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al-brooks-course

50D - Scalping

Raw transcript and slide notes for 50D - Scalping.

Overview

  • Slides: 15
  • Transcript segments: 353
  • Status: 自动按 slide 时间线归档;核心概念和长期笔记可以在每个 slide 的 Study Notes 下继续整理。

Source Media

Transcript 001

Time: 00:02

Bilingual Transcript

00:02 - 00:03

EN: This is Al Brooks.

00:03 - 00:05

EN: Thank you for watching the Brooks Trading Course.

00:05 - 00:09

EN: This is the fourth of five videos on scalping.

Slide 001

Time: 00:11

Slide 001

Bilingual Transcript

00:13 - 00:18

EN: I’m going to be giving some very specific scalping examples in this video,

00:18 - 00:20

EN: and I’ll talk about how to manage the trades.

Slide 002

Time: 00:21

Slide 002

Bilingual Transcript

00:24 - 00:27

EN: The Emini opened here with a big bear bar.

00:27 - 00:31

EN: Yesterday was a Tight Trading Range, but we have a second consecutive bear bar,

00:31 - 00:34

EN: and for me the market therefore is Always In Short

00:34 - 00:38

EN: - meaning that the first reversal up probably will be sold.

00:45 - 00:48

EN: I’m going to be talking about a lot of scalps in this video,

00:48 - 00:52

EN: and most traders can sometimes spot scalps in time to take them,

00:52 - 00:55

EN: but if it distracts them from taking swing trades,

00:55 - 00:57

EN: they should stick to the swing trades.

00:57 - 01:02

EN: However, if they are able to take the trades and manage them well, then go ahead.

01:02 - 01:03

EN: Take them.

01:03 - 01:06

EN: I use the image of a little man holding out his arm

01:06 - 01:08

EN: with a little bag of money in it.

01:09 - 01:11

EN: As long as I’m able to grab all those little bags of money,

01:11 - 01:14

EN: they can add up to a big bag of money by the end of the day.

01:22 - 01:26

EN: A lot of times you’ll realize that a scalp is setting up too late

01:26 - 01:30

EN: to take the trade, a few seconds late, and since every tick matters in a scalp,

01:30 - 01:33

EN: if you’re late it’s better not to take the trade.

01:33 - 01:37

EN: But don’t worry about it, because most of your money will come from swing trading.

01:37 - 01:41

EN: Also, if you want to scalp, there’ll be plenty of other scalps.

01:41 - 01:45

EN: On a typical day there are at least 40 1-point scalps.

01:48 - 01:52

EN: Again, if you spot it in time and you think you can manage it appropriately,

01:52 - 01:53

EN: go ahead and take it.

Slide 003

Time: 01:55

Slide 003

Bilingual Transcript

01:59 - 02:02

EN: Yesterday was a Tight Trading Range and we opened here with a big bear bar,

02:02 - 02:04

EN: and we have consecutive bear bars.

02:04 - 02:05

EN: The day is Always In Short.

02:05 - 02:09

EN: A lot of traders will place a limit order to sell at the high of this bar,

02:09 - 02:10

EN: look for a 1 point scalp.

02:11 - 02:14

EN: We have a Tight Trading Range at the end of yesterday

02:14 - 02:17

EN: and we are reversing up a first time and a second time here,

02:17 - 02:20

EN: so it’s a second entry buy at the bottom of a Tight Trading Range.

02:20 - 02:23

EN: It’s reasonable to buy looking for at least a bounce.

02:23 - 02:25

EN: This is a possible low of the day.

02:25 - 02:27

EN: It’s a Micro Double Bottom.

02:27 - 02:30

EN: The market went down on this bar, it went up on this bar.

02:30 - 02:33

EN: It went down on that bar, and now it’s going up a second time.

02:33 - 02:38

EN: So, a second failed breakout of the bottom of that Tight Trading Range,

02:38 - 02:39

EN: and we have a bull bar.

02:39 - 02:42

EN: Not a great looking bull bar, but it’s a bull bar

02:42 - 02:45

EN: and it’s a second entry buy at the bottom of a Trading Range.

02:48 - 02:52

EN: The odds are it’ll go up at least enough for a scalp,

02:52 - 02:56

EN: so traders will place a stop order to buy 1 tick above the high of that bull bar

02:56 - 03:00

EN: and they’ll get filled here, and they’ll put their stop just below.

03:04 - 03:09

EN: They place a limit order to exit with a 1 point profit right there.

03:09 - 03:12

EN: Their reward is smaller than their risk,

03:12 - 03:17

EN: and that means you have to be very good at determining probability.

03:17 - 03:21

EN: Probability has to be far greater than 60% to trade this.

03:21 - 03:24

EN: In this case, the probability might be 70% or 80%

03:24 - 03:26

EN: that you’re going to make a profit.

03:27 - 03:28

EN: How do you know that?

03:28 - 03:32

EN: From experience, and that’s one of the difficult things about scalping.

03:32 - 03:37

EN: The Initial Risk is often greater than your planned reward,

03:37 - 03:41

EN: and you need a very high probability to be profitable.

03:41 - 03:44

EN: The Actual Risk here, if you buy 1 tick above the high of this bar,

03:44 - 03:47

EN: your Actual Risk is 1 tick below.

03:47 - 03:50

EN: So, you’re risking about 6 ticks to make 4 ticks,

03:50 - 03:54

EN: and therefore if you’re right 70% of the time, you’ll make money.

03:57 - 03:59

EN: The bears got a reversal down.

03:59 - 04:02

EN: Now we have a very big outside up bar

Slide 004

Time: 04:00

Slide 004

Bilingual Transcript

04:02 - 04:05

EN: - but we’re at the top of yesterday’s Tight Trading Range

04:05 - 04:07

EN: and we’ve had many reversals already today,

04:07 - 04:10

EN: up and down and up and then down and then up.

04:17 - 04:19

EN: This is a Trading Range market.

04:20 - 04:22

EN: If you think about this for a moment,

04:22 - 04:24

EN: let’s say you want to buy above the high of this bar.

04:24 - 04:27

EN: You’re buying toward the high of a Tight Trading Range,

04:27 - 04:29

EN: and the reversal up is not all that strong.

04:29 - 04:33

EN: We have a good bull bar, but you’re buying fairly high up in a range.

04:34 - 04:36

EN: Is the probability high for that?

04:36 - 04:39

EN: No, it’s not – and look at the size of the bar.

04:39 - 04:43

EN: If you buy above the high of this bar, your stop is below the low of the bar.

04:43 - 04:45

EN: Your risk is great.

04:45 - 04:48

EN: So here you’re thinking about buying above the high of this bar,

04:48 - 04:53

EN: risking a lot, with a low probability bet (buying at the top of the Trading Range).

04:53 - 04:57

EN: Therefore, in fact, there probably are more sellers

04:57 - 04:59

EN: above the high of this bar than buyers.

05:05 - 05:08

EN: So, should you be buying up here or should you be selling up here?

05:08 - 05:12

EN: You have a big bull outside up bar, but a Trading Range market.

05:12 - 05:16

EN: Traders who are buying this bear close and this bear close are making money.

05:16 - 05:19

EN: If they bought this bear close and scaled in lower

05:19 - 05:22

EN: or if they bought this bear close, they made money.

05:22 - 05:23

EN: The market reversed.

05:23 - 05:25

EN: If they sold this bull close,

05:25 - 05:27

EN: even though it’s consecutive bull closes, they made money.

05:27 - 05:29

EN: Well, what’s going to happen now?

05:29 - 05:33

EN: You have another big bull bar closing on its high near the top of the range.

05:33 - 05:38

EN: Probably it’s not going to go up very far, and there might be more sellers

05:38 - 05:41

EN: on the close of that bar and above its high than buyers,

05:41 - 05:45

EN: and therefore an aggressive scalper will sell that close

05:45 - 05:49

EN: and put a stop up here above the top of those 3 bear bars.

05:56 - 05:59

EN: That is really not a great short, and most traders should not take that trade.

05:59 - 06:03

EN: However, it did fall a point and the bears made their money.

06:03 - 06:07

EN: The bears who took this short probably would have been willing to scale in higher.

Slide 005

Time: 06:10

Slide 005

Bilingual Transcript

06:11 - 06:13

EN: Tight Trading Range so far on the day.

06:16 - 06:20

EN: For the bears, they have a reversal down and a pullback,

06:20 - 06:22

EN: and this is therefore a Low 1 bear flag.

06:23 - 06:24

EN: But look where you are.

06:24 - 06:28

EN: You’re at the bottom of a Tight Trading Range that has lasted about 30 bars,

06:28 - 06:30

EN: and look at your sell signal bar.

06:30 - 06:32

EN: It has a big tail on the bottom.

06:32 - 06:34

EN: What happened at this price level today?

06:34 - 06:35

EN: We went up.

06:36 - 06:37

EN: We went up again.

06:37 - 06:38

EN: We went up, we went up.

06:39 - 06:41

EN: This time do you think it’s going down?

06:41 - 06:44

EN: No, especially with a bad sell signal bar like that.

06:48 - 06:53

EN: Therefore, there are probably more buyers at the low of this bar than sellers,

06:53 - 06:56

EN: and a bull scalper will place a limit order to buy at that low.

06:56 - 06:57

EN: He’ll get filled here.

06:57 - 07:00

EN: He might put a stop below the bottom of this big bull bar

07:00 - 07:04

EN: because if the bulls are good enough for a scalp,

07:04 - 07:07

EN: they should not allow it to fall below the low of this bull bar.

07:12 - 07:16

EN: You place a limit order to get out with a 1 point profit,

07:16 - 07:17

EN: and you get filled right there.

07:20 - 07:22

EN: Bulls starting to get a breakout here.

Slide 006

Time: 07:25

Slide 006

Bilingual Transcript

07:29 - 07:31

EN: You can call it a small Double Bottom Higher Low.

07:32 - 07:37

EN: This is the second reasonable attempt to reverse up from below that Trading Range.

07:37 - 07:38

EN: We reversed up here.

07:38 - 07:41

EN: Here’s a reversal attempt, a second reversal attempt.

07:41 - 07:44

EN: The bears tried to make the reversal attempt fail.

07:44 - 07:46

EN: Look what they were met with – a bull bar.

07:46 - 07:50

EN: They tried to get a small bear flag, buyers below.

07:50 - 07:56

EN: Now we have a small Double Bottom – up and up – both bars closing near their high.

07:56 - 07:59

EN: We had the magnet of the top of this big bull bar.

07:59 - 08:01

EN: Bulls want to see what’s there.

08:01 - 08:02

EN: The bears want to see what’s there,

08:02 - 08:07

EN: and therefore it’s reasonable to buy above the high of this bull bar.

08:07 - 08:10

EN: We have a pair of good bull bars closing on their highs.

08:10 - 08:12

EN: We have a bull bar here closing on its high,

08:12 - 08:14

EN: we have a bull bar here closing near its high,

08:14 - 08:16

EN: and we have a Double Bottom Higher Low.

08:17 - 08:18

EN: It’s above this low.

08:18 - 08:22

EN: It’s reasonable to buy for a scalp right above the high of that bar.

08:26 - 08:29

EN: If the bulls are good, it should not fall below the Double Bottom.

08:29 - 08:33

EN: You could put your stop below the low of this bar or below the low of this bull bar.

08:38 - 08:42

EN: You place a limit order to get out with a 1 point scalp, and you get filled there.

Slide 007

Time: 08:45

Slide 007

Bilingual Transcript

08:49 - 08:50

EN: What happens up here?

08:50 - 08:53

EN: Should you buy with a stop, the high of this bar,

08:53 - 08:56

EN: betting that we’ll get a breakout and a Measured Move up?

08:56 - 08:59

EN: You can call it a Double Bottom with this low or that low.

08:59 - 09:01

EN: You can call it simply a very good-looking bull bar.

09:03 - 09:07

EN: I think the bulls need more to convince traders

09:07 - 09:10

EN: that they have taken control and that this is not now a Double Top.

09:10 - 09:12

EN: We have a small Double Bottom here.

09:12 - 09:14

EN: Maybe this is a Double Top.

09:14 - 09:17

EN: Maybe we break below here and go for a Measured Move down.

09:21 - 09:24

EN: Bulls need follow-through, and until they get follow-through,

09:24 - 09:28

EN: bears will bet the bulls will not get follow-through,

09:28 - 09:31

EN: and therefore whenever the bulls need one more bar,

09:31 - 09:35

EN: the bears will sell betting that the bulls will not get that one more bar.

09:35 - 09:38

EN: For example, we have consecutive bull bars.

09:38 - 09:40

EN: The bulls are hoping that they get one more bar

09:40 - 09:43

EN: so that everyone believes they have taken control.

09:43 - 09:44

EN: Well, guess what?

09:44 - 09:47

EN: The bears are going to sell that close, thinking that,

09:47 - 09:50

EN: “Huh, bulls made money buying bear closes today.

09:50 - 09:53

EN: Bears have been making money selling bull closes today.

09:53 - 09:55

EN: Well, I’m going to sell this bull close,

09:55 - 09:58

EN: betting that the bulls will not get their one more bar.”

09:58 - 10:03

EN: They sell that close and stop above the top of the initial selloff.

10:10 - 10:12

EN: Scalp out with 1 point profit.

10:13 - 10:16

EN: As soon as they get filled on their short at that close,

10:16 - 10:20

EN: they place a limit order to buy back their shorts with a 1 point profit,

10:20 - 10:21

EN: and they get filled right there.

Slide 008

Time: 10:25

Slide 008

Bilingual Transcript

10:27 - 10:29

EN: For the bears, they have a reversal down.

10:30 - 10:33

EN: If you want you can think of it as a Double Top bear flag.

10:33 - 10:36

EN: Whenever you have a Double Top, I always think of it as a Low 2.

10:36 - 10:38

EN: Here’s a Low 1, here’s a Low 2.

10:38 - 10:44

EN: But a fairly prominent tail, middle of a Tight Trading Range – not a great short.

10:44 - 10:46

EN: However, we’re still Always In Short.

10:47 - 10:50

EN: We had those consecutive big bear bars making the day Always In Short,

10:50 - 10:54

EN: and the reversal up, reversal up, reversal up, reversal up

10:54 - 10:56

EN: - none of it has been enough to change it.

10:56 - 10:59

EN: So, the market still is Always In Short.

11:03 - 11:08

EN: An aggressive bear will place a stop order to sell below the low of that bar,

11:08 - 11:10

EN: taking a chance that we break below the neckline.

11:11 - 11:15

EN: Any of these bars is the neckline of this Double Top and start of a swing down.

11:15 - 11:18

EN: I don’t think this is a particularly great short,

11:18 - 11:22

EN: but it’s a reasonable scalp, taking a chance that we’ll test down.

11:28 - 11:30

EN: And the bears exit with a 1 point profit.

Slide 009

Time: 11:35

Slide 009

Bilingual Transcript

11:38 - 11:41

EN: The bulls have another Double Bottom Higher Low attempt,

11:42 - 11:45

EN: but we now have 3 consecutive bear bars,

11:45 - 11:49

EN: and now we have a fourth bear bar breaking below the low of that Double Bottom.

11:54 - 11:58

EN: Because of the 3 consecutive bear bars, even with the Double Bottom,

11:58 - 12:01

EN: some bears will place a limit order to sell at the high of this bar,

12:01 - 12:05

EN: arguing, okay, the bulls are thinking they have a Double Bottom,

12:05 - 12:08

EN: but we have 3 bear bars and we have a bear body on this bar.

12:08 - 12:10

EN: It’s a low probability buy.

12:10 - 12:13

EN: Therefore, they’ll sell this high and get filled right here

12:13 - 12:15

EN: as it went above the high of that bar.

12:15 - 12:18

EN: A lot of these bears would sell more higher.

12:24 - 12:26

EN: They get out with a 1 point profit.

Slide 010

Time: 12:30

Slide 010

Bilingual Transcript

12:33 - 12:36

EN: For the bulls, we have a Double Bottom – this low and that low

12:36 - 12:37

EN: - and we’re trying to reverse up.

12:37 - 12:39

EN: It’s a small High 2.

12:39 - 12:41

EN: High 1 and then High 2.

12:41 - 12:44

EN: But we’re starting to get a fairly Tight Bear Channel.

12:44 - 12:47

EN: You can buy with a stop above the high of this bull bar,

12:47 - 12:51

EN: but with 4 consecutive bear bars, I would not take the buy.

12:51 - 12:52

EN: I would wait.

12:52 - 12:54

EN: The character of the day is changing.

12:54 - 12:55

EN: We had 3 bear bars here.

12:55 - 12:58

EN: We only had 2 bull bars and 2 bull bars here.

12:59 - 13:00

EN: Now we’re starting to get a series of bear bars.

13:00 - 13:03

EN: The bears might be gaining control.

13:03 - 13:06

EN: I’m not opposed to taking that buy.

13:06 - 13:08

EN: If you did take it, you get out on a stop

13:08 - 13:11

EN: below the low of the Double Bottom right here, with a loss.

13:15 - 13:20

EN: Some traders instead would bet that the High 2 will fail.

13:20 - 13:24

EN: In general, I don’t like to sell near the bottom of a Tight Trading Range.

13:24 - 13:28

EN: Even though we have 4 consecutive bear bars, it’s a second entry buy.

13:28 - 13:29

EN: It’s a Double Bottom.

13:29 - 13:32

EN: I personally would rarely ever take that sell,

13:32 - 13:34

EN: even though it’s a fairly Tight Bear Channel.

13:35 - 13:39

EN: The logic behind taking it is we’re in BreakOut Mode.

13:39 - 13:43

EN: The market is probably forming either the high or low of the day.

13:44 - 13:46

EN: We are still Always In Short.

13:46 - 13:48

EN: The bulls never did enough to make it Always In Long,

13:48 - 13:52

EN: and the bears have a Double Top Lower High and now 4 bear bars.

13:53 - 13:56

EN: Slightly more negative than positive.

13:56 - 14:00

EN: Traders will take that short, certainly for a swing down.

14:00 - 14:02

EN: Aggressive traders will take it for a scalp.

14:02 - 14:05

EN: Again, for me, that’s one I would not take for a scalp.

14:16 - 14:21

EN: By going outside down, we have a failed High 2 buy – High 1, High 2.

14:21 - 14:23

EN: The bulls would put their stop down here,

14:23 - 14:27

EN: and we broke below the bottom of that High 2 bull flag.

14:27 - 14:28

EN: We might get a Measured Move down.

14:28 - 14:31

EN: We’re also breaking below a Double Bottom here,

14:31 - 14:33

EN: and we’re in BreakOut Mode.

14:33 - 14:35

EN: This could be the start of a bear trend.

14:36 - 14:39

EN: You have trapped bulls who, all morning long,

14:39 - 14:42

EN: have been betting on an early low of the day.

Slide 011

Time: 14:40

Slide 011

Bilingual Transcript

14:43 - 14:46

EN: Now we’re breaking below the low of this big bull reversal bar

14:46 - 14:48

EN: and this Double Bottom.

14:51 - 14:57

EN: Some bears will sell on a stop on the break below that Double Bottom.

14:57 - 15:00

EN: Others will sell the close of the bar, taking a chance

15:00 - 15:04

EN: that we’re beginning a series of bear bars and that the bulls will give up.

15:06 - 15:10

EN: In general, by the end of the first hour and a half or so,

15:10 - 15:15

EN: there’s a 90% chance the market has seen either the high or low of the day.

15:15 - 15:17

EN: At this point we’re in BreakOut Mode

15:17 - 15:21

EN: and we’re breaking out below this Double Bottom.

15:21 - 15:23

EN: Probably this is the high of the day,

15:23 - 15:26

EN: and therefore the range will probably double,

15:26 - 15:29

EN: and selling this close is reasonable – certainly for a swing.

15:29 - 15:32

EN: Some traders might scalp all or part.

15:35 - 15:39

EN: If they scalp, they’ll place a limit order to get out 1 point below their entry,

15:39 - 15:41

EN: and they get filled here.

15:48 - 15:51

EN: Now we have a bear breakout to a new low, a close

15:51 - 15:55

EN: below the low of the first 15 or 20 bars of the day,

15:55 - 15:57

EN: and now we have a second consecutive bear bar.

15:57 - 15:59

EN: Even though it has a fairly big tail,

15:59 - 16:02

EN: meaning this is probably not going to be a very strong bear trend,

16:02 - 16:05

EN: it’s still a follow-through bar after a bear breakout

16:05 - 16:08

EN: on a day that is in BreakOut Mode.

16:08 - 16:10

EN: Therefore, the odds are we’ll go lower,

16:10 - 16:13

EN: maybe at least a couple legs – one, pullback, two.

16:13 - 16:15

EN: Traders will look to sell.

16:17 - 16:19

EN: Some traders will just sell closes.

16:19 - 16:23

EN: If you sell the close, your stop is above the top of the bear leg.

16:23 - 16:28

EN: You can sell the close and hold for a swing, or you can take repeated sells.

16:28 - 16:30

EN: Sell the close, scalp, sell the close, scalp.

16:30 - 16:34

EN: If you sell that close, you can place a limit order to get out 1 point lower

16:34 - 16:37

EN: - right here – but now you have another bear bar closing below its midpoint.

16:37 - 16:39

EN: It’s another Sell The Close bar.

16:45 - 16:47

EN: We have a Sell The Close bear trend.

16:48 - 16:52

EN: After you exit at that blue box, you sell the next bear close right here.

16:57 - 17:00

EN: If you sold that close and then you saw this, what are you thinking?

17:01 - 17:04

EN: It reversed up before you made your 1 point profit.

17:05 - 17:07

EN: This is a disappointment bar.

17:07 - 17:09

EN: If you have a Sell The Close bear trend

17:09 - 17:12

EN: and then a pretty good bull bar, the bears will be disappointed.

17:13 - 17:14

EN: Is it a major reversal?

17:14 - 17:16

EN: No, it’s probably a minor reversal.

17:16 - 17:18

EN: The channel down is very tight.

Slide 012

Time: 17:17

Slide 012

Bilingual Transcript

17:18 - 17:20

EN: It’s reasonable to sell that close.

17:20 - 17:23

EN: If you do something reasonable and you manage your trade correctly,

17:23 - 17:27

EN: you’re usually able to at least avoid a loss, and usually make a profit.

17:28 - 17:30

EN: In a Sell The Close bear trend like this

17:31 - 17:34

EN: and the market immediately reverses up in a bull bar like that,

17:34 - 17:38

EN: usually you can sell more higher, like a couple points higher,

17:38 - 17:40

EN: expecting the market to come back down to this close,

17:40 - 17:43

EN: and then you can get out breakeven on this entry

17:43 - 17:45

EN: and with a profit on your higher entry.

Slide 013

Time: 17:50

Slide 013

Bilingual Transcript

17:58 - 18:00

EN: You can see what happened here.

18:00 - 18:05

EN: The bears who sold 2 points above this close got filled here,

18:05 - 18:07

EN: and then the market came back down to their close.

18:07 - 18:09

EN: They can get out breakeven at their first entry

18:09 - 18:12

EN: and with 2 points profit on their second entry.

18:13 - 18:18

EN: You could also sell below the low of this bar for a Low 1 bear flag.

18:18 - 18:21

EN: We broke to a new low of the day, 3 consecutive bear bars,

18:21 - 18:23

EN: and we have a bear bar closing on its low.

18:27 - 18:30

EN: If you took the short on this close and sold more 2 points higher,

18:30 - 18:34

EN: you get out here with 2 points profit there and breakeven here.

18:34 - 18:38

EN: Other bears would simply sell more below a bear bar.

18:38 - 18:41

EN: Usually if I take a short here, sell the close,

18:41 - 18:45

EN: I’m going to be selling more with a limit order because this Low 1 short,

18:46 - 18:52

EN: the entry is usually not far enough above the first entry to make it worthwhile.

18:52 - 18:54

EN: If ever I’m scaling into a bear trend

18:55 - 18:58

EN: and I’m looking to take the second entry with a stop,

18:59 - 19:01

EN: I prefer to have my stop entry be at least two

19:01 - 19:04

EN: to three times the size of a scalp above my first.

19:05 - 19:07

EN: In other words, 2 to 3 points above the first,

19:07 - 19:09

EN: and this is too close to the first.

19:09 - 19:14

EN: Had I shorted this and did not sell more here, I would not have sold more here.

19:14 - 19:18

EN: I either would’ve gotten out breakeven or I would’ve held short,

19:18 - 19:21

EN: hoping that this is the start of a swing down.

Slide 014

Time: 19:25

Slide 014

Bilingual Transcript

19:26 - 19:27

EN: Bear breakout.

19:27 - 19:29

EN: Probably at least one more leg down.

19:29 - 19:32

EN: Well, we got one more leg down, and look what we have now.

19:32 - 19:36

EN: Another bull bar closing on its high.

19:43 - 19:44

EN: You can call it a Micro Double Bottom

19:44 - 19:48

EN: or a small Double Bottom, a Lower Low Double Bottom.

19:48 - 19:53

EN: In any case, the bears who sold this close, what are they doing now?

19:53 - 19:55

EN: Are they selling more?

19:55 - 19:57

EN: No, they’re giving up.

19:57 - 20:01

EN: This is a sign that the Sell The Close bears were sufficiently disappointed

20:01 - 20:05

EN: by this bar that they wanted to buy back their shorts

20:05 - 20:07

EN: when it got to around their close.

20:08 - 20:11

EN: Some of them held short briefly during this bar,

20:11 - 20:14

EN: but immediately afterwards, this is bears giving up.

20:15 - 20:17

EN: They were sufficiently disappointed by this.

20:17 - 20:20

EN: A whole bunch of them started buying back their shorts

20:20 - 20:24

EN: when it got back down to around that close, and this is bears buying

20:24 - 20:28

EN: - and it’s aggressive bulls buying as well, betting that the bears would give up.

20:28 - 20:30

EN: This is not a strong selloff.

20:30 - 20:33

EN: The bars are relatively small, prominent tails.

20:33 - 20:35

EN: A lot of Trading Range price action here,

20:36 - 20:39

EN: disappointment for the Sell The Close bears here.

20:39 - 20:43

EN: A lot of the bears gave up and a lot of the bulls bought for a scalp up.

20:45 - 20:47

EN: You can also call it a Wedge channel.

20:47 - 20:52

EN: One push down, reversal, another push down, reversal, push down, reversal.

20:52 - 20:53

EN: Different ways to look at it as a Wedge.

20:53 - 20:57

EN: You can say this is the first push, second push, third push.

20:57 - 21:02

EN: This could be the first push on some computers, second push, third push.

21:03 - 21:05

EN: Different computers see different things,

21:05 - 21:08

EN: but most computers see this as a weak bear trend.

21:08 - 21:11

EN: Probably a bear leg in what will become a Trading Range,

21:11 - 21:14

EN: which means we’ll probably get a bull leg before long.

21:18 - 21:22

EN: We have a Double Top bear flag and we’re also around a Measured Move down.

21:22 - 21:26

EN: Does not matter if you use this high or that high for the Measured Move projection.

21:27 - 21:30

EN: In either case we’re around that Measured Move target.

Slide 015

Time: 21:35

Slide 015

Bilingual Transcript

21:35 - 21:39

EN: I gave some very specific scalping examples in this video.

21:39 - 21:42

EN: Again, most traders should focus on swing trades.

21:43 - 21:45

EN: However, if you spot a reasonable scalp

21:45 - 21:48

EN: and you think you can manage it correctly, go ahead, take it.

21:48 - 21:49

EN: It’s reasonable to do.

21:53 - 21:54

EN: I’m Al Brooks.

21:54 - 21:57

EN: Thank you for watching the Brooks Trading Course.

21:57 - 22:00

EN: This is the fourth of five videos on scalping.