跌回来

05:56 - 05:58

EN: Very Tight Bear Channel.

ZH: 非常窄的下降通道

05:58 - 05:59

EN: Strong breakout.

ZH: 强势跌破

05:59 - 06:01

EN: Probably at least a small second leg down.

ZH: 大概率至少会有小的第2段下跌

06:02 - 06:03

EN: This is the second leg down.

ZH: 这是第2段下跌

06:03 - 06:07

EN: Would you buy above this bull bar? Well, I don’t know.

ZH: 是否应该在这根阳线的上方买入?不好说

06:07 - 06:08

EN: You’ve got 2 consecutive bears.

ZH: 左边是连续两根阴线

06:08 - 06:15

EN: Now you have a Micro Double Bottom and a Lower Low.

ZH: 但是现在有一个小双底; 并且这里是一个较大的双底,低点降低的双底

06:12 - 06:15

EN: Basically a Double Bottom, this low and that low,

ZH: 但是现在有一个小双底; 并且这里是一个较大的双底,低点降低的双底

06:15 - 06:17

EN: and this is a Micro Double Bottom.

ZH: 然后这里是一个小双底

06:17 - 06:23

EN: Micro Double Bottom is a type of second entry buy, and therefore it’s reasonable

ZH: 小双底是第2做多入场点,因此在这里买入是合理的

06:23 - 06:28

EN: to buy here, betting on at least a minor reversal – possibly a major reversal.

ZH: 押注至少会有小反转——甚至可能是大反转

06:28 - 06:31

EN: Probably not enough bars for a major reversal.

ZH: 目前没有足够多的K线形成大反转结构

06:31 - 06:36

EN: Probably good enough for a profitable minor reversal up and a profitable buy.

ZH: 但是对于小反转而言,这个买点足够好,有机会赚钱

Slide 004

Time: 06:40

Slide 004

Bilingual Transcript

06:42 - 06:48

EN: Traders can use limit orders when they’re trading in the direction of the trend,

ZH: 交易者可以用限价单做顺势交易,押注反转失败;

06:46 - 06:53

EN: betting on reversals failing, and they can also use limit orders

ZH: 交易者可以用限价单做顺势交易,押注反转失败; 也可以用限价单押注反转成功

06:50 - 06:53

EN: betting on a reversal in a trend.

ZH: 也可以用限价单押注反转成功

Slide 005

Time: 06:54

Slide 005

Bilingual Transcript

06:59 - 07:02

EN: We have a bear trend here, a bull trend here.

ZH: 这里本来是下降趋势,然后变成上涨趋势

07:02 - 07:04

EN: Trends are always trying to reverse.

ZH: 趋势总是在尝试反转

07:10 - 07:13

EN: When the market’s in a reasonably strong trend during a breakout

ZH: 市场在突破阶段处于较强的趋势

07:13 - 07:17

EN: - there’s a breakout here – traders will bet that reversal attempts will fail.

ZH: ——比如这里的多头突破—— 交易者会押注反转失败

07:17 - 07:21

EN: For example, they’ll buy with a limit order at the low of this bar,

ZH: 例如,他们会在这根K线的低点挂限价买单

07:21 - 07:23

EN: betting that there’ll be at least a small second leg up.

ZH: 押注至少会有一个小的第2段上涨

07:24 - 07:27

EN: When the market is starting to look like a Trading Range,

ZH: 当市场开始看起来像是震荡区间的时候,

07:27 - 07:30

EN: traders will bet that breakout attempts will fail.

ZH: 交易者会押注突破失败

07:30 - 07:32

EN: For example, they might sell above the high of this bar,

ZH: 例如,他们可能会在这根K线的高点挂限价卖单做空,

07:32 - 07:38

EN: betting that the first reversal up from a Tight Bear Channel

ZH: 因为这是窄下降通道, 空头押注第1次反转上涨的尝试最多变成震荡区间

07:36 - 07:38

EN: is likely a bull leg in a Trading Range.

ZH: 因为这是窄下降通道, 空头押注第1次反转上涨的尝试最多变成震荡区间

07:38 - 07:42

EN: So they’ll sell at that high, betting that the reversal up will fail.

ZH: 所以他们会在那个高点卖出,押注反转上涨的尝试会失败

07:42 - 07:44

EN: Likewise down here.

ZH: 这里也是一样

07:44 - 07:47

EN: We’re starting to get a lot of doji bars, Trading Range types of bars.

ZH: 开始出现很多十字星、震荡K线

07:47 - 07:51

EN: Traders would look to buy below the low, the prior low,

ZH: 交易者会在这个低点、前期的低点下方挂单买入

07:51 - 07:57

EN: betting that the breakout will fail and that the market will stop being

ZH: 押注向下跌破的尝试会失败, 押注下降趋势会停止,并进入震荡区间

07:54 - 07:57

EN: in a bear trend and start entering a Trading Range.

ZH: 押注向下跌破的尝试会失败, 押注下降趋势会停止,并进入震荡区间

08:03 - 08:06

EN: We have 5 bear bars after a Wedge Top.

ZH: 在楔形顶之后出现了5根阴线

08:06 - 08:07

EN: A second leg down is likely.

ZH: 很可能会有第2段下跌

08:07 - 08:12

EN: Wedge Top, one, two, three.

ZH: 楔形顶——1,2,3; 连续下跌5根K线

08:10 - 08:12

EN: 5 bars down.

ZH: 楔形顶——1,2,3; 连续下跌5根K线

08:12 - 08:16

EN: 2 of them are dojis, but 3 are pretty good bear bars closing on their lows.

ZH: 其中两个是十字星,但另外3根是非常不错的阴线, 全都收在最低

08:16 - 08:18

EN: The market will likely have a second leg down.

ZH: 大概率会有第2段下跌

08:20 - 08:21

EN: This is a bear trend.

ZH: 已经变成了下降趋势

08:21 - 08:24

EN: Traders will bet the reversal up will fail.

ZH: 交易者押注向上的反转会失败

08:24 - 08:28

EN: They’ll place a limit order to sell above the high

ZH: 所以他们在这根K线的高点上方, 或者这根阴线的高点上方挂限价卖单做空

08:26 - 08:28

EN: of this bar or above the high of this bear bar.

ZH: 所以他们在这根K线的高点上方, 或者这根阴线的高点上方挂限价卖单做空

08:28 - 08:35

EN: They’ll get filled here,

ZH: 他们的订单会在这里成交, 止盈目标位则是在下方某个地方(比如MM目标位)

08:32 - 08:35

EN: and then they’ll look to take a profit somewhere down here.

ZH: 他们的订单会在这里成交, 止盈目标位则是在下方某个地方(比如MM目标位)

08:37 - 08:41

EN: We have a reversal up, a second reversal up, and a third reversal up.

ZH: 一次、两次、三次向上翻转

08:41 - 08:45

EN: This is a Wedge Bottom after a fairly weak trend.

ZH: 这是一个弱下降趋势之后的楔形底

08:45 - 08:47

EN: Not much in terms of consecutive bear bars.

ZH: 没有很多连续的大阴线

08:47 - 08:49

EN: We have a bear bar, bull bar.

ZH: 大阴线,大阳线

08:49 - 08:51

EN: Bear bar, doji, 3 bull bars.

ZH: 大阴线,十字星,然后3根阳线

08:51 - 08:54

EN: Bear bar, bear bar with tail, dojis, bull bars.

ZH: 大阴线,下影线很长的阴线,几个十字星,然后阳线

08:54 - 08:56

EN: This is a weak selloff.

ZH: 这个下降趋势比较弱

08:56 - 08:59

EN: Probably a bear leg in what will become a Trading Range.

ZH: 很可能会变成震荡区间

08:59 - 09:02

EN: Traders will look for reasons to buy a reversal up.

ZH: 所以交易者寻找反转上涨的做多机会

09:02 - 09:05

EN: We have a Wedge Bottom and we have a strong bull breakout bar

ZH: 楔形底,非常强势的反转大阳线,

09:05 - 09:11

EN: and a bull follow-through bar – strong enough so that the market

ZH: 后续的跟随也是阳线—— 所以大概率至少会有第2段上涨

09:08 - 09:11

EN: will probably have at least a small second leg up.

ZH: 后续的跟随也是阳线—— 所以大概率至少会有第2段上涨

09:12 - 09:14

EN: Bears will see this as a Double Top.

ZH: 空头会把它看作双顶

09:14 - 09:19

EN: Bulls will correctly decide that it’s more likely

ZH: 而多头(正确地)认为,这根阳线的下方大概率买盘更多

09:17 - 09:19

EN: there’ll be buyers below this bull bar.

ZH: 而多头(正确地)认为,这根阳线的下方大概率买盘更多

09:19 - 09:21

EN: We have a bull breakout bar, a big bull bar.

ZH: 大阳线,强势突破

09:21 - 09:24

EN: We have a follow-through bull body, even though it’s small.

ZH: 跟随K线也是阳线,尽管体积很小

09:24 - 09:25

EN: We have a Wedge Bottom.

ZH: 左边是楔形底

09:25 - 09:27

EN: We have a lot of Trading Range price action.

ZH: 有很多震荡区间的价格行为

09:28 - 09:31

EN: Bulls will place a limit order to buy at the low of this bar.

ZH: 多头会在这根K线的低点挂限价买单

09:31 - 09:32

EN: They’ll get filled here.

ZH: 他们会在这里成交

09:32 - 09:36

EN: They’ll put their stop down here, betting on at least a small second leg up.

ZH: 然后把止损放在这里,押注至少会有小的第2段上涨

09:36 - 09:40

EN: They’re using a limit order to trade in the direction of a bull trend,

ZH: 他们用限价单顺着上涨趋势的方向交易

09:40 - 09:46

EN: just like the bears who sold here were using a limit order

ZH: 就像这里空头用限价卖单,顺着下降趋势做空一样

09:43 - 09:46

EN: to trade in the direction of a bear trend.

ZH: 就像这里空头用限价卖单,顺着下降趋势做空一样

Slide 006

Time: 09:50

Slide 006

Bilingual Transcript

09:52 - 09:58

EN: Traders will also use limit orders to bet that a trend will fail.

ZH: 交易者也会用限价单押注趋势失败,做逆势交易

09:56 - 09:58

EN: They’ll be trading countertrend.

ZH: 交易者也会用限价单押注趋势失败,做逆势交易

10:02 - 10:05

EN: Traders see a reversal down, reversal down,

ZH: 交易者看到反转、反转

10:05 - 10:08

EN: and then a big doji bar at the top of a Wedge channel.

ZH: 然后在楔形通道的上沿出现了一个大的十字星

10:08 - 10:12

EN: Some traders will bet that the breakout above the channel will fail,

ZH: 一些交易者押注向上突破通道的尝试会失败

10:12 - 10:17

EN: and they’ll place a limit order to sell at the high

ZH: 所以他们在这根K线,或这根K线的高点挂限价卖单做空

10:14 - 10:17

EN: of this bar or at the high of this bar.

ZH: 所以他们在这根K线,或这根K线的高点挂限价卖单做空

10:17 - 10:20

EN: If they sold at the high of this bar, their order would not be filled,

ZH: 这根K线高点的限价卖单不会成交

10:20 - 10:27

EN: but if they placed a limit order to sell at the high of this bar,

ZH: 但是这根K线高点的限价卖单,会在这里成交 押注楔形顶之后至少有两段下跌

10:23 - 10:27

EN: they’d be filled right here, betting on at least

ZH: 但是这根K线高点的限价卖单,会在这里成交 押注楔形顶之后至少有两段下跌

10:25 - 10:27

EN: a couple legs down from the Wedge.

ZH: 但是这根K线高点的限价卖单,会在这里成交 押注楔形顶之后至少有两段下跌

10:29 - 10:31

EN: This is betting against a trend.

ZH: 这是逆势交易

10:31 - 10:35

EN: This is using a limit order betting that a trend is about to reverse.

ZH: 用限价卖单押注上涨趋势即将反转

10:42 - 10:46

EN: We have a bear selloff, but we’re getting bad follow-through.

ZH: 空头抛售,但是变得越来越弱 (注:急速变通道,最后变成震荡区间)

10:46 - 10:49

EN: Dojis, prominent tails, sideways bars.

ZH: 很多十字星,有明显的影线,开始重叠、横盘

10:49 - 10:54

EN: The bulls who bought at this low had a bounce, maybe enough for a scalp.

ZH: 在前期低点挂单做多的多头得到了一些反弹, 可能足够赚到剥头皮的利润

10:54 - 10:59

EN: The bulls who bought at this low again probably made enough for a scalp.

ZH: 在这个低点挂单做多的多头又得到了反弹, 足够做一笔剥头皮交易

10:59 - 11:03

EN: Therefore, bulls are assuming the market might be entering a Trading Range

ZH: 因此,多头假设市场正在变成震荡区间

11:03 - 11:07

EN: and they’ll look to buy prior lows, and sometimes they’ll even look

ZH: 他们考虑在前期的低点挂单做多, 甚至考虑在熊旗下方买入

11:06 - 11:07

EN: to buy below a bear flag.

ZH: 他们考虑在前期的低点挂单做多, 甚至考虑在熊旗下方买入

11:07 - 11:12

EN: Here we have a Double Top bear flag and we have

ZH: 这里有一个双顶熊旗,这根阳线不错,这根阳线更好

11:10 - 11:12

EN: a good bull bar here, a better bull bar here.

ZH: 这里有一个双顶熊旗,这根阳线不错,这根阳线更好

11:12 - 11:15

EN: Some bulls will place a limit order to buy at the low of this bar,

ZH: 一些多头会在这根K线的低点挂限价买单做多

11:15 - 11:18

EN: just in case the market does not fall below this low.

ZH: 以防市场不会跌破这个低点

11:18 - 11:21

EN: They’ll place a limit order, they’ll get filled here.

ZH: 他们的限价买单会在这里成交

11:21 - 11:23

EN: It does not matter that it fell a little further.

ZH: 即使市场再下跌一点也没关系

11:23 - 11:27

EN: Some bulls would even buy more at this low, betting that we’re entering

ZH: 一些多头甚至会在这个低点挂单买入更多,

11:27 - 11:33

EN: a Trading Range and we’ll probably get a bounce

ZH: 押注市场正在转变为震荡区间,很可能会有反弹, 反弹幅度至少足够赚到剥头皮的利润

11:30 - 11:33

EN: that’s at least big enough for a profitable scalp.

ZH: 押注市场正在转变为震荡区间,很可能会有反弹, 反弹幅度至少足够赚到剥头皮的利润

11:33 - 11:41

EN: Again, bear trend, but bulls buying either

ZH: 再讲一遍,下降趋势,但多头在前期低点, 或者在低2熊旗下方(用限价买单)买入

11:37 - 11:41

EN: at the prior low or below a Low 2 bear flag.

ZH: 再讲一遍,下降趋势,但多头在前期低点, 或者在低2熊旗下方(用限价买单)买入

11:41 - 11:45

EN: We have a Double Top, therefore it’s a Low 2 – Low 1, Low 2

ZH: 这是一个双顶,所以也是低2——低1,低2

11:45 - 11:48

EN: - they’ll place a limit order to buy at that low for a scalp up,

ZH: 他们会在那个低点挂限价买单做多,做剥头皮

11:48 - 11:52

EN: betting that the bear trend will evolve into a Trading Range

ZH: 押注下降趋势会演变为震荡区间

11:52 - 11:54

EN: and they’ll be able to make a profitable scalp.

ZH: 足够他们赚一笔剥头皮的利润

Slide 007

Time: 12:00

Slide 007

Bilingual Transcript

12:01 - 12:05

EN: We have a strong rally, but it’s about a 50% correction,

ZH: 强势的反弹,但这是大约50%的位置

12:06 - 12:09

EN: and we have a pullback – 3 consecutive bear bars.

ZH: 然后回调——连续3根阴线

12:09 - 12:12

EN: The bulls are trying to resume, but bad follow-through.

ZH: 多头尝试恢复上涨趋势,但没有良好的跟随

12:12 - 12:14

EN: Another bull bar, bad follow-through.

ZH: 又一根阳线,但跟随不好

12:14 - 12:19

EN: Some bears will sell with a limit order at the top of this bear bar,

ZH: 一些空头会在这根阴线的高点挂限价卖单做空

12:19 - 12:23

EN: betting that there’s not enough momentum up for the market to go much higher,

ZH: 押注市场没有足够的动能,不会再涨太多

12:23 - 12:27

EN: and therefore this might be the start of a Trading Range

ZH: 所以这很可能变成震荡区间,而不是上涨趋势

12:25 - 12:27

EN: rather than the start of a bull trend.

ZH: 所以这很可能变成震荡区间,而不是上涨趋势

12:27 - 12:30

EN: They’ll sell with a limit order at the top of this bear bar,

ZH: 他们会在这根阴线的高点挂限价卖单做空,

12:30 - 12:33

EN: betting that maybe it’s a Low 2 short.

ZH: 押注这可能是一个成功的低2做空点

12:33 - 12:37

EN: We have one leg up, reversal, second leg up, trying to get a third leg up.

ZH: 第1段上涨,回调;第2段上涨; 现在尝试第3段上涨

12:37 - 12:42

EN: They’ll bet against a successful bull breakout, and instead a Trading Range.

ZH: 空头押注多头的突破无法成功,会变成震荡区间

12:43 - 12:44

EN: We have an early bull trend.

ZH: (尽管)这可能是上涨趋势的初期

12:44 - 12:48

EN: We have a breakout, a bull flag, a weak breakout of the bull flag.

ZH: 多头突破,牛旗,向上的突破很弱

12:48 - 12:49

EN: Bear bar, bear bar.

ZH: 阴线,阴线

12:49 - 12:53

EN: Traders will place a limit order to go short at the high of this bear bar,

ZH: 所以空头在这根阴线的高点挂限价卖单做空

12:53 - 12:57

EN: and they’ll get filled here, betting that the bull trend will fail.

ZH: 订单会在这里成交,押注上涨趋势失败

12:57 - 13:03

EN: They’re using a limit order to bet against a bull trend

ZH: 他们用限价卖单押注上涨趋势失败, 押注市场进入震荡区间

13:00 - 13:03

EN: and instead bet on a Trading Range.

ZH: 他们用限价卖单押注上涨趋势失败, 押注市场进入震荡区间

13:08 - 13:14

EN: The market is starting to rally.

ZH: 上涨,一系列连续的阳线,但是之前这里有很多大阴线

13:10 - 13:14

EN: We have a series of consecutive bull bars, but we have a lot of bear bars here,

ZH: 上涨,一系列连续的阳线,但是之前这里有很多大阴线

13:14 - 13:17

EN: and this high is a Double Top with this high.

ZH: 而且这个高点和这个高点形成了双顶

13:17 - 13:19

EN: This high is also a Double Top with this high.

ZH: 它和它也是双顶

13:19 - 13:22

EN: It looks like the market’s evolving into a Trading Range.

ZH: 看起来市场正在转变成震荡区间

13:22 - 13:27

EN: Here’s a High 1 buy, but a bear bar, and the market did not go up very far.

ZH: 这是高1做多入场点,但(高1信号K线)是阴线, 没有上涨多少就跌下来了

13:27 - 13:30

EN: Now we have a High 2 buy, but a bear doji.

ZH: 这里是高2,但(高2信号K线)是空头十字星

13:30 - 13:34

EN: Probably not going to be a very profitable buy.

ZH: 做多大概率无法赚到钱

13:34 - 13:36

EN: Some bears will sell at the high of this bar,

ZH: 一些空头会在这根K线的高点(挂限价卖单)卖出

13:36 - 13:39

EN: betting against a successful bull breakout,

ZH: 押注多头突破不会成功

13:39 - 13:42

EN: and instead betting the bull breakout will fail

ZH: 押注多头突破会失败

13:42 - 13:44

EN: and that this will become a Trading Range.

ZH: 押注这会变成震荡区间

13:44 - 13:49

EN: They’re betting against a successful breakout

ZH: 他们押注多头突破不会成功,押注上涨趋势无法继续

13:47 - 13:49

EN: and continuation of this bull trend.

ZH: 他们押注多头突破不会成功,押注上涨趋势无法继续

13:49 - 13:54

EN: They’re trading countertrend with a limit order, selling at the top of a rally.

ZH: 他们用限价卖单进行逆势交易, 在上涨趋势的高位卖出做空

13:59 - 14:02

EN: When the market looks like it might be entering a Trading Range

ZH: 当市场看起来像是要变成震荡区间时——

Slide 008

Time: 14:00

Slide 008

Bilingual Transcript

14:02 - 14:05

EN: - very Tight Bear Channel, first reversal up probably minor,

ZH: 很窄的下降通道,第1次上涨大概率只是小反弹,

14:05 - 14:09

EN: a bull leg in a Trading Range – traders will sell at prior highs.

ZH: 或者只是震荡区间中的一段上涨—— 空头会在前期高点挂单卖出做空

14:09 - 14:10

EN: Here’s a prior high.

ZH: 前期高点在这里

14:10 - 14:13

EN: Traders will place a limit order to sell; they’ll get filled here.

ZH: 空头会在这里挂限价卖单,订单在这里成交

14:13 - 14:16

EN: They’ll put a stop above this bear trend high.

ZH: 然后把止损放在这个下降趋势的起跌点上方

14:16 - 14:18

EN: And the same thing here.

ZH: 这里也是一样

14:18 - 14:19

EN: We have a major high.

ZH: 这是一个重要的高点

14:19 - 14:20

EN: It led to a new low.

ZH: 跌破创新低

14:22 - 14:26

EN: Bears will sell with a limit order at the high of this bar,

ZH: 空头会在这根K线的高点挂限价卖单做空, 订单会在这里成交

14:24 - 14:26

EN: and they’ll get filled here.

ZH: 空头会在这根K线的高点挂限价卖单做空, 订单会在这里成交

14:26 - 14:29

EN: And even here, they’ll sell with a limit order at the high of this bar.

ZH: 甚至在这里,他们会在这根K线的高点挂限价卖单做空

14:29 - 14:30

EN: We have another high here.

ZH: 还有这个高点

14:30 - 14:33

EN: The market’s going above it.

ZH: 当市场上涨的时候,空头会在这里卖出

14:31 - 14:33

EN: They’ll sell here.

ZH: 当市场上涨的时候,空头会在这里卖出

14:33 - 14:37

EN: Different choices, all close together, but all are adequate choices.

ZH: 有很多种做法,它们很接近,都是合理的选择

14:37 - 14:40

EN: Stop above the top of the bear trend, betting that this rally

ZH: 止损放在整个下降趋势的起跌点下方,

14:40 - 14:43

EN: is not strong enough to be the start of a bull trend.

ZH: 押注这段上涨不足以形成大的上涨趋势

14:43 - 14:47

EN: Instead, it’s probably two legs up in a Trading Range – one, pullback, two

ZH: 相反,它可能只是震荡区间中的两段上涨——1,回调,2

14:47 - 14:51

EN: - and that if it’s a leg up in a Trading Range, it’ll be followed by a leg down.

ZH: ——如果它确实只是震荡区间中的上涨波段, 那么接下来会再次下跌

14:51 - 14:55

EN: And the bears therefore are betting against a successful trend,

ZH: 因此,空头押注不会有成功的上涨趋势

14:55 - 15:00

EN: betting in favor of a Trading Range, selling at and above prior highs.

ZH: 押注市场更有可能变成震荡区间, 所以他们在前期的这些高点挂单卖出做空

15:04 - 15:07

EN: We have a bull flag, 4 consecutive bull bars,

ZH: 连续4根阳线之后,回调

15:07 - 15:11

EN: but a bear bar at a prior high and around a 50% pullback.

ZH: 但是在前期高点,以及大约50%反弹的位置出现了阴线

15:11 - 15:14

EN: That’s not a very good-looking bull flag.

ZH: 这不是一个很好的牛旗

15:14 - 15:18

EN: Bears will place a limit order to sell at the high of this buy signal bar

ZH: 空头会在这根做多信号K线的高点挂限价卖单做空——

15:18 - 15:20

EN: - a bear bar and a possible Double Top.

ZH: 因为这是一个潜在的双顶,而且有阴线

15:20 - 15:21

EN: The same true here.

ZH: 这里也是一样

15:21 - 15:24

EN: We’re getting a bull breakout, but again, a bear bar.

ZH: 多头突破到新高,但立刻就是阴线

15:24 - 15:29

EN: This bar has a prominent tail on top

ZH: 在突破前期高点的时候,它的顶部有明显的上影线

15:26 - 15:29

EN: as it’s breaking above this prior Lower High.

ZH: 在突破前期高点的时候,它的顶部有明显的上影线

15:29 - 15:32

EN: It’s a Lower High compared to the top of the bear trend.

ZH: 它和下降趋势的起跌点形成了高点降低的双顶

15:32 - 15:37

EN: Traders expect this is a bad buy signal bar, a bad bull flag.

ZH: 交易者认为这是一个糟糕的做多信号K线, 是一个糟糕的牛旗

15:37 - 15:39

EN: They’ll place a limit order to sell at the high of this bar,

ZH: 他们会在这根K线的高点挂限价卖单做空

15:39 - 15:41

EN: and they’ll get filled right there.

ZH: 然后订单会在这里成交

15:43 - 15:47

EN: The same is true at the bottom of what they think is a Trading Range.

ZH: 如果交易者认为这是震荡区间的下沿, 那么也是一样的做法

15:49 - 15:51

EN: A Double Top bear flag, but bad follow-through,

ZH: 双顶熊旗,但没有良好的跟随

15:51 - 15:54

EN: a lot of prominent tails, a lot of Trading Range price action.

ZH: 很多明显的影线,很多震荡区间的价格行为

15:54 - 15:57

EN: The entire selloff looks like a bear leg in a Trading Range.

ZH: 整段下跌看起来像是震荡区间中的下跌波段

15:57 - 16:02

EN: Traders will begin to buy below bars, betting that bear breakouts will fail.

ZH: 交易者开始在K线下方买入,押注向下跌破的尝试会失败

16:02 - 16:06

EN: They place a limit order to buy at the low

ZH: 他们在这根K线的低点挂限价买单做多, 订单在这里成交

16:04 - 16:06

EN: of this bar and they get filled right here.

ZH: 他们在这根K线的低点挂限价买单做多, 订单在这里成交

16:07 - 16:12

EN: Here we’re getting a bull reversal fairly low down

ZH: 这里多头开始反转上涨, 处于整个大震荡区间的底部附近

16:10 - 16:12

EN: in a possible big Trading Range.

ZH: 这里多头开始反转上涨, 处于整个大震荡区间的底部附近

16:12 - 16:16

EN: Bulls will bet that this Double Top bear flag will fail,

ZH: 多头押注这个双顶熊旗会失败

16:16 - 16:18

EN: this breakout’s strong enough for a second leg up.

ZH: 而且这根大阳线足够强势,所以至少会有第2段上涨

16:18 - 16:21

EN: They’ll place a limit order to buy at the low of this bar.

ZH: 他们会在这根K线的低点挂限价买单做多

16:21 - 16:24

EN: The bears see a Double Top bear flag in a bear trend;

ZH: 在空头的视角里,这是下降趋势中的双顶熊旗

16:24 - 16:29

EN: the bulls see a Wedge Bottom – one, two, three – and a strong reversal up.

ZH: 而多头看到的是楔形底——1,2,3—— 然后强势地反转上涨

16:29 - 16:31

EN: Probably we’ll get a second leg up.

ZH: 很可能会有第2段上涨

16:31 - 16:34

EN: Bulls will place a limit order to buy at the low of this bar,

ZH: 多头会在这根K线的低点挂限价买单做多

16:34 - 16:38

EN: and their order will get filled right here and their stop will be here.

ZH: 他们的订单在这里成交,止损放在这里

16:41 - 16:43

EN: A lot of Trading Range price action.

ZH: 这里有很多震荡区间的价格行为

16:44 - 16:49

EN: Does not look like a strong rally; it lacks consecutive big bull trend bars.

ZH: 看起来不像是强势的上涨,没有连续的大阳线

16:49 - 16:53

EN: Does not look like a strong selloff; it lacks consecutive big bear bars.

ZH: 这里看起来不像是强势的下跌,没有连续的大阴线

16:53 - 16:55

EN: 2 big bear bars here, but a doji here.

ZH: 这里有两根大阴线,但后面是十字星

16:55 - 16:57

EN: Bear bar here, but a doji here.

ZH: 大阴线,又是十字星

16:57 - 16:59

EN: A couple bear bars here, but a tail.

ZH: 这里有几根阴线,但是都有下影线

16:59 - 17:03

EN: Traders will look to buy at a prior low, looking for a scalp up,

ZH: 所以多头想要在前期的低点挂单买入, 押注会有反弹,可以做一笔剥头皮

17:03 - 17:09

EN: and Trading Range price action – they’ll sell at the prior high,

ZH: 这些事震荡区间的价格行为, 所以空头在前期高点挂单卖出做空,押注反转下跌

17:07 - 17:09

EN: betting on a reversal down.

ZH: 这些事震荡区间的价格行为, 所以空头在前期高点挂单卖出做空,押注反转下跌

17:09 - 17:11

EN: So they buy this low.

ZH: 多头在这个低点挂单买入

17:11 - 17:16

EN: They place a limit order as the market is falling,

ZH: 当市场再次下跌,他们在这个低点挂单买入

17:14 - 17:16

EN: they place a limit order to buy this low.

ZH: 当市场再次下跌,他们在这个低点挂单买入

17:16 - 17:20

EN: As the market’s falling again - over here, they’ll place a limit order

ZH: 然后当市场又跌到这里时,他们在这个低点挂单买入,

17:20 - 17:27

EN: to buy this low, each time expecting the breakout to not fall very far

ZH: 押注每次突破都不会下跌太远, 然后会有足够的反弹,让他们可以赚到剥头皮的利润

17:24 - 17:27

EN: and to bounce enough for them to get a scalp.

ZH: 押注每次突破都不会下跌太远, 然后会有足够的反弹,让他们可以赚到剥头皮的利润

17:27 - 17:30

EN: A lot of times they’ll buy this low, they’ll get filled here,

ZH: 很多时候,他们在这个低点挂限价买单, 订单在这里成交

17:30 - 17:37

EN: and they’ll try to buy more down here as long

ZH: 然后他们会逢低加仓, 前提是两笔交易之间至少隔开一笔剥头皮的距离

17:34 - 17:37

EN: as their second entry is at least as big as a scalp.

ZH: 然后他们会逢低加仓, 前提是两笔交易之间至少隔开一笔剥头皮的距离

17:37 - 17:41

EN: If they buy here and they buy more here if it’s the size of a scalp,

ZH: 如果他们在这里买入,然后在这里加仓买入更多, 中间至少隔开一笔剥头皮的距离

17:41 - 17:44

EN: and the market reverses back up to their first entry price,

ZH: 然后市场反弹回到他们第1次入场的价格

17:44 - 17:49

EN: they get out breakeven on their first entry

ZH: 此时他们的初始仓位就可以打平离场, 而加仓的部分就赚到了一笔剥头皮的利润

17:46 - 17:49

EN: and with a scalp profit on their lower entry.

ZH: 此时他们的初始仓位就可以打平离场, 而加仓的部分就赚到了一笔剥头皮的利润

Slide 009

Time: 17:55

Slide 009

Bilingual Transcript

17:56 - 17:58

EN: We have a reversal down, a second reversal down.

ZH: 反转下跌,第2次反转下跌

17:58 - 18:04

EN: A lot of traders will assume the bull bars are not big enough

ZH: 很多交易者认为阳线不够大,不够强势, 无法形成上涨趋势

18:02 - 18:04

EN: and powerful enough to lead to a bull trend.

ZH: 很多交易者认为阳线不够大,不够强势, 无法形成上涨趋势

18:04 - 18:07

EN: We have a tail here, we have 3 bear bars here.

ZH: 这里的上影线很长,然后有连续3根阴线

18:07 - 18:13

EN: They’ll bet that the breakout attempt above the top

ZH: 所以空头押注多头无法成功地加速向上突破这个上涨通道, 押注通道会变成楔形顶、反转下跌

18:10 - 18:13

EN: of this bull channel is likely to fail and lead to a Wedge.

ZH: 所以空头押注多头无法成功地加速向上突破这个上涨通道, 押注通道会变成楔形顶、反转下跌

18:13 - 18:17

EN: They’ll place a limit order to sell at that top of the channel,

ZH: 所以空头在通道的上沿挂限价卖单做空,

18:17 - 18:20

EN: looking for at least a scalp down, maybe a couple legs down.

ZH: 希望至少可以赚到剥头皮的利润, 甚至有两段十K的下跌波段

18:24 - 18:27

EN: Here, we have what looks like a Trading Range.

ZH: 整个背景看起来像是震荡区间

18:27 - 18:28

EN: We have a series of bull bars here,

ZH: 这里有一系列阳线

18:28 - 18:31

EN: but fairly prominent tails below and a little bit above.

ZH: 但是下影线很长,同时也有一点上影线

18:31 - 18:35

EN: Some traders will place a limit order to sell at a Measured Move up.

ZH: 一些交易者会在MM目标位挂限价卖单

18:36 - 18:38

EN: Certainly, the bulls who bought, if they held,

ZH: 当然,对于之前买入的多头而言,

18:38 - 18:47

EN: this is a good location to take profits – near the top of the range,

ZH: 这是一个很好的止盈位置——已经接近区间的顶部, 也许无法成功地突破这个高点

18:42 - 18:47

EN: above this bar, betting that the market will fail in its breakout attempt.

ZH: 这是一个很好的止盈位置——已经接近区间的顶部, 也许无法成功地突破这个高点

18:47 - 18:48

EN: And then you also have a Measured Move up.

ZH: 同时这里也是MM目标位

18:48 - 18:51

EN: We have a breakout, a pullback, and a gap.

ZH: 突破,回调,有缺口

18:51 - 18:54

EN: A little bit of a negative [Body] gap – we fell below that low

ZH: 变成了负缺口(实体缺口)——因为跌破了这个低点

18:54 - 18:56

EN: - but still a potential Measured Move up.

ZH: 但仍然有概率达到MM目标位

18:56 - 19:04

EN: Some traders will place a limit order to sell at that high,

ZH: 一些交易者会在那个高点挂限价卖单, 多头止盈,空头尝试至少做一笔剥头皮

19:00 - 19:04

EN: either to take profits on their longs or to sell at least for a scalp.

ZH: 一些交易者会在那个高点挂限价卖单, 多头止盈,空头尝试至少做一笔剥头皮

19:09 - 19:15

EN: Wedge Bottom, three pushes down – one, two, and now, three.

ZH: 楔形底,3次向下推动——1,2,3

19:15 - 19:17

EN: A lot of Trading Range price action.

ZH: 有很多震荡区间的价格行为

19:17 - 19:20

EN: This is probably a bear leg in what will become a Trading Range.

ZH: 这段下跌大概率即将转变为震荡区间

19:20 - 19:24

EN: Traders will therefore place a limit order at the bottom of this channel,

ZH: 因此,交易者会在这个通道的下沿挂限价买单做多,

19:24 - 19:27

EN: and they’d get filled right here, betting on a couple legs up.

ZH: 订单在这里成交,押注至少有两段上涨

19:30 - 19:33

EN: That’s also a Leg 1, Leg 2 Measured Move.

ZH: 同时这里也是第1段 = 第2段的MM目标位

19:33 - 19:36

EN: Leg 1, pullback, Leg 2.

ZH: 第1段,回调,第2段

19:36 - 19:38

EN: This is the size of this first leg.

ZH: 这是第1段的高度

19:38 - 19:41

EN: Traders expect to see some buying at that price.

ZH: 交易者预期在那个价格会有一些买盘

19:41 - 19:43

EN: That’s an additional reason to buy.

ZH: 这是另一个买入的理由

Slide 010

Time: 19:45

Slide 010

Bilingual Transcript

19:51 - 19:54

EN: Fairly weak bull channel here and here.

ZH: 这里和这里的上涨通道都很弱

19:54 - 19:59

EN: Traders will bet that the breakouts will fail to go far enough up for a scalp,

ZH: 所以交易者押注突破不会走很远, 追涨不足以做剥头皮交易

19:59 - 20:01

EN: and therefore they’ll sell at the high of the prior bar,

ZH: 所以他们选择在前1根K线的高点挂单卖出做空

20:01 - 20:03

EN: especially if the prior bar is a bear bar.

ZH: 尤其是,如果前1根K线是阴线的话

20:06 - 20:13

EN: We have two legs up, possibly a Wedge, and now we have a big doji

ZH: 两段上涨,可能是楔形顶, 然后在通道上沿出现了一个大的十字星

20:11 - 20:13

EN: and a bull bar at the top of the channel.

ZH: 两段上涨,可能是楔形顶, 然后在通道上沿出现了一个大的十字星

20:13 - 20:17

EN: A lot of bears will sell with a limit order

ZH: 很多空头会在这根K线,或那根K线的高点挂限价卖单做空

20:15 - 20:17

EN: at the high of this bar or the high of that bar,

ZH: 很多空头会在这根K线,或那根K线的高点挂限价卖单做空

20:17 - 20:21

EN: betting that the bull breakout above the top of the channel will fail.

ZH: 押注多头无法成功地向上突破这个通道

20:21 - 20:23

EN: Different ways to draw a Wedge here.

ZH: 这里的楔形顶有不同的画法

20:23 - 20:29

EN: First push up, second push up, third push, or first push,

ZH: 1,2,3;或者1,2,3,4

20:26 - 20:29

EN: second push, third push, fourth push.

ZH: 1,2,3;或者1,2,3,4

20:29 - 20:31

EN: Traders will look to sell above bear bars,

ZH: 交易者在阴线的高点上方卖出做空,

20:31 - 20:37

EN: betting that they’re bad buy signal bars at the top

ZH: 押注这是震荡区间的上沿,这段上涨并不强势, 而且这些不是好的做多信号

20:34 - 20:37

EN: of a Trading Range or at the top of a weak rally.

ZH: 押注这是震荡区间的上沿,这段上涨并不强势, 而且这些不是好的做多信号

20:39 - 20:41

EN: Also, they’ll sell at prior highs.

ZH: 他们也会在前期的高点挂单做空

20:41 - 20:45

EN: A good-looking bull bar, possible Double Bottom – we’re down here,

ZH: 尽管这是一根不错的阳线,可能是小双底

20:45 - 20:48

EN: down here – but a lot of Trading Range price action.

ZH: 但是有太多震荡区间的价格行为特征

20:48 - 20:52

EN: Weak rally, bad follow-through here, bad follow-through here.

ZH: 上涨较弱,这里没有良好的跟随,这里也没有

20:52 - 20:54

EN: Bull bar, bad follow-through here.

ZH: 阳线,糟糕的跟随

20:54 - 20:55

EN: Big tails here.

ZH: 影线很长

20:55 - 20:59

EN: Traders will look to sell above bars, betting that they’ll be able

ZH: 所以交易者在K线上方挂单做空,

20:59 - 21:03

EN: to make a profitable scalp and that this rally is not a bull trend.

ZH: 押注这不会变成上涨趋势,他们可以做空剥头皮赚钱

21:03 - 21:06

EN: It’s a bull leg in what will become a Trading Range.

ZH: 押注这只是震荡区间中的上涨波段

21:13 - 21:15

EN: We have a bear channel, bad follow-through.

ZH: 下降通道,空头没有良好的跟随

21:15 - 21:17

EN: Bear bars, bad follow-through.

ZH: 阴线,糟糕的跟随

21:17 - 21:18

EN: Bear bar, bad follow-through.

ZH: 阴线,糟糕的跟随

21:18 - 21:22

EN: It looks like a bear leg in what will become a Trading Range.

ZH: 看起来这段下跌像是会变成震荡区间

21:22 - 21:25

EN: Traders will therefore look to buy, with limit orders,

ZH: 因此,交易者会用限价买单逢低做多

21:25 - 21:28

EN: bear breakout attempts below the bottom of the channel.

ZH: 在下降通道的下沿挂单,押注空头突破失败

21:28 - 21:32

EN: Bear channel, bulls will place a limit order to buy there.

ZH: 下降通道,多头会在那里挂限价买单做多

21:32 - 21:35

EN: We have a bad looking bear flag, a big tail here.

ZH: 这不是一个好的熊旗

21:35 - 21:39

EN: We’re trying to break out here.

ZH: 尽管空头尝试向下跌破, 但这看起来只是震荡区间中的下跌波段

21:37 - 21:39

EN: This looks like a bear leg in a Trading Range.

ZH: 尽管空头尝试向下跌破, 但这看起来只是震荡区间中的下跌波段

21:39 - 21:43

EN: Probably buyers at this low or not far below.

ZH: 在这个低点及下方,大概率会有很多买盘

21:46 - 21:49

EN: We have a bull bar here.

ZH: 这里是熊旗,其中出现了阳线

21:47 - 21:49

EN: It’s a bear flag, but a bull bar.

ZH: 这里是熊旗,其中出现了阳线

21:49 - 21:55

EN: Traders will buy either at the low of this bar

ZH: 交易者会在这根阳线的低点,或者在前期的低点, 挂限价买单做多;然后这里也是一样

21:52 - 21:55

EN: or at this prior low, and the same is true here.

ZH: 交易者会在这根阳线的低点,或者在前期的低点, 挂限价买单做多;然后这里也是一样

21:55 - 21:57

EN: We have a bull bar and a doji bar.

ZH: 阳线,十字星

21:57 - 21:59

EN: Not strong sell signal bars.

ZH: 不是强势的做空信号K线

21:59 - 22:02

EN: Bulls will buy either at that low or at the prior low.

ZH: 多头会在那个低点,或者前期的低点挂单买入

22:02 - 22:04

EN: And the same true here.

ZH: 这里也是一样

22:04 - 22:06

EN: We’re getting a lot of dojis.

ZH: 有很多十字星

22:06 - 22:11

EN: A new low here is possibly a Wedge.

ZH: 这里的新低可能是楔形底的第3推—— 3次向下推动——1,2,3

22:09 - 22:11

EN: Three pushes down, one, two, three.

ZH: 这里的新低可能是楔形底的第3推—— 3次向下推动——1,2,3

22:11 - 22:16

EN: Bulls will buy the new low, betting on a Wedge and at least a small reversal.

ZH: 多头在这个新低买入,押注这是楔形底,至少会有小反弹

Slide 011

Time: 22:20

Slide 011

Bilingual Transcript

22:21 - 22:26

EN: I want to talk a little bit about entering on a smaller timeframe.

ZH: 最后我想讲一下,如何在更小的时间周期提前入场

22:26 - 22:31

EN: If the context is good, you can often enter earlier,

ZH: 如果背景足够好,你通常可以提前入场,来降低自己的风险

22:29 - 22:31

EN: which means your risk is smaller.

ZH: 如果背景足够好,你通常可以提前入场,来降低自己的风险

Slide 012

Time: 22:33

Slide 012

Bilingual Transcript

22:35 - 22:39

EN: This is a 5-minute chart, and we have a very strong bull breakout.

ZH: 这是5分钟图,这里有非常强势的多头突破

22:43 - 22:47

EN: When you see a bull bar, a second big bull bar, traders need to get long.

ZH: 连续两根大阳线,所以交易者想要做多

22:47 - 22:50

EN: However, if they’re buying here or here on the close,

ZH: 然而,如果他们在它或它的收盘买入

22:50 - 22:55

EN: their stop is way down here, and it can be scary to be buying the close

ZH: 他们的止损在最下面,所以在收盘买入, 或者市价买入追涨,

22:54 - 22:57

EN: or buying at the market, and you don’t have enough time to think.

ZH: 他们的止损在最下面,所以在收盘买入, 或者市价买入追涨, 会让人感到害怕,而且你也没有足够的时间思考

22:58 - 23:02

EN: What I typically do is I try to buy at the market

ZH: 通常,当我看到市场像这样强势上涨的时候, 我会直接市价买入

23:00 - 23:02

EN: as the market is rallying strongly like this,

ZH: 通常,当我看到市场像这样强势上涨的时候, 我会直接市价买入

23:02 - 23:04

EN: betting that the momentum up is so strong,

ZH: 因为上涨的动能既然如此强大,

23:04 - 23:08

EN: we should get at least enough follow-through buying for a profitable trade.

ZH: 后续就应该有足够大的涨幅,可以让追涨的多头赚钱

23:09 - 23:11

EN: Let’s say you buy that close.

ZH: 假设你在它的收盘买入

23:11 - 23:13

EN: Your stop is below the low of this bar.

ZH: 你的止损在这根K线的低点下方

23:13 - 23:17

EN: This line is just a little bit below the low of the bull breakout.

ZH: 这条线就在突破起涨点的下方

23:18 - 23:22

EN: 60% chance you’re going to get a Measured Move up from your stop

ZH: 至少60%的概率会涨到MM目标位—— 从你的入场点到止损的距离(往上翻一倍)

23:22 - 23:25

EN: to the entry bar before the market falls down here,

ZH: 而不是先下跌打掉你的止损

23:25 - 23:29

EN: so 60% chance it’s going to go up here before it goes down here.

ZH: 所以有60%的概率你可以赚这么多,而不是亏这么多

23:29 - 23:33

EN: It’s scary to take the buy, but the math is good.

ZH: 在这里追涨很可怕,但是数学上是合理的

23:39 - 23:42

EN: An alternative is to wait for a pullback and buy over here.

ZH: 另一种选择是等待回调,然后在这里买入

23:42 - 23:48

EN: Some traders simply just are unable emotionally to take the buy,

ZH: 很多交易者心理上不敢在这里市价买入, 不敢在它的收盘买入

23:46 - 23:48

EN: buy the market or buy the close.

ZH: 很多交易者心理上不敢在这里市价买入, 不敢在它的收盘买入

23:48 - 23:52

EN: An alternative is to take a look at a smaller timeframe chart.

ZH: 另一种选择是切换到更小的时间周期

23:52 - 23:54

EN: This is a 5-minute chart.

ZH: 左边的是5分钟K线图

23:54 - 23:59

EN: You can look at a 1-minute chart, and this is the same chart,

ZH: 你可以看它的1分钟图,也就是右边这里

23:58 - 23:59

EN: but a 1-minute chart.

ZH: 你可以看它的1分钟图,也就是右边这里

24:04 - 24:09

EN: Instead of buying that close, you might look at this and say,

ZH: 这样就不需要等到在它的收盘追涨了; 你看到1分钟图,然后想到:“这是非常强势的突破

24:07 - 24:09

EN: it’s a pretty strong breakout.

ZH: 这样就不需要等到在它的收盘追涨了; 你看到1分钟图,然后想到:“这是非常强势的突破

24:09 - 24:11

EN: Maybe I’ll buy the close on the 1-minute chart.

ZH: 也许我可以在这根1分钟的阳线收盘买入

24:11 - 24:14

EN: Or we have a bear bar, a small pullback – maybe I’ll buy on a stop

ZH: 或者,这根阴线大概率只是小回调,

24:14 - 24:18

EN: above the high of that bear bar, betting on some follow-through buying.

ZH: 我可以在它的高点上方挂突破买单, 押注会继续上涨

24:18 - 24:23

EN: As soon as I see 3, 4, or 5 consecutive bull bars, especially with 2 or 3

ZH: 一旦我看到3,4,5根连续的阳线,

24:23 - 24:27

EN: of them closing on or near their highs and with the bodies getting pretty big,

ZH: 尤其是有2~3根体积较大的阳线收在高位时,

24:27 - 24:30

EN: the odds are we’re going to go at least a little bit higher,

ZH: 大概率至少还会再上涨一些,

24:30 - 24:32

EN: and therefore I can buy for any reason.

ZH: 所以我可以用任何方法买入

24:38 - 24:40

EN: I can bet that the reversal down will fail.

ZH: 我可以押注向下的反转尝试会失败

24:40 - 24:43

EN: I can buy with a limit order at the low of this bar.

ZH: 我可以在这根K线的低点挂限价买单

24:43 - 24:46

EN: Or I can bet the breakout will fail and buy above the high of this bar

ZH: 或者我可以押注多头的突破会成功, 所以在它的高点上方买入,

24:46 - 24:50

EN: or buy above the high of this bar or buy above the high of this bar.

ZH: 在它的高点上方买入,在它的高点上方买入

24:51 - 24:55

EN: The risk probably is to the bottom of this bull breakout.

ZH: 止损放在这个突破的起涨点下方

24:55 - 24:58

EN: Realistically, most traders would put their stop down here.

ZH: 实际上,大多数交易者都会把止损放在这里

24:58 - 25:03

EN: However, the risk is less than it is over here on the 5-minute chart.

ZH: 这样做,止损比5分钟图(上的止损)要小一些

25:08 - 25:09

EN: Again, you can enter early.

ZH: 下降趋势也是一样,你可以提前入场

25:09 - 25:12

EN: We have a bear trend, strong bear breakout.

ZH: 下降趋势,大阴线向下跌破

Slide 013

Time: 25:10

Slide 013

Bilingual Transcript

25:16 - 25:17

EN: Big, big bear bar.

ZH: 非常大的大阴线

25:17 - 25:19

EN: A lot of traders are very uncomfortable selling the close

ZH: 很多交易者不太敢在它的收盘开仓做空

25:19 - 25:22

EN: or selling the close of the bear follow-through bar.

ZH: 不敢在跟随K线的收盘做空

25:22 - 25:24

EN: It happens very quickly.

ZH: 行情瞬息万变

25:24 - 25:26

EN: Not enough time to think about how to sell.

ZH: 你没有足够的时间思考到底在哪里开仓

25:27 - 25:29

EN: You can sell the close of the breakout bar

ZH: 你可以在突破大阴线的收盘卖出,

25:29 - 25:32

EN: - we have a bear bar for a follow-through bar.

ZH: 跟随的K线也是阴线,所以你也可以在它的收盘卖出

25:31 - 25:32

EN: You could sell the close there.

ZH: 跟随的K线也是阴线,所以你也可以在它的收盘卖出

25:32 - 25:38

EN: You could bet the reversal up will fail and place a limit order

ZH: 你可以押注反弹失败,在这根K线的高点挂限价卖单做空, 订单会在这里成交

25:36 - 25:38

EN: to sell the high of this bar and get filled here.

ZH: 你可以押注反弹失败,在这根K线的高点挂限价卖单做空, 订单会在这里成交

25:42 - 25:46

EN: If you don’t feel comfortable selling the close or selling above a bull bar

ZH: 如果你不敢在它的收盘做空,不想在阳线上方卖出,

25:46 - 25:50

EN: or waiting for a pullback, you can take a look at a 1-minute chart,

ZH: 但又不想等反弹,不妨看一下1分钟K线图

25:50 - 25:52

EN: and sometimes you’ll get an earlier entry.

ZH: 有时你会找到更早的入场点

25:52 - 25:55

EN: This is difficult to do if you’re a beginner,

ZH: 如果你是新手,这很难做到 (注:不同的时间周期会让你感到混乱)

25:55 - 25:57

EN: but experienced traders can do this.

ZH: 但有经验的交易者可以这么做

25:57 - 26:00

EN: Here’s the same chart, but a 1-minute chart.

ZH: 右边是相同的图,只不过是1分钟

26:00 - 26:05

EN: This is exactly this chart, but this is the 5-minute chart,

ZH: 左边的是5分钟图,右边的是1分钟图

26:03 - 26:05

EN: this is the 1-minute chart.

ZH: 左边的是5分钟图,右边的是1分钟图

26:08 - 26:10

EN: 2 big bear bars closing on their lows.

ZH: 连续两根大阴线收在最低

26:10 - 26:13

EN: Some traders will sell at the market here,

ZH: 一些交易者会在市价卖出

26:13 - 26:15

EN: which would be right here on the 5-minute chart.

ZH: 对应到5分钟图上,就是在这里

26:16 - 26:21

EN: As soon as you get 2 very big bars or 3 or 4 reasonably big bear bars,

ZH: 不管是什么时间周期,一旦看到2,3,4根体积较大的阴线,

26:21 - 26:24

EN: traders will look to sell any timeframe.

ZH: 交易者就会开始入场做空

26:24 - 26:28

EN: On the 1-minute chart, you get in a little bit earlier

ZH: 在1分钟K线图,你的入场会比5分钟更早

26:27 - 26:28

EN: than you would on the 5-minute chart.

ZH: 在1分钟K线图,你的入场会比5分钟更早

26:32 - 26:36

EN: You can place a limit order at the high of the prior bar,

ZH: 你可以在前1根K线的高点挂限价卖单, 押注反弹失败;

26:34 - 26:43

EN: betting that the reversal up will fail, or you can place a stop order

ZH: 你可以在前1根K线的高点挂限价卖单, 押注反弹失败; 也可以在反弹K线的下方挂突破卖单, 押注这是熊旗,会继续下跌

26:38 - 26:43

EN: below this pullback, betting that this is a bear flag and will go lower.

ZH: 也可以在反弹K线的下方挂突破卖单, 押注这是熊旗,会继续下跌

26:43 - 26:46

EN: You place a stop order below that bar, you get filled here.

ZH: 可以在那根K线下方挂突破卖单, 订单在这里成交

Slide 014

Time: 26:50

Slide 014

Bilingual Transcript

26:51 - 26:55

EN: The price action determines what kind of order you should use.

ZH: 价格行为决定了你应该使用哪种订单

26:55 - 26:58

EN: Beginners and most traders should only enter with stops.

ZH: 新手和大多数交易者,都应该只用突破单入场

26:58 - 27:01

EN: They can exit with limit orders to take profits,

ZH: 然后可以用限价单止盈离场

27:01 - 27:03

EN: and they always should have a protective stop.

ZH: 而且必须要有保护性的止损单

27:04 - 27:07

EN: Experienced traders will use limit orders either to trade

ZH: 有经验的交易者会使用限价单交易

27:07 - 27:10

EN: in the direction of a trend, betting reversals will fail,

ZH: 可以顺着趋势的方向,押注反转失败;

27:10 - 27:17

EN: or they’ll use countertrend orders, limit orders,

ZH: 也可以用逆势的限价单,押注目前的趋势即将反转, 并变成震荡区间

27:13 - 27:17

EN: betting that the trend is actually a leg in a Trading Range

ZH: 也可以用逆势的限价单,押注目前的趋势即将反转, 并变成震荡区间

27:16 - 27:17

EN: and it will soon reverse.

ZH: 也可以用逆势的限价单,押注目前的趋势即将反转, 并变成震荡区间

27:18 - 27:25

EN: Sometimes when you have a big breakout, it’s scary and difficult

ZH: 有时当你看到一个很大的突破, 可能不敢在当前的时间周期入场追涨/杀跌

27:21 - 27:25

EN: to enter at the market or on the timeframe that you’re looking at.

ZH: 有时当你看到一个很大的突破, 可能不敢在当前的时间周期入场追涨/杀跌

27:25 - 27:28

EN: An alternative is to switch to a smaller timeframe chart

ZH: 一种解决方法是切换到一个更小的时间周期

27:28 - 27:31

EN: and look for an entry on that smaller timeframe chart.

ZH: 然后看在那个周期,是否有提前入场的机会

27:36 - 27:37

EN: I’m Al Brooks.

ZH: 我是阿尔·布鲁克斯

27:37 - 27:40

EN: This is the third of three videos on orders.

ZH: 订单的3节课到这里就全部讲完了

27:40 - 27:42

EN: Thank you for watching the Brooks Trading Course.

ZH: 感谢观看布鲁克斯交易课程