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al-brooks-course

48E - Trading the Open

Raw transcript and slide notes for 48E - Trading the Open.

Overview

  • Slides: 16
  • Transcript segments: 382
  • Status: 自动按 slide 时间线归档;核心概念和长期笔记可以在每个 slide 的 Study Notes 下继续整理。

Source Media

Transcript 001

Time: 00:02

Bilingual Transcript

00:02 - 00:03

EN: This is Al Brooks.

ZH: 你好,我是阿尔·布鲁克斯

00:03 - 00:05

EN: Thank you for watching the Brooks Trading Course.

ZH: 欢迎观看布鲁克斯交易课程

00:05 - 00:08

EN: This is the fifth of six videos on trading the open.

ZH: 这是早盘的第5节课

Slide 001

Time: 00:11

Slide 001

Bilingual Transcript

00:13 - 00:18

EN: I want to talk about the market breaking out above yesterday’s high,

ZH: 我想讲的是:市场突破昨天的最高点或最低点失败,然后反转的模式

00:16 - 00:18

EN: or below yesterday’s low, and then reversing.

ZH: 我想讲的是:市场突破昨天的最高点或最低点失败,然后反转的模式

00:19 - 00:24

EN: That is a very common thing, and it’s a very common setup

ZH: 这很常见,而且经常能靠它在早盘抓到波段

00:22 - 00:24

EN: on the open that leads to a swing trade.

ZH: 这很常见,而且经常能靠它在早盘抓到波段

00:25 - 00:28

EN: Sometimes the market will break above yesterday’s high and reverse down,

ZH: 有时市场会突破昨天的高点,然后尝试反转下跌

00:28 - 00:33

EN: but the reversal fails and the breakout resumes and the market continues higher.

ZH: 但反转失败,于是突破继续,市场继续上涨

00:33 - 00:37

EN: That’s a failed reversal of a breakout of yesterday’s range.

ZH: 反转失败,代表突破成功

00:37 - 00:39

EN: The same can happen with the bottom.

ZH: 另外一边也是一样

00:39 - 00:41

EN: It can break below yesterday’s low and then reverse up,

ZH: 价格跌破昨天的最低点

00:41 - 00:45

EN: but the reversal does not get far and then the bear trend resumes.

ZH: 尝试反转上涨,但只是小反弹,然后下降趋势继续

Slide 002

Time: 00:47

Slide 002

Bilingual Transcript

00:49 - 00:52

EN: Here are a couple charts with breakouts.

ZH: 这里有两个早盘突破的案例

01:00 - 01:02

EN: The blue line is yesterday’s high.

ZH: 蓝线是昨天的最高点

01:02 - 01:08

EN: The market went above yesterday’s high and reversed down, but below a bull bar.

ZH: 市场突破了昨天的高点,然后反转下跌, 但大部分人不会在这根阳线下方挂突破卖单

01:06 - 01:08

EN: Most traders would not take that short.

ZH: 市场突破了昨天的高点,然后反转下跌, 但大部分人不会在这根阳线下方挂突破卖单

01:08 - 01:12

EN: It went above yesterday’s high again a second time and it reversed down again,

ZH: 价格再次突破昨天的高点,并再次反转下跌

01:12 - 01:15

EN: and this time with a bear bar closing on its low.

ZH: 这次有阴线收在最低

01:15 - 01:18

EN: That is a good setup for a swing short.

ZH: 是好的波段做空机会

01:18 - 01:21

EN: Traders sell with a stop 1 tick below the low of that bear bar,

ZH: 空头在那根阴线的低点下方1个tick挂突破卖单

01:21 - 01:23

EN: looking for a swing down.

ZH: 预期会有下跌波段

01:24 - 01:28

EN: A second entry of any trade has a higher probability of success.

ZH: 任何一笔交易,第2入场点总是有更高的成功率

01:28 - 01:32

EN: A bear bar closing on its low is a much better sell signal bar

ZH: 阴线收在最低,是好的做空信号K线

01:32 - 01:34

EN: than the bull bar here.

ZH: 比这根阳线更好

01:34 - 01:36

EN: Therefore, it’s a higher probability sell.

ZH: 所以在这里做空的胜率更高

01:37 - 01:46

EN: The very important point is that there are many ways

ZH: 关键是,很多交易机会都有第2入场点, 你必须准备好迎接这些机会

01:41 - 01:46

EN: for these second entry trades to set up, and you have to be open to anything.

ZH: 关键是,很多交易机会都有第2入场点, 你必须准备好迎接这些机会

01:46 - 01:49

EN: What you have to be focusing in on is a reversal,

ZH: 要时刻关注反转的机会

01:49 - 01:52

EN: and then a second reversal, no matter what it looks like,

ZH: 关注第2次反转——不管看上去如何,

01:52 - 01:55

EN: and you want the second one to have a good signal bar.

ZH: 最好第2次反转时有好的信号K线

02:02 - 02:04

EN: This blue line is yesterday’s low.

ZH: 蓝线是昨天的最低点

02:04 - 02:07

EN: The market traded below it and reversed up, but a bear bar.

ZH: 价格从它的下方反转上涨,但它是一根阴线

02:07 - 02:11

EN: Not a good buy signal bar, even though the market rallied pretty strongly.

ZH: 所以不是好的做多信号K,尽管市场大幅反弹了

02:11 - 02:15

EN: Then it broke below yesterday’s low again here and reversed up again,

ZH: 然后再次跌破昨天的低点,并再次反转上涨

02:15 - 02:18

EN: and this time a decent looking bull bar.

ZH: 这次有一根漂亮的阳线

02:18 - 02:19

EN: A bull bar closing on its high.

ZH: 阳线收在最高

02:19 - 02:24

EN: That is a higher probability buy, buying on a stop above that high.

ZH: 在它的高点上方挂突破买单做多,胜率更高

02:24 - 02:30

EN: Again, focus on the second reversal, and there are many ways it can happen.

ZH: 再次强调,要关注第2次反转,这样的机会到处都有

02:30 - 02:34

EN: Sometimes the bars can be 10 bars apart, sometimes just 2 or 3 bars apart.

ZH: 有时两次反转之间相隔10根K线,有时只相隔两三根K线

02:38 - 02:44

EN: Here’s another strong rally on the open that breaks

ZH: 这一天开盘大幅上涨,突破了昨天的最高点, 这里是第2做空入场点

Slide 003

Time: 02:40

Slide 003

Bilingual Transcript

02:41 - 02:44

EN: above yesterday’s high, and it’s a second entry short.

ZH: 这一天开盘大幅上涨,突破了昨天的最高点, 这里是第2做空入场点

02:44 - 02:46

EN: Can you see what I mean by the second entry short here?

ZH: 能理解为什么这里有第2做空入场点吗?

02:47 - 02:49

EN: The market went below the bear bar.

ZH: 这根阴线的低点被跌破了 (注:下方的突破卖单被触发,这是第1做空入场点)

02:49 - 02:55

EN: That’s a reasonable short, but with this many bull bars,

ZH: 做空是合理的,但左边那么多连续阳线, 更多交易者会等待第2做空入场点

02:52 - 02:55

EN: most traders would want a second entry short.

ZH: 做空是合理的,但左边那么多连续阳线, 更多交易者会等待第2做空入场点

02:55 - 02:59

EN: Then it rallied to a new high here and then reversed down a second time.

ZH: 价格上涨创新高,第2次反转下跌

02:59 - 03:01

EN: The second entry is below the low of this bull bar

ZH: 第2做空入场点是这根阳线的下方 (注:但大部分人不会在阳线下方挂突破卖单)

03:01 - 03:05

EN: or below the low of that bear bar, so Micro Double Top.

ZH: 或者在这根阴线的下方,可以看作是小双顶——

03:05 - 03:10

EN: It went down below this bear bar, it went up to a new high,

ZH: 这根阴线的低点被跌破,上涨创新高, 然后第2次反转下跌

03:08 - 03:10

EN: and then reversed down a second time.

ZH: 这根阴线的低点被跌破,上涨创新高, 然后第2次反转下跌

03:17 - 03:19

EN: A second entry for the sell signal.

ZH: 第2做空入场点的信号K线——

03:19 - 03:21

EN: Breakout above yesterday’s high.

ZH: 突破昨天的最高点

03:21 - 03:23

EN: A bull bar, not ideal.

ZH: 这根阳线不是最理想的做空信号

03:23 - 03:26

EN: A lot of traders prefer to sell below a bear bar,

ZH: 很多交易者更喜欢在阴线下方卖出做空

03:26 - 03:29

EN: which would be right here, and the bears got a couple legs down.

ZH: 也就是在这里,然后空头得到了两段下跌

03:35 - 03:38

EN: Micro Double Top, and therefore it’s a type of Low 2.

ZH: 小双顶,所以可以看作是低2

03:38 - 03:41

EN: The second high does not have to be above the first.

ZH: 第2个高点不一定要高于第1个

03:41 - 03:42

EN: Here it was.

ZH: 尽管这里是这样

03:42 - 03:44

EN: You’re simply looking for a second entry,

ZH: 关键是第2入场点

03:44 - 03:48

EN: the first one failing and then a second one forming.

ZH: 第1入场点失败了,正在尝试第2次反转

03:54 - 03:58

EN: After the first couple of hours, the market reversed up from a Wedge Higher Low.

ZH: 开盘两个小时后,形成楔形底反转上涨

03:58 - 04:03

EN: A gap up and a rally, and then a two-legged pullback to a Wedge Higher Low.

ZH: 跳空高开、高走,两段下跌,形成楔形底 (注:价格仍然高于起涨点,所以仍然可能是上涨趋势,或震荡区间)

04:03 - 04:05

EN: 3 big bear bars.

ZH: 三根大阴线

04:05 - 04:07

EN: A lot of traders will not take the first reversal up;

ZH: 很多交易者不会在第1次反转上涨时买入

04:07 - 04:09

EN: they’ll take the second reversal up.

ZH: 他们会等待第2做多入场点

Slide 004

Time: 04:15

Slide 004

Bilingual Transcript

04:19 - 04:20

EN: Yesterday’s high.

ZH: 红线是昨天最高点

04:20 - 04:24

EN: The market tried to reverse down

ZH: 价格尝试从昨天高点上方反转下跌, 但第1做空入场点的信号K是阳线

04:22 - 04:24

EN: from below yesterday’s high, but below a bull bar.

ZH: 价格尝试从昨天高点上方反转下跌, 但第1做空入场点的信号K是阳线

04:24 - 04:26

EN: Some traders would sell below the bear bar,

ZH: 一些空头会在这根阴线的下方卖出做空

04:26 - 04:29

EN: but with the 2 bull bars here, a lot of traders would wait.

ZH: 但由于开盘是连续两根阳线,所以很多交易者会等待

04:30 - 04:32

EN: The market resumed up, a High 2.

ZH: 价格恢复上涨,它是高2

04:32 - 04:35

EN: It went above the bull bar, and then above this bull bar after a gap up.

ZH: 第1根阳线的上方是高1,这根阳线的上方是高2

04:35 - 04:41

EN: Some bulls would buy that, but that big tail on the top

ZH: 一些多头会在这里买入做多,但由于上影线很长,很多交易者会犹豫

04:38 - 04:41

EN: of the buy signal bar would make a lot of traders hesitate.

ZH: 一些多头会在这里买入做多,但由于上影线很长,很多交易者会犹豫

04:41 - 04:43

EN: Then we got a bear bar here.

ZH: 然后出现了一根阴线

04:43 - 04:47

EN: First entry sell below a bull bar or below this big bear bar,

ZH: 第1做空入场点是在这根阳线,或者说这根阴线的下方

04:47 - 04:51

EN: and then this is a second entry for a failed breakout above yesterday’s high.

ZH: 这里是突破昨天高点失败后的第2做空入场点

04:51 - 04:55

EN: Above yesterday’s high, reversed down for a failed breakout,

ZH: 突破昨天高点,反转下跌

04:55 - 04:57

EN: and now we’re getting a second entry failed breakout

ZH: 现在是第2次突破失败后的反转下跌

04:57 - 04:59

EN: with a better-looking sell signal.

ZH: 而且有更好的做空信号K

Slide 005

Time: 05:05

Slide 005

Bilingual Transcript

05:08 - 05:08

EN: Yesterday’s high.

ZH: 红线是昨天的高点

05:08 - 05:10

EN: The market broke above it.

ZH: 高开在昨天高点上方

05:10 - 05:13

EN: It tried to reverse down here, but there was no stop entry sell.

ZH: 第1根K线下跌,但此时还没有用突破卖单入场的机会

05:14 - 05:16

EN: We’re looking for stop entry sells.

ZH: 我们主要讲如何用突破单入场

05:16 - 05:19

EN: The first entry is below this bull bar.

ZH: 这根阳线的下方是第1做空入场点

05:19 - 05:22

EN: You could argue that there’s a second entry below this bear bar,

ZH: 你可以说这根阴线下方是第2做空入场点

05:22 - 05:25

EN: but with the doji and the prominent tails

ZH: 但它是十字星,而且下影线很长,左边是3根阳线

05:24 - 05:30

EN: and the 3 bull bars here, a lot of traders would wait to see

ZH: 但它是十字星,而且下影线很长,左边是3根阳线 所以很多空头会等待更好的做空信号K线——比如这根阴线

05:28 - 05:30

EN: if they get a better sell signal bar – which they did here.

ZH: 所以很多空头会等待更好的做空信号K线——比如这根阴线

05:31 - 05:33

EN: So that would be a better sell.

ZH: 在它的下方做空更好

05:33 - 05:36

EN: They put their stop above the high of the sell signal bar,

ZH: 如果把止损放在做空信号K线的上方

05:36 - 05:41

EN: and this high got exactly to that high and did not go above.

ZH: 后面那个高点刚好等于这个高点, 不会打掉空头的止损

05:41 - 05:44

EN: Therefore, some traders would hold short, rely on their stops.

ZH: 所以一些空头坚定持有,依赖初始止损

05:44 - 05:48

EN: Others would say, ah, we’re breaking out above yesterday’s high

ZH: 一些人会想:突破了昨天的最高点

05:48 - 05:50

EN: and this is a two-legged pullback – one, pullback, two

ZH: 然后两段式回调——1,反弹,2

05:50 - 05:54

EN: - with a decent buy signal bar, and therefore some traders

ZH: 这根阳线是很好的做多信号K,

05:54 - 05:56

EN: who sold below here would exit above here.

ZH: 所以一些空头会在它的上方离场

05:56 - 05:59

EN: Other traders would buy above here, hoping for the low of the day.

ZH: 也有多头在它的上方买入做多,押注这就是今天的最低点

06:00 - 06:04

EN: When the market formed a Double Top here and turned down again

ZH: 然后市场形成双顶,再次反转下跌

06:04 - 06:08

EN: below this bear bar or below this bigger bear bar, a lot of traders would sell.

ZH: 空头会在这根阴线,或这根更大的阴线下方卖出做空

06:09 - 06:13

EN: It’s at that point a second entry sell, which is here,

ZH: 之前,它是第2做空入场点,第1个红色框框

06:13 - 06:16

EN: and then now you’re getting another second entry sell here,

ZH: 现在又是一个第2做空入场点

06:16 - 06:18

EN: and a Double Top Lower High.

ZH: 而且在前期高点下方形成双顶

06:18 - 06:22

EN: Double Top Lower High with good sell signal bars there and here,

ZH: 前期高点下方的双顶,它和它都是不错的做空信号K线

06:22 - 06:25

EN: a reasonable short for a swing down.

ZH: 做空押注波段下跌是合理的

06:26 - 06:33

EN: The traders who sold here, they could either put their stop just

ZH: 在这里入场的空头,可以把止损放在做空信号K线的上方, 这里正好不会被打掉,可以继续持有

06:29 - 06:33

EN: above the sell signal bar – it would not have been hit here;

ZH: 在这里入场的空头,可以把止损放在做空信号K线的上方, 这里正好不会被打掉,可以继续持有

06:33 - 06:36

EN: they could hold short – or they can get out above the bull bar,

ZH: 在这里入场的空头,可以把止损放在做空信号K线的上方, 这里正好不会被打掉,可以继续持有 或者可以在这根阳线的上方暂时先离场

06:36 - 06:41

EN: and then sell again once we have a Double Top triggering

ZH: 然后在双顶下跌时再次入场, 突破卖单在跌破这根阴线的时候会触发成交

06:40 - 06:41

EN: with a bear bar closing on its low.

ZH: 然后在双顶下跌时再次入场, 突破卖单在跌破这根阴线的时候会触发成交

06:41 - 06:44

EN: So they sell below that bar and get filled here.

ZH: 突破卖单挂在它的下方,在这里成交

Slide 006

Time: 06:50

Slide 006

Bilingual Transcript

06:50 - 06:51

EN: Take a look at this.

ZH: 来看这个案例

06:52 - 06:54

EN: Yesterday was a very small, quiet day.

ZH: 昨天几乎没有任何波动

06:54 - 06:58

EN: Whenever yesterday is a small day like that, there’s an increased chance

ZH: 当前一天是这样的行情,今天有更大的可能性是“外包日” (注:从日K线看,今天把昨天包含在内)

06:58 - 07:06

EN: that today will be an outside day – either trade below yesterday’s low

ZH: 要么先跌破昨天的最低点,再突破昨天的最高点; 或者先突破昨天的最高点,再跌破昨天的最低点

07:02 - 07:06

EN: and then above its high, or trade above its high and then below its low.

ZH: 要么先跌破昨天的最低点,再突破昨天的最高点; 或者先突破昨天的最高点,再跌破昨天的最低点

07:06 - 07:07

EN: Today it did both.

ZH: 今天两者都做到了

07:07 - 07:10

EN: It traded above the high and then below yesterday’s low,

ZH: 先突破了昨天的最高点,然后跌破了昨天的最低点

07:10 - 07:12

EN: and then back above yesterday’s high again.

ZH: 最后又涨回到昨天的最高点上方

07:13 - 07:16

EN: We went above yesterday’s high, and reversed down below a doji

ZH: 高开在昨天的最高点上方,第2根K线跌破了第1根十字星的低点

07:16 - 07:21

EN: - not a very good sell signal – and then we’re reversing down again,

ZH: 但它不是特别好的做空信号K; 然后第2次反转下跌

07:21 - 07:23

EN: this time below a bear bar closing near its low.

ZH: 这次有一根阴线收在最低

07:23 - 07:25

EN: That’s a higher probability sell.

ZH: 在它的下方入场做空胜率更高

07:25 - 07:28

EN: You could hold for a couple legs down.

ZH: 空头得到了两段下跌

07:28 - 07:30

EN: Most traders would get out above this bull bar.

ZH: 大部分人会在这根阳线上方离场

07:30 - 07:34

EN: Other traders will hold, stop above the high of the sell signal bar,

ZH: 也有空头会继续持有,止损放在做空信号K线的高点上方

07:34 - 07:37

EN: and see if the market ultimately breaks to the down side – which it did.

ZH: 押注市场最终向下跌破——确实下跌了

07:37 - 07:40

EN: This rally never went above the high of the sell signal bar,

ZH: 价格始终没有超过做空信号K线的高点

07:40 - 07:42

EN: and therefore never hit the stop.

ZH: 所以空头的止损不会被打掉

07:48 - 07:53

EN: If traders did get out down here, or for any reason, if they went long here,

ZH: 如果空头在这里提前离场,或者多头在这里做多

07:53 - 07:56

EN: they’re going to get out below this bear bar for a Wedge

ZH: 多头需要在这根阴线下方离场,因为是楔形顶——

07:56 - 08:01

EN: - one, two, three reversals down – or below this bear bar as well,

ZH: 1,2,3; 或者在这根阴线下方离场

08:01 - 08:05

EN: especially since it never went above the stop for that original sell.

ZH: 尤其是因为价格仍然在早盘高点的下方

08:10 - 08:13

EN: Parabolic Wedge Bottom, and a second entry buy

ZH: 抛物线楔形底,以及第2做多入场点

08:13 - 08:16

EN: for a failed breakout below yesterday’s low.

ZH: 从昨天的低点下方反转上涨

08:16 - 08:18

EN: The market broke below yesterday’s low, tried to reverse up.

ZH: 价格跌破了昨天的低点,尝试反转上涨

08:19 - 08:20

EN: Doji bar.

ZH: 十字星

08:20 - 08:23

EN: Not particularly good, especially after a strong selloff,

ZH: 不是特别好的做多信号,尤其因为左边的抛售非常强势

08:23 - 08:27

EN: and now the bulls get a second entry buy with a good-looking bull bar.

ZH: 现在多头等到了第2做多入场点,而且信号K线是漂亮的阳线

08:27 - 08:28

EN: This is a reasonable buy.

ZH: 买入做多是合理的

08:34 - 08:39

EN: You could also wait to buy the pullback, so strong reversal up and a pullback.

ZH: 也可以等回调时买入——强势反转上涨,回调

08:39 - 08:42

EN: This is a type of Cup and Handle bull flag right here.

ZH: 这是茶杯带柄的牛旗结构

08:42 - 08:45

EN: So we got a reversal and then a pullback,

ZH: 大反转,小回调

08:45 - 08:48

EN: and that is by definition what a Cup and Handle pattern is.

ZH: 这就是茶杯带柄结构的定义——

08:48 - 08:52

EN: A Cup and Handle pattern is a reversal followed by a pullback,

ZH: 大幅反转之后,小幅回调

08:52 - 08:54

EN: and that’s a buy signal.

ZH: 这根阳线是做多信号K

08:54 - 08:56

EN: A bull flag from this rally.

ZH: 它是这段上涨的牛旗

09:00 - 09:03

EN: The rally ultimately went back above yesterday’s high,

ZH: 最终价格又涨回到了昨天的最高点上方

09:03 - 09:07

EN: so an outside down day – and an outside up day.

ZH: 所以今天先从上往下吞噬,再从下往上吞噬

Slide 007

Time: 09:10

Slide 007

Bilingual Transcript

09:14 - 09:16

EN: Yesterday’s low.

ZH: 昨天的低点在这里

09:16 - 09:18

EN: We gapped down and we tried to reverse up

ZH: 大幅跳空低开,尝试反转上涨

09:18 - 09:20

EN: above that bear bar and above this bull bar.

ZH: 这根阴线,或这根阳线的上方是第1做多入场点

09:21 - 09:22

EN: Did not get very far.

ZH: 没有上涨很多

09:23 - 09:25

EN: We sold off again, and now we’re trying to reverse up again.

ZH: 恢复下跌,现在第2次尝试反转上涨

09:25 - 09:27

EN: I would not buy above the bear bar.

ZH: 我不会把突破买单挂在阴线的上方

09:27 - 09:30

EN: I prefer to buy above a bull bar, like this bar.

ZH: 我更喜欢在阳线上方买入,比如这根K线

09:30 - 09:35

EN: Or you could argue it looks like a Tight Trading Range – wait for a better buy.

ZH: 如果认为此时处于窄震荡区间,那么就等待更好的买点

09:35 - 09:37

EN: Here we have a bull bar closing on its high.

ZH: 这里有一根阳线收在最高

09:37 - 09:40

EN: At this point you can call it a Triangle, or a Tight Trading Range,

ZH: 此时可以说是三角形,也可以说是窄震荡区间

09:40 - 09:43

EN: or a third entry buy, but one with a pretty good bull bar.

ZH: 或者称之为第3做多入场点,有非常好的做多信号K

09:43 - 09:47

EN: That’s a pretty good buy, and we got a strong reversal up from there.

ZH: 这是一个非常好的买入点,价格从这里开始强势反转上涨

09:49 - 09:53

EN: If you do take that buy, stop is below the low of the day.

ZH: 买入之后,止损放在今天的最低点下方

Slide 008

Time: 10:00

Slide 008

Bilingual Transcript

10:03 - 10:06

EN: Today opened up above yesterday’s low, and then sold off immediately

ZH: 今天小幅跳空高开,然后不断下跌

10:06 - 10:10

EN: and fell below yesterday’s low, and reversed up above a bull bar.

ZH: 跌破了昨天的最低点, 这个小阳线的上方是第1做多入场点

10:11 - 10:13

EN: Tail on top, fairly prominent body.

ZH: 但上影线很长,实体部分很小

10:13 - 10:19

EN: It’s an okay buy, but a lot of traders

ZH: 不算很糟糕,但很多交易者宁愿等待更好的做多机会, 或者等待第2做多入场点

10:16 - 10:19

EN: would rather get a better-looking buy, or a second entry buy.

ZH: 不算很糟糕,但很多交易者宁愿等待更好的做多机会, 或者等待第2做多入场点

10:19 - 10:22

EN: Second entry buy was above this bear bar

ZH: 这根阴线的上方是第2做多入场点——不是最好

10:22 - 10:25

EN: - not great – or above this bull bar – better.

ZH: 把突破买单挂在这根阳线的上方更好

10:25 - 10:27

EN: So that’s a higher probability buy.

ZH: 在这里买入做多的胜率更高

10:29 - 10:34

EN: It’s also a test of the low from 2 days ago, a perfect Double Bottom here

ZH: 同时也是对前天最低点的测试,几乎是完美的双底

10:34 - 10:37

EN: and a Wedge selloff, a Wedge bear channel.

ZH: 而且这里是楔形下跌通道

10:37 - 10:39

EN: Wedge bear channel, bull flag.

ZH: 楔形下降通道,牛旗

10:39 - 10:43

EN: You expect a bull breakout, and that makes all of this a higher probability buy,

ZH: 交易者预期价格向上突破,使得在这里买入做多的胜率变得更高

10:43 - 10:46

EN: especially above a strong bull bar like that.

ZH: 尤其是在这样一根强势的阳线上方买入

10:46 - 10:52

EN: You could simply buy above this bull bar, but once you see this bull bar,

ZH: 你可以直接在这根阳线上方买入, 但这根阳线出现后,形成上涨波段的概率就变得很高了

10:49 - 10:52

EN: the probability is high that we’re going to have a swing up.

ZH: 你可以直接在这根阳线上方买入, 但这根阳线出现后,形成上涨波段的概率就变得很高了

10:55 - 10:58

EN: Pullback to the Moving Average and a Wedge bull flag.

ZH: 回调到均线,而且是楔形牛旗

10:58 - 11:04

EN: Again, another Cup and Handle pattern where you have a reversal

ZH: 这也是一个茶杯带柄的结构——大幅反转上涨,小幅回调形成牛旗

11:02 - 11:04

EN: and then a pullback to a bull flag.

ZH: 这也是一个茶杯带柄的结构——大幅反转上涨,小幅回调形成牛旗

11:04 - 11:08

EN: The reversal is the cup and the bull flag is the handle.

ZH: 大反转是杯身,牛旗是杯柄

11:08 - 11:11

EN: You could also call it a Higher Low Major Trend Reversal,

ZH: 也可是说它是低点抬高的大反转——

11:11 - 11:14

EN: which is what most Cup and Handle patterns are.

ZH: 上涨的茶杯带柄结构都是低点抬高的大反转

11:17 - 11:20

EN: A Wedge rally, a Lower High.

ZH: 楔形上涨通道,仍低于前期高点

11:20 - 11:21

EN: Decent sell signal bar.

ZH: 不错的做空信号K线

11:21 - 11:24

EN: Okay short later in the day for a scalp.

ZH: 可以在尾盘做空剥头皮

11:29 - 11:31

EN: Couple other trades.

ZH: 还有一些其他的交易机会

11:31 - 11:35

EN: A Double Bottom, pullback, a bull ii.

ZH: 双底牛旗,多头ii结构,买入是合理的 (注:连续两根孕线,而且是阳线收在高位)

11:34 - 11:37

EN: Reasonable buy, and then a Lower High Wedge rally.

ZH: 双底牛旗,多头ii结构,买入是合理的 (注:连续两根孕线,而且是阳线收在高位) 然后楔形反弹,低于前期高点

11:37 - 11:38

EN: Bull bars, bear.

ZH: 阳线,阴线

11:38 - 11:40

EN: Bull bars, bear, bull bar.

ZH: 阳线,阴线,阳线

11:40 - 11:44

EN: So third set of bull bars, and a reversal down.

ZH: 所以是第3次向上的推动,然后反转下跌

11:48 - 11:51

EN: Strong selloff on the open below yesterday’s low.

ZH: 开盘剧烈抛售,跌破昨天的最低点

Slide 009

Time: 11:50

Slide 009

Bilingual Transcript

11:51 - 11:55

EN: We tried to reverse up here – it’s a reversal up from below the Trading Range,

ZH: 第1根K线尝试反转上涨——从震荡区间下方反转上涨

11:55 - 11:59

EN: but not from below yesterday’s low – and then we sold off very strongly.

ZH: 但不是从昨天的低点下方——接着市场暴跌

12:00 - 12:03

EN: Strong selloff like this, probably we’ll get at least a second leg down.

ZH: 这么强势的抛售,至少会有第2段下跌

12:03 - 12:07

EN: Most bulls would not buy here; however, they would think about buying here.

ZH: 大多数多头不会在这里买入;然而,他们会考虑在这里买入

12:07 - 12:11

EN: Even though it’s a huge selloff, it’s still a second entry

ZH: 尽管早盘下跌了这么多,但它仍然是第2做多入场点

12:11 - 12:13

EN: for a failed breakout below yesterday’s low.

ZH: 第2次从昨天的低点下方反转上涨

12:18 - 12:21

EN: If you want, you can call it a Parabolic Wedge.

ZH: 也可以把它看作是抛物线楔形底

12:21 - 12:23

EN: I would not really call this a Parabolic Wedge.

ZH: 我个人不会称之为抛物线楔形底

12:23 - 12:27

EN: I would simply call it a Sell Climax and then consecutive Sell Climax,

ZH: 它是抛售高潮,连续的抛售高潮(注:不可持续)

12:27 - 12:29

EN: and then a pretty good-looking bull bar,

ZH: 然后有一根漂亮的阳线

12:29 - 12:31

EN: especially since there’s a Micro Double Bottom.

ZH: 尤其这里是一个小双低

12:31 - 12:36

EN: So a reasonable buy above that high, looking for a swing up.

ZH: 所以在它的上方买入是合理的,押注上涨波段

12:39 - 12:43

EN: Whenever you get a reversal day like this, and the selloff initially is very big

ZH: 每当遇到这样的反转,早盘的跌幅非常大

12:43 - 12:46

EN: – here, the selloff is about the size of an average day’s range;

ZH: 这里的跌幅已经满足日K线的平均振幅了

12:46 - 12:49

EN: it’s in fact bigger than yesterday’s range

ZH: 事实上已经超过了昨天的振幅

12:49 - 12:52

EN: - whenever you have a very big selloff and then a reversal,

ZH: 如果早盘的跌幅这么大,然后反转上涨

12:52 - 12:55

EN: usually you do not get a bull trend day.

ZH: 通常不会变成上涨趋势日

12:55 - 12:58

EN: Is this a bull trend day? I would call it a Trading Range day.

ZH: 这算是上涨趋势日吗? 我称之为震荡区间日

12:58 - 13:02

EN: We went down, we went up, and we did not get much above the open,

ZH: 先下跌,再上涨,没有超过起跌点太多

13:02 - 13:05

EN: and that’s usually what happens when you get a reversal

ZH: 如果早盘大幅下跌,然后反转上涨,通常都是这种情况

13:04 - 13:05

EN: after a very big selloff.

ZH: 如果早盘大幅下跌,然后反转上涨,通常都是这种情况

13:05 - 13:08

EN: If the selloff is small and you get a reversal,

ZH: 如果早盘的跌幅很小,然后反转上涨

13:08 - 13:10

EN: then you can get a big bull trend day.

ZH: 有可能会形成一个大的上涨趋势日

13:10 - 13:14

EN: But if you looked at this on the daily chart, it’s a doji bar.

ZH: 如果你看这一天的日K线,是一个十字星

13:14 - 13:17

EN: Here’s the open, there’s the close, and for me it’s a Trading Range day

ZH: 开盘价在这里,收盘价在这里,所以是震荡区间日

13:17 - 13:21

EN: even though it trended up all day, or most of the day.

ZH: 尽管今天大部分时间是处于上涨趋势的

13:21 - 13:25

EN: Big selloff on the open when it’s about the size of an average day’s range,

ZH: 开盘的大跌已经达到了日K线的平均振幅

13:25 - 13:32

EN: if you get a reversal, usually the market has a hard time getting much

ZH: 如果反转,就算完全涨回去,也很难大幅突破起跌点

13:29 - 13:32

EN: above the open – if it gets above the open at all.

ZH: 如果反转,就算完全涨回去,也很难大幅突破起跌点

Slide 010

Time: 13:35

Slide 010

Bilingual Transcript

13:40 - 13:44

EN: Market gapped below yesterday’s low, tried to reverse up here.

ZH: 跳空低开在昨天的最点下方,这里是第1做空入场点

13:44 - 13:49

EN: We have a Micro Double Bottom, but a doji bar and a bull doji bar here.

ZH: 有一个小双低,但做多信号K线是十字星

13:49 - 13:54

EN: A lot of traders would want a second entry buy

ZH: 很多交易者会等待第2做多入场点, 以及更好的阳线,也就是这一根

13:51 - 13:54

EN: above a better bull bar, which they got here.

ZH: 很多交易者会等待第2做多入场点, 以及更好的阳线,也就是这一根

13:58 - 14:00

EN: We went down big, up big.

ZH: 大跌,大涨

14:00 - 14:01

EN: Probable Trading Range.

ZH: 很可能是震荡区间

14:01 - 14:05

EN: We went up big and down big.

ZH: 大涨,大跌

14:03 - 14:05

EN: Confusion.

ZH: 大涨,大跌

14:05 - 14:06

EN: Probably Trading Range.

ZH: 震荡区间的特征

14:06 - 14:11

EN: Strong enough reversal that bulls would try

ZH: 上涨足够强势,多头会尝试制造低点抬高的大反转

14:09 - 14:11

EN: to get a Higher Low Major Trend Reversal.

ZH: 上涨足够强势,多头会尝试制造低点抬高的大反转

14:11 - 14:14

EN: So bear trend, bull breakout, Higher Low,

ZH: 下降趋势,突破趋势线,低点抬高

14:14 - 14:17

EN: and the market simply went sideways for several hours.

ZH: 但市场只是横盘震荡了几个小时

14:18 - 14:22

EN: The bears got trend resumption at the end of the day.

ZH: 尾盘下降趋势恢复

Slide 011

Time: 14:25

Slide 011

Bilingual Transcript

14:29 - 14:32

EN: We broke below yesterday’s low and reversed up.

ZH: 跳空低开在昨天的最低点下方,第1次反转上涨

14:32 - 14:33

EN: Good-looking bull bar.

ZH: 非常漂亮的阳线

14:34 - 14:37

EN: Broke lower and reversed up a second time.

ZH: 继续下跌创新低,第2次反转上涨

14:37 - 14:41

EN: Some bulls would buy here, or they would wait to see

ZH: 一些多头会在这里买入, 一些人会等待更好的机会

14:40 - 14:41

EN: if they could get a better setup.

ZH: 一些多头会在这里买入, 一些人会等待更好的机会

14:41 - 14:44

EN: Here we have a small Higher Low.

ZH: 这里低点抬高了

14:44 - 14:51

EN: Strong reversal up from a second entry for the failed breakout

ZH: 第2次从昨天的低点下方强势反转上涨, 然后低点抬高,有不错的做多信号K线

14:47 - 14:51

EN: below yesterday’s low, and now we’re getting a decent buy signal bar here.

ZH: 第2次从昨天的低点下方强势反转上涨, 然后低点抬高,有不错的做多信号K线

14:51 - 14:53

EN: So that would be another buy,

ZH: 这也是一个合理的买点

14:53 - 14:55

EN: and then we have a Higher Low Major Trend Reversal here.

ZH: 然后这里也是低点抬高的大反转

14:55 - 15:00

EN: So that would be another buy above that bull bar, or above that inside bar.

ZH: 在这根阳线上方,或者这根孕线上方买入做多,都是合理的

15:04 - 15:09

EN: It’s pretty common in the open that you have

ZH: 在早盘经常需要几次尝试才能抓到大波段

15:06 - 15:09

EN: to take several trades before you get a swing.

ZH: 在早盘经常需要几次尝试才能抓到大波段

15:13 - 15:16

EN: A lot of the bears would sell below this bear inside bar,

ZH: 很多空头会在这个孕线下方卖出做空

15:16 - 15:19

EN: and we have a Wedge bear flag at the Moving Average.

ZH: 因为是反弹到均线的楔形熊旗

15:19 - 15:23

EN: So it’s reasonable if you bought here to get out below this bear bar,

ZH: 对于多头来说,如果在这里买入了,在这根阴线下方离场是合理的

15:23 - 15:27

EN: and it’s also reasonable to get short, looking for a bear trend.

ZH: 做空押注下降趋势也是合理的

15:30 - 15:32

EN: Then the bulls have a Higher Low Major Trend Reversal.

ZH: 然后多头得到了低点抬高的大反转结构

15:32 - 15:34

EN: If you want you can call it a Double Bottom.

ZH: 也可以把它看作是双底

15:35 - 15:38

EN: Therefore, a lot of the bears who sold here would get out here.

ZH: 因此,很多之前做空的空头会在这里离场

15:38 - 15:40

EN: A lot of the bulls would buy here.

ZH: 同时,很多多头会买入做多

15:40 - 15:42

EN: The day ended up mostly sideways.

ZH: 最终,这一天整体是横盘的

15:42 - 15:44

EN: There was a rally at the end of the day.

ZH: 尾盘有一个不错的上涨波段

15:47 - 15:50

EN: Another Double Bottom Higher Low Major Trend Reversal.

ZH: 这也是一个低点抬高的大反转

15:50 - 15:53

EN: This Higher Low Major Trend Reversal is bad.

ZH: 这个低点抬高的大反转机会不是很好——

15:53 - 15:57

EN: 4 bear bars and then a bear inside bar here.

ZH: 连续4根阴线,做多信号K线是空头孕线

15:57 - 15:59

EN: Usually that’s going to be a minor reversal,

ZH: 通常这大概率只是小反转

15:59 - 16:02

EN: and traders will look for a major reversal later in the day.

ZH: 交易者会继续等待好的大反转结构

16:02 - 16:03

EN: Here, this is better.

ZH: 这里的结构更好一些

16:03 - 16:08

EN: A Double Bottom, slightly Higher Low with 3 bull bars closing on its high,

ZH: 双底,低点略微抬高,连续3根阳线收在最高

16:08 - 16:12

EN: so you buy above there, or above here for a swing up at the end of the day.

ZH: 在它的上方,或者它的上方买入做多,上涨波段一直持续到收盘

16:18 - 16:23

EN: I said that sometimes the market will break out

ZH: 这节课的开头提到过,有时市场突破昨天的高点之后,尝试反转下跌

Slide 012

Time: 16:20

Slide 012

Bilingual Transcript

16:20 - 16:23

EN: above yesterday’s high and reverse down,

ZH: 这节课的开头提到过,有时市场突破昨天的高点之后,尝试反转下跌

16:23 - 16:27

EN: and then the bulls buy the reversal and the bull breakout resumes.

ZH: 但多头逢低买入,反转失败,突破继续

16:27 - 16:31

EN: So there’s a failed reversal of the breakout of yesterday’s range.

ZH: 反转失败,代表突破是成功的

16:31 - 16:32

EN: The same can happen at the bottom.

ZH: 向下突破时也是一样

16:32 - 16:35

EN: You can break below yesterday’s low, try to reverse up,

ZH: 跌破昨天的最低点,尝试反转上涨

16:35 - 16:40

EN: but that reversal attempt fails and the bear breakout resumes,

ZH: 但反转失败,空头突破继续

16:40 - 16:42

EN: and the day becomes a bear trend.

ZH: 于是变成了下降趋势日

Slide 013

Time: 16:43

Slide 013

Bilingual Transcript

16:45 - 16:51

EN: Every pattern can fail, and you should be aware of how a failure looks.

ZH: 每个模式都有失败的时候,交易者应该了解模式失败后会怎么样

16:55 - 16:57

EN: We broke above yesterday’s high, reversed down,

ZH: 突破昨天高点,反转下跌 (注:粉色线是历史高点,不是昨天的高点)

16:57 - 17:00

EN: and then we had a second reversal either here or here.

ZH: 然后这里或这里是第2次反转下跌

17:01 - 17:05

EN: However, we have a pretty good rally here, and a lot of bull bars here.

ZH: 然而,上涨非常强势,这里有很多阳线

17:05 - 17:09

EN: You have to be aware that this may not lead to a bear trend.

ZH: 必须意识到,今天可能不会变成下降趋势,而是震荡区间

17:09 - 17:15

EN: Instead, it led to a Trading Range, and at some point

ZH: 并且在某个时刻需要做出判断:空头要失败了

17:12 - 17:15

EN: you have to decide that the sell is going to fail.

ZH: 并且在某个时刻需要做出判断:空头要失败了

17:16 - 17:18

EN: Here we have 4 bull bars.

ZH: 连续4根阳线

17:18 - 17:20

EN: Here we have 6 bars without a bear body.

ZH: 连续6根K线中没有阴线

17:20 - 17:22

EN: It looks like the sell is failing.

ZH: 空头正在失败

17:22 - 17:27

EN: A lot of the bears who took that sell would get out above this bull bar here,

ZH: 很多在那里卖出做空的空头,会在这根阳线上方离场

17:27 - 17:30

EN: a second entry buy holding above the Moving Average.

ZH: 价格维持在均线上方,它是第2做多入场点

17:30 - 17:38

EN: Then at this point, this big bull bar represents everybody deciding

ZH: 这根大阳线出现之后,代表所有人都同意: 价格会继续上涨,空头正在放弃

17:35 - 17:38

EN: that the market is going higher and that the sell is going to fail.

ZH: 这根大阳线出现之后,代表所有人都同意: 价格会继续上涨,空头正在放弃

17:43 - 17:52

EN: The bears who took this short are disappointed that it immediately reversed up

ZH: 看到价格在均线获得支撑立刻上涨, 第2次快速反转上涨,阳线非常漂亮,空头感到很失望

17:47 - 17:52

EN: at the Moving Average and immediately reversed up again a second time

ZH: 看到价格在均线获得支撑立刻上涨, 第2次快速反转上涨,阳线非常漂亮,空头感到很失望

17:51 - 17:52

EN: with a good-looking bull bar.

ZH: 看到价格在均线获得支撑立刻上涨, 第2次快速反转上涨,阳线非常漂亮,空头感到很失望

17:52 - 17:57

EN: Most of these bears would get out here, and then the final bears gave up here.

ZH: 很多空头会在这里离场,最后的空头也都在这里放弃了

17:58 - 18:00

EN: The bulls are doing the opposite.

ZH: 多头也在大量买入

18:00 - 18:01

EN: They know the bears are giving up.

ZH: 他们知道空头正在放弃

18:01 - 18:03

EN: The bulls are looking to buy to get long.

ZH: 所以多头寻找买入做多的机会

18:10 - 18:12

EN: This pullback stayed above that breakout point.

ZH: 价格始终没有回调到突破点的下方

18:12 - 18:14

EN: This pullback stayed above that high.

ZH: 回调没有碰到那个高点

18:14 - 18:18

EN: It’s a Small Pullback Bull Trend day, which is a very strong trend day.

ZH: 回调幅度非常小——很强势的上涨趋势日

18:18 - 18:22

EN: A big Buy Climax at the end, and then profit-taking into the close.

ZH: 尾盘有极端的抢购高潮,收盘前多头获利离场 (注:多头止盈导致价格回调)

18:24 - 18:28

EN: Bulls would buy all of those little bull flags, looking for another leg up.

ZH: 每次回调(牛旗),多头都会买入,押注还有一段上涨

18:32 - 18:38

EN: At the end of the day, some bears would sell

ZH: 在收盘前,一些空头会卖出做空剥头皮,多头止盈离场

18:36 - 18:38

EN: for a scalp down and the bulls would exit.

ZH: 在收盘前,一些空头会卖出做空剥头皮,多头止盈离场

18:38 - 18:40

EN: This is a Buy The Close finish.

ZH: 多头想一直买到收盘 (注:让日K线成为收在最高的大阳线)

18:40 - 18:43

EN: Probably starting a little bit too early, starting around noon.

ZH: 但开始得太早了,收盘前一小时就开始了

18:43 - 18:47

EN: Normally a Buy The Close finish has to start closer to 12:30

ZH: 最好在收盘前半小时开始,这样上涨就能持续到收盘

18:47 - 18:49

EN: if it’s going to make it to the end of the day.

ZH: 让日K线收在最高点

18:49 - 18:52

EN: If it starts too early, it usually reverses.

ZH: 如果太早开始,尾盘通常都会反转下跌

Slide 014

Time: 18:55

Slide 014

Bilingual Transcript

19:00 - 19:04

EN: The market goes above yesterday’s high, tried to reverse down,

ZH: 跳空高开在昨天的高点上方,第1次反转下跌

19:04 - 19:08

EN: tried to reverse down a second time, but then it became a bull flag.

ZH: 第2次反转下跌,但是变成了牛旗

19:08 - 19:10

EN: This is a High 2 bull flag, especially above this bar.

ZH: 这是高2牛旗,这根K线上方尤其是一个好的买点

19:10 - 19:13

EN: At some point these bears have to decide to give up.

ZH: 某个时刻空头必须决定放弃

19:13 - 19:17

EN: If they enter short below that bear bar and it immediately reverses up,

ZH: 如果空头在那根阴线下方卖出做空,但价格立刻上涨

19:17 - 19:23

EN: they’re going to be pretty quick to get out, either above this bull bar

ZH: 他们必须快速离场,要么在这根收在最高的阳线上方, 要么在那根阳线上方

19:20 - 19:23

EN: closing above its high, or above that bull bar.

ZH: 他们必须快速离场,要么在这根收在最高的阳线上方, 要么在那根阳线上方

19:29 - 19:32

EN: The bulls will buy this as a High 2 bull flag.

ZH: 多头会买入做多,因为它是高2牛旗

19:33 - 19:36

EN: So bull trend, the gap up is a bull trend, and then a pullback

ZH: 跳空高开,所以是上涨趋势,回调

19:36 - 19:38

EN: and then a second entry buy above that bar.

ZH: 那根K线的上方是第2做多入场点(注:即高2)

19:38 - 19:42

EN: Ultimately there was a Wedge Top and a second entry sell.

ZH: 最终形成楔形顶,有第2做空入场点

19:42 - 19:46

EN: First is below a bull bar, second below the bear inside bar,

ZH: 这根阳线下方是第1做空入场点, 这根空头孕线下方是第2做空入场点

19:46 - 19:47

EN: and the bears got a swing down.

ZH: 空头得到了下跌波段

Slide 015

Time: 19:50

Slide 015

Bilingual Transcript

19:57 - 19:59

EN: The market gapped below yesterday’s low

ZH: 跳空低开在昨天的最低点下方

19:59 - 20:03

EN: and below the 20 bar exponential Moving Average on the 60-minute chart.

ZH: 也低于60分钟图的EMA20

20:03 - 20:05

EN: So this is the 60-minute EMA.

ZH: 这条虚线就是60分钟图的EMA20

20:05 - 20:12

EN: This is the 5-minute EMA, and I have a formula

ZH: 这条线是5分钟图的EMA20; 然后我写了一个程序,把60分钟图的EMA20移植到了5分钟图上

20:08 - 20:12

EN: that allows me to plot the 60-minute EMA on the 5-minute chart.

ZH: 这条线是5分钟图的EMA20; 然后我写了一个程序,把60分钟图的EMA20移植到了5分钟图上

20:13 - 20:15

EN: The market broke below yesterday’s low

ZH: 市场跌破了昨天的最低点

20:15 - 20:17

EN: and below the Moving Average and reversed up.

ZH: 也跌破了均线,然后反转上涨

20:17 - 20:20

EN: A reasonable buy, and then a Higher Low, reasonable buy.

ZH: 在它的上方买入是合理的; 然后低点抬高,也是合理的买点

20:20 - 20:21

EN: But then look at this.

ZH: 但是看这里

20:21 - 20:23

EN: We sold off, we sold off.

ZH: 下跌,下跌

20:23 - 20:25

EN: We’re selling off at the Moving Average

ZH: 在均线第3次反转下跌

20:25 - 20:28

EN: and around a 50% pullback of this selloff.

ZH: 而且也是左边下跌波段的50%反弹

20:28 - 20:31

EN: Therefore, this is a reasonable sell signal as well.

ZH: 这个做空信号K线也非常不错

20:31 - 20:33

EN: So the bears will short that.

ZH: 所以空头做空是合理的

20:33 - 20:35

EN: Bulls will buy this, they’ll buy this,

ZH: 多头会在这里、这里买入

20:35 - 20:41

EN: and then everybody shorts this, a Wedge bear flag.

ZH: 然后所有人都会在这里卖出—— 50%反弹、反弹到均线的3推楔形熊旗

20:39 - 20:41

EN: 50% pullback at the Moving Average.

ZH: 然后所有人都会在这里卖出—— 50%反弹、反弹到均线的3推楔形熊旗

20:41 - 20:44

EN: Opening reversal down from the Moving Average.

ZH: 反弹到均线,然后恢复下跌

20:53 - 20:54

EN: Strong bear breakout.

ZH: 大阴线跌破创新低(注:没有跟随)

20:54 - 20:57

EN: Immediately reversed up above a pretty good bull bar.

ZH: 立刻反转上涨,非常不错的阳线(高点被突破,突破买单被触发)

20:57 - 21:01

EN: Remember, on the open, no matter how strong a leg up or down is,

ZH: 不管开盘的上涨或下跌多么强势

21:01 - 21:04

EN: 50% chance it’s going to fail and reverse.

ZH: 50%的概率会失败、反转

21:04 - 21:07

EN: If you see a strong selloff like this and then a bull bar,

ZH: 如果看到这样强势的抛售,然后是一根阳线

21:07 - 21:10

EN: especially a bull inside bar closing near its high,

ZH: 特别是一根多头孕线收在最高

21:10 - 21:13

EN: you have to get out of shorts and it’s a reasonable buy.

ZH: 空头必须离场,而且买入做多也是很合理的

21:13 - 21:14

EN: This is a large Double Bottom.

ZH: 这是一个大的双底

21:14 - 21:16

EN: We went up, we went up again.

ZH: 上涨,再次上涨

21:16 - 21:20

EN: A Lower Low Double Bottom, Lower Low Major Trend Reversal.

ZH: 低点降低的双底,低点降低的大反转

21:20 - 21:22

EN: It’s a large second entry buy.

ZH: 是一个大的第2次反转上涨结构 (注:第1、第2做多入场点相隔很远)

21:22 - 21:29

EN: Here’s the first entry buy, failed breakout yesterday’s low.

ZH: 跌破昨天低点之后,第1做多入场点在这里, 第2做多入场点在这里

21:26 - 21:29

EN: Here’s the second entry buy, failed breakout yesterday’s low.

ZH: 跌破昨天低点之后,第1做多入场点在这里, 第2做多入场点在这里

21:29 - 21:32

EN: This is a 5-minute chart, and if you looked at a 15-minute chart,

ZH: 这是5分钟图,如果看15分钟图

21:32 - 21:38

EN: it would probably be a fairly simple looking second entry

ZH: 第2做多入场点的结构可能会变得很清晰—— 第2次从昨天的低点下方反转上涨

21:36 - 21:38

EN: buy failed breakout below yesterday’s low.

ZH: 第2做多入场点的结构可能会变得很清晰—— 第2次从昨天的低点下方反转上涨

21:43 - 21:46

EN: The bulls take the reversal up here and here.

ZH: 多头在这里和这里买入做多

21:46 - 21:49

EN: The bears sell the reversal down below that bear bar,

ZH: 空头在这根阴线下方卖出做空

21:49 - 21:51

EN: or a second entry short here.

ZH: 或者它的下方,是第2做空入场点

21:55 - 21:58

EN: At this point we have a Lower Low Major Trend Reversal,

ZH: 一开始是低点降低的大反转

21:58 - 22:01

EN: pretty good rally, and a Higher Low Major Trend Reversal.

ZH: 反转上涨很强势,然后形成低点抬高的大反转

22:01 - 22:02

EN: A reasonable buy.

ZH: 合理的买点

22:02 - 22:06

EN: A Wedge Higher Low.

ZH: 也是楔形牛旗——1,2,3

22:04 - 22:06

EN: One, two, and three.

ZH: 也是楔形牛旗——1,2,3

Slide 016

Time: 22:10

Slide 016

Bilingual Transcript

22:12 - 22:14

EN: Yesterday’s high is important resistance.

ZH: 昨天的高点是重要的阻力位

22:14 - 22:16

EN: Yesterday’s low is important support.

ZH: 昨天的低点是重要的支撑位

22:16 - 22:20

EN: If the market breaks above yesterday’s high and reverses down,

ZH: 如果市场刚突破昨天的高点就反转下跌

22:20 - 22:23

EN: that’s a reasonable sell, especially a second entry sell.

ZH: 尤其是第2次反转下跌,做空是合理的

22:23 - 22:26

EN: If it breaks below yesterday’s low and reverses up,

ZH: 如果市场刚跌破昨天的低点就反转上涨

22:26 - 22:29

EN: especially a second time, that’s a reasonable buy for a swing up.

ZH: 尤其是第2次反转上涨,做多是合理的

22:29 - 22:34

EN: However, sometimes when the market reverses up from below yesterday’s low,

ZH: 然而,有时候市场尝试从昨天的低点下方反转上涨

22:34 - 22:37

EN: it becomes a bear flag and the bear trend resumes.

ZH: 反转失败变成熊旗,下降趋势恢复

22:37 - 22:40

EN: So you have to be aware that the reversal will not always work,

ZH: 所以要意识到,不是所有的早盘反转都会成功

22:40 - 22:43

EN: and you have to be prepared for the bear trend to resume,

ZH: 必须做好下降趋势继续的准备

22:43 - 22:44

EN: and you have to get short again.

ZH: 必须寻找做空的机会

22:44 - 22:47

EN: The opposite’s true at the high.

ZH: 上涨也是一样的

22:47 - 22:50

EN: If the market breaks above yesterday’s high and reverses down

ZH: 如果市场突破了昨天的高点,尝试反转下跌

22:50 - 22:55

EN: but the reversal becomes a bull flag, you have to be prepared

ZH: 但反转失败、变成牛旗,空头必须做好离场的准备, 然后找机会入场做多

22:53 - 22:55

EN: to get out of shorts, and to look to get long.

ZH: 但反转失败、变成牛旗,空头必须做好离场的准备, 然后找机会入场做多

22:59 - 23:00

EN: I’m Al Brooks.

ZH: 我是阿尔·布鲁克斯

23:00 - 23:03

EN: Thank you for watching the Brooks Trading Course.

ZH: 感谢观看布鲁克斯交易课程

23:03 - 23:06

EN: This is the fifth of six videos on trading the open.

ZH: 早盘的第5节课,就先讲到这里